WNBA · Oct 4 gameAll props Full sheet

Las Vegas Aces at Golden State Valkyries

PregameTip Sun 20:00 UTCPage updated 06:10 UTC

Published prices can change

Open a pick for its evidence and to save your read.

Published picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 2 availability alerts

Out Evans · right knee · LVA

Out Talbot · left leg · LVA

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Evans · right knee · LVA

Out Talbot · left leg · LVA

Players and minutes12 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Las Vegas Aces

A'ja Wilson · minutes unknown

points 24.5

Chelsea Gray · minutes unknown

points 12.5

Jackie Young · minutes unknown

points 19.5

Jewell Loyd · minutes unknown

points 7.5

Stephanie Talbot · Out · left leg

points 5.5 · bookmakers usually void this line and return the stake if Talbot does not play

Golden State Valkyries

Cecilia Zandalasini · minutes unknown

points 7.5

Gabby Williams · minutes unknown

points 18.5

Janelle Salaun · minutes unknown

points 9.5

Kaila Charles · minutes unknown

points 5.5

Kayla Thornton · minutes unknown

points 7.5

Kiah Stokes · minutes unknown

points 3.5

Veronica Burton · minutes unknown

assists 5.5

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

LVA expected to win by about 1.5 · both teams together expected to score about 161.5 points · odds to win: LVA 1.83, GSV 1.97

Game odds from 19 bookmakers · observed 05:49 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 06:10 UTC

Who is out

Out Evans · right knee · LVA

Out Talbot · left leg · LVA

LVA has not published an injury report for this game

GSV has not published an injury report for this game

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

GSV also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 110 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your readsSave a prediction from a pick above

Your prediction

closes at game start, Sun 20:00 UTC

No predictions yetYour record: 0 won, 0 lost

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

GSV vs LVA · last 7 games · LVA leads · GSV record 1–6 · average score 82.7–88.3 · GSV has lost by 5.6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

21 Jun · GSV 73 at LVA 92GSV lost

6 Jun · GSV 79 at LVA 84GSV lost

31 May · LVA 91 at GSV 81GSV lost

What each defense gives up per game

LVA gives up86.2 points · 33.5 rebounds · 18.9 assists · 8.8 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.5% of shots · 34.7% from three-point range · 13.1 opponent turnovers

GSV gives up75.9 points · 32.6 rebounds · 18.2 assists · 8.0 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 41.7% of shots · 33.0% from three-point range · 13.5 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

LVA gives up 86.2 points a game · 7th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

GSV gives up 75.9 points a game · 1st of 15 · league average 87.2−11.3 vs average

How the game odds moved

1xBet first had LVA expected to win by 1.5, expected total 161.5 (03:40 UTC) and had not changed it by 05:49 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 56

sds games/date (2026-10-03)ok 200 · 30 ms

sds games/date (2026-10-01)ok 200 · 29 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 53 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 62 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-26)ok 200 · 77 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 81 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-25)ok 200 · 103 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-24)ok 200 · 104 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-30)ok 200 · 105 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-28)ok 200 · 107 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-29)ok 200 · 109 ms

sds games/date (2026-10-02)ok 200 · 112 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-27)ok 200 · 111 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-23)ok 200 · 141 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-22)ok 200 · 144 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-21)ok 200 · 146 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-20)ok 200 · 148 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 153 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 155 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 156 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 157 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 159 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 160 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 162 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 250 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 251 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 33 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 34 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 311 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 431 ms

grading verdict/cardok · 4242 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 4906 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 105 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 111 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 214 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 230 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 234 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 235 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 246 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 250 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 287 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 311 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 320 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 323 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 328 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 330 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 333 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 336 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 338 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 353 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 366 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 368 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 374 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 377 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 380 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 396 ms

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The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.