WNBA · Sep 27 gameAll props Full sheet

Dallas Wings at Golden State Valkyries

FinalDAL 80 – GSV 104Page updated 23:48 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

All 17 saved picks graded.

Better-price comparison unavailable.

Saved picks

17Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 1 availability alert

Out Smith · left leg · DAL

Ogunbowale, Shepard, Chen, Hayes have repeated minutes estimates. These may be source defaults; individual provenance is unavailable. Recent-minute comparisons are unavailable.

Cecilia ZandalasiniOver 2.5 assists

LostActual 1

Posted odds3.08Details

Why this pick?

This selection appears on the published card. A player-specific explanation is not supplied in this saved record.

Investigate Cecilia’s assists

Price evidence

The multi-book price comparison is unavailable in this view.

Posted odds: 3.08. Last price before tip: 2.62.

Recorded result: −1.00 per 1 staked.

No completed pre-tip price re-check is recorded here.

Price movement history is unavailable for this line.

Stake and record policy

The published pick carries a model-sized stake of 2.00 units. Results/Ledger grades its eligible CORE signals at a flat 1 unit; that population can include more signals than this game’s card.

Awak KuierOver 9.5 points

LostActual 2

Posted odds2.56

Veronica BurtonUnder 9.5 rebounds + assists

WonActual 8

Posted odds2.40

Jessica ShepardUnder 26.5 points + rebounds + assists

WonActual 6

Posted odds2.38

Gabby WilliamsUnder 21.5 points + rebounds + assists

LostActual 27

Posted odds2.27

Paige BueckersOver 20.5 points

WonActual 21

Posted odds2.18

Gabby WilliamsUnder 3.5 rebounds

WonActual 3

Posted odds2.15

Arike OgunbowaleUnder 14.5 points

WonActual 10

Posted odds2.13

Veronica BurtonUnder 22.5 points + rebounds + assists

WonActual 18

Posted odds2.13

Gabby WilliamsUnder 1.5 3-pointers

LostActual 2

Posted odds2.12

Jessica ShepardOver 16.5 points + assists

LostActual 3

Posted odds2.11

Cecilia ZandalasiniOver 11.5 points + rebounds + assists

WonActual 23

Posted odds1.94

Kayla ThorntonUnder 9.5 points

LostActual 10

Posted odds1.75

Awak KuierUnder 1.5 assists

WonActual 0

Posted odds1.73

Kaitlyn ChenOver 2.5 assists

LostActual 2

Posted odds3.00

Kaitlyn ChenOver 4.5 points

WonActual 8

Posted odds2.20

Tiffany HayesOver 2.5 assists

WonActual 4

Posted odds2.00

No completed pre-tip price re-check recorded for these picks.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Smith · left leg · DAL

Players and minutes20 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Full player-line feed has no entries in this view · 20 rostered players. 17 published picks use separate saved records.

Dallas Wings

9 players · no line in this feed

Paige Bueckers33 min · source estimate

Arike Ogunbowale32 min · source estimate

Jessica Shepard32 min · source estimate

Awak Kuier25 min · source estimate

Odyssey Sims22 min · source estimate

Maddy Siegrist20 min · source estimate

Aziaha James16 min · source estimate

Alysha Clark15 min · source estimate

Li Yueru5 min · source estimate

Golden State Valkyries

11 players · no line in this feed

Kayla Thornton25 min · source estimate

Veronica Burton25 min · source estimate

Gabby Williams23 min · source estimate

Janelle Salaun23 min · source estimate

Kiah Stokes21 min · source estimate

Cecilia Zandalasini20 min · source estimate

Kaila Charles20 min · source estimate

Kaitlyn Chen18 min · source estimate

Tiffany Hayes18 min · source estimate

Laeticia Amihere5 min · source estimate

Juste Jocyte2 min · source estimate

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 23:48 UTC

Who is out

Prechtel · did not play last game

Sowah · did not play last game

Williams · did not play last game

Out Smith · left leg · DAL

Lineups

Starting lineup confirmed (Mon 01:00 UTC) · RotoWire, a lineup news service, as of game start

Playing time

Ogunbowale, Shepard, Chen, Hayes have repeated minutes estimates. These may be source defaults; individual provenance is unavailable. Recent-minute comparisons are unavailable.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

DAL had 38 days off before this game · GSV had 9 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

Full player-line feed has no entries in this view. 17 published picks use separate saved records.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Prechtel out · did not play

Flagged before the game: Sowah out · did not play

Flagged before the game: Williams out · did not play

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

One game proves nothing.

Final · 10 of 17 picks won10 won, 7 lost · +4.24 if you had staked 1 on each · our prices on average 6.0% higher than the last before the start · 19 lines checked, 2 scored but not picked · checked Wed 01:52 UTC

No player-line entries were captured in this roster view.

