WNBA · Finalupdated 04:36 UTC

Toronto Tempo vs Chicago Sky

at Chicago Sky

CHI expected to win by about 5.5 · both teams together expected to score about 181 points · odds to win: TOR 2.83, CHI 1.46

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference), Wed 00:04 UTC

TOR 85 – CHI 97

Final · 1 of 1 pick won

1 pick checked: 1 won, 0 lost.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Explore every player and prop

How to read this page

A pick is a player line, for example Under 13.5 points, that we published before the game together with the price we found for it. We do not take bets.
Odds are shown in the decimal format: 1.93 means you get back 1.93 for every 1 staked, so a higher number pays more. The American format (−108 means risk 108 to win 100; +111 means risk 100 to win 111) appears only in the Data log at the bottom of the page.
'Posted at' is the price we found when we published the pick; 'better' is a higher price for the same line at another bookmaker. Taking the better price is the one thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money.
'Market puts Under at 48.5%' is the chance implied by all bookmakers' prices together, with their built-in margin removed. Pinnacle is a bookmaker whose prices are widely treated as the most accurate reference, so it is the one we compare against.
A player's rate is how often that player has gone over the line this season, for example over in 41 of 78 games (52.6%), with a likely range such as 32–52%: fewer games means a wider range, and under 10 games we show no rate word at all.
'Past record stronger than the price' means the whole likely range sits above the chance the bookmakers' price implies; 'weaker' means below; 'agrees with the price' means the price sits inside the range, which is the usual case. None of these is a tip.
'Not measurable' is the usual honest answer: too few games to tell a real difference from chance.
'What could go wrong' lists the facts that can change a line: who is out, whether the starting lineup is confirmed, expected playing time (RotoWire's estimate, typically off by about 4 minutes), rest, and how many bookmakers price each line.
After the final, every pick is checked against the official stats and compared with the last price before the game started, the market's most informed price; getting a better price than that is the fairest test of a pick, whether or not it won. A tie means the player landed exactly on the line and the stake is returned; lines ending in .5 cannot tie.
Results are given for every 1 staked: 'would have returned +0.93' means a stake of 1 would have come back with 0.93 in profit. We do not stake anything; the record is what a stake of 1 on each pick would have done. Our record counts a smaller stake when the price advantage was small.
S beside a name marks an expected starter. Times are shown in your device's time zone; our data is recorded in US Eastern Time (ET). Team codes are the league's three-letter abbreviations.
'Your prediction' lets you pick Over or Under on any line before the game starts; we check your predictions the same way and keep your record, and one game of results proves nothing.
Team codes on this page: TOR = Toronto Tempo, CHI = Chicago Sky.

Saved player research

Picks and prices

Odds of at least 1.70 only · highest odds first · results checked

A line is the number a bookmaker sets, e.g. 13.5 points; Over means more than it, Under fewer. Odds 1.93 pay 1.93 for every 1 staked. 'Posted at' is the price we found when we published the pick; after the game it is compared with the last price before the start.

Publication timing not verified

Saved legacy CORE rows, if available, have not been verified as pre-tip publications. They are not backfilled into the published record, and a missing row is not a pass.

No new predictions are being generated here after tip. Saved calls and captured research are not current offers or injury confirmations.

This game’s current price coverage could not be verified. An empty price panel does not mean bookmakers have no lines.

Price comparison only: live snapshot enrichment and model inference were not requested by this game view. Source injuries, lineups and historical statistics are separate reads.

Evaluation coverage and timestamps

Status is slate-wide, observed only since the service started. It does not identify this game’s individual evaluation result.

Slate games processed: 0 / 0
Latest publication attempt: unknown
Status observed since: 29 Oct, 12:14 UTC

No verified attempt timestamp was returned. This is unknown—not a successful empty evaluation.

K. Rice · Over 4.5 assistsWonPosted at 2.07 · last price before start 2.16Won +1.07 per 1 staked

Posted at 2.07 · Our price was 2.0% lower than the last price before the start.

Pinnacle, the reference bookmaker, does not offer this line

No price history for this line.

Re-checked 1 h before the start not re-checked

Legacy CORE signal · publication timing not verified. Recorded model stake: 1.7 units. The broader CORE flat-1u benchmark is separate; it is not a recommended1u wager or the exact published cohort’s ROI.

Investigate this prop →

Why the better price matters

In our past tests, simply taking the highest price offered for a line earned more than any of our own forecasts did.

In that test (25 Aug 2026), taking the best price returned about 2.8 more for every 100 staked than the price we posted did.

The players

7 players checked · 4 whose past record points the other way from the bookmakers' price · 0 out · 0 with too few games

Rate: the share of this season's games in which the player finished above tonight's line. S beside a name marks an expected starter.

Against this opponent, 0 of 6 players have performed clearly differently and 0 show a slight hint

Context only A player's rate describes the past; it is not a tip and has not been tested as one. Expected minutes come from RotoWire, a lineup news service.

Sign in to see each player's rate The numbers below (for example 15.5 points) are the lines the bookmakers actually posted.