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

GSV vs DAL · last 10 games · GSV leads · GSV record 8–2 · average score 87.5–80.4 · GSV has won by 7.1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

2 Oct · DAL 73 at GSV 77GSV won

30 Sep · GSV 100 at DAL 108GSV lost

27 Sep · DAL 80 at GSV 104GSV won

17 Aug · DAL 70 at GSV 78GSV won

7 Aug · GSV 94 at DAL 76GSV won

17 Jun · DAL 80 at GSV 91GSV won

What each defense gives up per game

DAL gives up85.8 points · 33.4 rebounds · 19.9 assists · 8.4 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.7% of shots · 33.9% from three-point range · 11.6 opponent turnovers

GSV gives up75.3 points · 32.8 rebounds · 17.8 assists · 7.8 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 41.0% of shots · 32.4% from three-point range · 13.3 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

DAL gives up 85.8 points a game · 5th of 15 · league average 87.0about league average

GSV gives up 75.3 points a game · 1st of 15 · league average 87.0−11.7 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had GSV expected to win by 7.5, expected total 154 (Fri 15:41 UTC) and had not changed it by Mon 00:04 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 18

Awak Kuier · O 9.5 points+156value_edge_pct +23.66 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 3

Cecilia Zandalasini · O 2.5 assists+208value_edge_pct +20.95 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 4

Kaitlyn Chen · O 2.5 assists+200value_edge_pct +19.72 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 5

Jessica Shepard · U 26.5 pra+138value_edge_pct +17.90 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 6

Gabby Williams · U 21.5 pra+127value_edge_pct +13.12 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 8

Kaitlyn Chen · O 4.5 points+120value_edge_pct +12.10 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 12

Kaitlyn Chen · O 5.5 points+125value_edge_pct +10.94 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 14

Arike Ogunbowale · U 14.5 points+113value_edge_pct +10.55 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 15

Tiffany Hayes · O 2.5 assists+100value_edge_pct +10.02 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 16

Veronica Burton · U 9.5 ra+140value_edge_pct +10.01 · kelly 1.80u · price_check unchecked · rank 17

Gabby Williams · U 3.5 rebounds+115value_edge_pct +9.55 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 20

Veronica Burton · U 22.5 pra+113value_edge_pct +8.53 · kelly 1.90u · price_check unchecked · rank 22

Paige Bueckers · O 20.5 points+118value_edge_pct +8.43 · kelly 1.80u · price_check unchecked · rank 23

Jessica Shepard · O 16.5 pa+111value_edge_pct +7.51 · kelly 1.70u · price_check unchecked · rank 27

Gabby Williams · U 1.5 threes+112value_edge_pct +7.38 · kelly 1.65u · price_check unchecked · rank 29

Cecilia Zandalasini · O 11.5 pra−106value_edge_pct +5.32 · kelly 1.40u · price_check unchecked · rank 36

Awak Kuier · U 1.5 assists−137value_edge_pct +5.18 · kelly 1.75u · price_check unchecked · rank 37

Kayla Thornton · U 9.5 points−133value_edge_pct +3.67 · kelly 1.20u · price_check unchecked · rank 38

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 19

Jessica Shepard Over 16.5 PALOSS −1.00ubet +111 → close −102 · CLV +3.1¢ · bet_clv:1871140 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-09-27T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 51.0% · conversion_unlucky · actual 3 · 23.9 min · started

Kaitlyn Chen Over 5.5 PTSWIN +1.25ubet +125 → close +125 · CLV +0.0¢ · bet_clv:1871141 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-09-27T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 49.3% · actual 8 · 17.1 min · bench

Gabby Williams Under 21.5 PRALOSS −1.00ubet +127 → close −110 · CLV +8.3¢ · bet_clv:1871139 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-09-27T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 49.8% · conversion_unlucky · actual 27 · 27.4 min · started

Cecilia Zandalasini Over 11.5 PRAWIN +0.94ubet −106 → close −114 · CLV +1.8¢ · bet_clv:1893975 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-09-27T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 C · p_hit 54.2% · actual 23 · 15.9 min · bench

Paige Bueckers Over 20.5 PTSWIN +1.18ubet +118 → close −109 · CLV +6.3¢ · bet_clv:1893980 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-09-27T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 49.7% · actual 21 · 25.1 min · started

Tiffany Hayes Over 2.5 ASTWIN +1.00ubet +100 · bet_clv:1893981 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-09-27T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 55.0% · actual 4 · 18.6 min · bench

Cecilia Zandalasini Over 2.5 ASTLOSS −1.00ubet +208 → close +162 · CLV +5.7¢ · bet_clv:1893976 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-09-27T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 39.3% · conversion_unlucky · actual 1 · 15.9 min · bench

Awak Kuier Over 9.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +156 → close −102 · CLV +11.4¢ · bet_clv:1893973 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-09-27T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 48.3% · conversion_unlucky · actual 2 · 20.1 min · started

Awak Kuier Under 1.5 ASTWIN +0.73ubet −137 → close −188 · CLV +7.5¢ · bet_clv:1893974 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-09-27T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 60.8% · actual 0 · 20.1 min · startedKuier recorded zero assists on just 20 minutes and 15% usage, unable to create plays in a limited role where she shot 1-5 from the field. Her offensive inefficiency (20% TS%) and lack of ball-handling opportunities made the under an easy clear.