Toronto Tempoplaying CHI

SKiki Rice · 30 min expected

assists 4.5 → 7 actual

SLaura Juskaite · 30 min expected

points 12.5 → 20 actual

SIsabelle Harrison · 26 min expected

points 13.5 → 21 actual

8 players have no line from any bookmaker: Allemand (28 expected minutes) · Conde (25 min) · +6 more

Chicago Skyplaying TOR

SGabriela Jaquez · 30 min expected

points 10.5 → 18 actual

SCourtney Vandersloot · 25 min expected

points 8.5 → 10 actual

SSydney Taylor · 24 min expected

points 13.5 → 18 actual

SKamilla Cardoso · 23 min expected

points 12.5 → 17 actual

6 players have no line from any bookmaker: Sheldon (24 expected minutes) · Williams (23 min) · +4 more

Saved gameplay research · not CORE picks

What did the models record?

Read frozen projections, minutes and lineup assumptions for this exact game. These are uncalibrated research—not official recommendations or evidence that the CORE selector ran.

Only original pre-tip captures are read. Nothing is newly forecast after tip; old availability assumptions are not current injury news.

Saved reads only · no new captures, current snapshots, odds requests or paid AI runs.

What could go wrong

updated 04:36 UTC

Who is out

Out Coulibaly · earlier listed as may not play (changed Tue 23:00 UTC) · 15, 15 and 13 min in the last 3 games

Williams · new starter · 5 of 114 player lines not yet adjusted for the change

Out Fagbenle · earlier listed as may not play (changed Tue 17:15 UTC) · 20, 26 and 22 min in the last 3 games

Conde · new starter · 5 of 114 player lines not yet adjusted for the change

Out Morrow · left knee · TOR

Out Stevens · right knee · CHI

Out Sykes · left foot · TOR

Out Carrington · left foot · CHI

Out Borkowska · coach's decision · TOR

Out Gakdeng · coach's decision · TOR

Out Mabrey · right groin muscle · TOR

Out Cloud · left knee · CHI

Out Diggins · right knee · CHI

Lineups

Starting lineup confirmed (Wed 00:00 UTC) · RotoWire, a lineup news service, as of game start

Playing time

1 player is expected to play at least 5 minutes more or fewer than in the last 5 games. For 6 players (Bankole, Nurse, Williams, Cardoso, Banham, Maly) we have no real minutes estimate, only a default.

Jaquez: expected to play 30 minutes, averaged 23.7 in the last 5 games, about 6.3 more than usual

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

TOR had 38 days off before this game · CHI had 38 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 6 of the 68 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Coulibaly out (Tue 23:00 UTC) · did not play

Williams new starter · started, 30.3 min

Flagged before the game: Fagbenle out (Tue 17:15 UTC) · did not play

Conde new starter · started, 13.9 min

1 expected player did not play

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

What happened

In 0 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

Final · 1 of 1 pick won1 won, 0 lost · +1.07 if you had staked 1 on each · our prices on average 2.0% lower than the last before the start · checked Fri 00:52 UTC

Kiki Rice · assists 4.5 → 7 · 2.5 above the line · played 30.3 min (30 expected)

Pick: Over 4.5 at 2.07 → Won +1.07 per 1 staked

6 other players with a posted line

Gabriela Jaquez · points 10.5 → 18 · 7.5 above the line · played 22.1 min (30 expected) · no final price

Laura Juskaite · points 12.5 → 20 · 7.5 above the line · played 28.2 min (30 expected) · no final price

Isabelle Harrison · points 13.5 → 21 · 7.5 above the line · played 28.9 min (26 expected) · no final price

Kamilla Cardoso · points 12.5 → 17 · 4.5 above the line · played 25.9 min (23 expected) · no final price

Sydney Taylor · points 13.5 → 18 · 4.5 above the line · played 24.5 min (24 expected) · no final price

Courtney Vandersloot · points 8.5 → 10 · 1.5 above the line · played 26 min (25 expected) · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

More context

Head to head

CHI vs TOR · last 3 games · TOR leads · CHI record 1–2 · average score 89.7–93.7 · CHI has lost by 4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

22 Sep · TOR 85 at CHI 97CHI won

7 Jun · CHI 68 at TOR 85CHI lost

27 May · TOR 111 at CHI 104CHI lost

What each defense gives up per game

TOR gives up94.4 points · 34.5 rebounds · 22.6 assists · 9.8 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 47.8% of shots · 35.4% from three-point range · 12.1 opponent turnovers

CHI gives up90.7 points · 37.1 rebounds · 20.7 assists · 8.2 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.9% of shots · 33.8% from three-point range · 12.9 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

TOR gives up 94.4 points a game · 15th of 15 · league average 87.0+7.3 vs average

CHI gives up 90.7 points a game · 11th of 15 · league average 87.0+3.6 vs average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 1

Kiki Rice · O 4.5 assists+107value_edge_pct +7.37 · kelly 1.70u · price_check unchecked · rank 1

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 1

Kiki Rice Over 4.5 ASTWIN +1.07ubet +107 → close +116 · CLV −2.0¢ · bet_clv:1498211 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-09-22T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 51.9% · actual 7 · 30.3 min · started

Data fetches · 39

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 12 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 13 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 13 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 14 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 32 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 32 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 51 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 71 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 93 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 111 ms

grading picks/published (saved-only)ok · 112 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 132 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 134 ms

grading verdict/board (price-only)ok 200 · 182 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 14 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 236 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 137 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 142 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 85 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 268 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 88 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 89 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 89 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 91 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 92 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 93 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 95 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 95 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 98 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 99 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 110 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 111 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 113 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 115 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 282 ms

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The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.