Arike Ogunbowale Under 3.5 ASTLOSS −1.00ubet −150 → close −194 · CLV +6.0¢ · bet_clv:1871138 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-09-27T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 60.9% · conversion_unlucky · actual 4 · 25.5 min · startedOgunbowale hit the over by one assist despite inefficient scoring (2-7 FG), relying on her role as the primary ball-handler in 26 minutes to generate four dimes. Though limited by poor shooting and low usage at 21%, she still found enough playmaking opportunities to push through the 3.5 threshold.

Gabby Williams Under 3.5 REBWIN +1.15ubet +115 → close −102 · CLV +4.0¢ · bet_clv:1937370 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-09-27T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 51.0% · actual 3 · 27.4 min · started

Veronica Burton Under 9.5 RAWIN +1.40ubet +140 → close +102 · CLV +7.8¢ · bet_clv:1937378 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-09-27T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 45.8% · actual 8 · 22.9 min · started

Veronica Burton Under 22.5 PRAWIN +1.13ubet +113 → close −114 · CLV +6.3¢ · bet_clv:1937377 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-09-27T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 51.0% · actual 18 · 22.9 min · started

Jessica Shepard Under 26.5 PRAWIN +1.38ubet +138 → close −102 · CLV +8.5¢ · bet_clv:1937372 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-09-27T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 49.5% · actual 6 · 23.9 min · startedShepard was a complete non-factor offensively, going 0-for-7 from the field with zero points in 24 minutes, while her 3 rebounds and 3 assists combined for just 6 PRA—well below the 26.5 line. The poor shooting night and modest involvement (21% usage) left her unable to approach the prop despite adequate playing time.

Kaitlyn Chen Over 2.5 ASTLOSS −1.00ubet +200 → close +154 · CLV +6.0¢ · bet_clv:1897357 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-09-27T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 39.9% · conversion_unlucky · actual 2 · 17.1 min · bench

Gabby Williams Under 1.5 3PMLOSS −1.00ubet +112 → close −112 · CLV +5.7¢ · bet_clv:1897356 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-09-27T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 50.6% · conversion_unlucky · actual 2 · 27.4 min · started

Kaitlyn Chen Over 4.5 PTSWIN +1.20ubet +120 → close −107 · CLV +6.2¢ · bet_clv:1897359 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-09-27T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 51.0% · actual 8 · 17.1 min · benchChen hit 3-of-7 from the field and 2-of-4 from three in 17 minutes, translating to 8 points and comfortably clearing the 4.5-point line despite modest 19% usage.

Arike Ogunbowale Under 14.5 PTSWIN +1.13ubet +113 → close −121 · CLV +7.8¢ · bet_clv:1871137 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-09-27T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 51.9% · actual 10 · 25.5 min · started

Kayla Thornton Under 9.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet −133 → close −133 · CLV +0.0¢ · bet_clv:1893979 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-09-27T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 59.2% · unexplained · actual 10 · 18.6 min · benchThornton's efficient 4-6 shooting night—including 2-3 on threes—pushed her just over the line despite limited 19 minutes of action, as her 83% true shooting made every possession count in the tight scoring environment.

Data fetches · 41

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 11 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-26)ok 200 · 13 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-25)ok 200 · 15 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 17 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-13)ok 200 · 17 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-14)ok 200 · 18 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-15)ok 200 · 20 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 20 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-16)ok 200 · 21 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 23 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 25 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-19)ok 200 · 25 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-22)ok 200 · 26 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-21)ok 200 · 26 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-18)ok 200 · 26 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-23)ok 200 · 26 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-20)ok 200 · 26 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-24)ok 200 · 27 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-17)ok 200 · 27 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 26 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 27 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 28 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 31 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 38 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 95 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 102 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 114 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 123 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 94 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 97 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 98 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 100 ms

odds player timeline (ra)failed 503 · 101 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 102 ms

odds player timeline (pra)failed 503 · 103 ms

odds player timeline (pra)failed 503 · 104 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 105 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 106 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 115 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 215 ms

grading verdict/boardfailed · 6000 ms

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