Aari McDonald over 8.5 points
She has cleared 8.5 in 59 of 113 games — 52.2%. That rate needs -110 to break even, and no book in our ledger has priced it.
01
Distribution
113 games · hover a bucket0–2.5 points · 12 games · 10.6% · under12
2.5–5 points · 13 games · 11.5% · under13
5–7.5 points · 22 games · 19.5% · under22
7.5–10 points · 14 games · 12.4% · under14
10–12.5 points · 19 games · 16.8% · over19
12.5–15 points · 14 games · 12.4% · over14
15–17.5 points · 11 games · 9.7% · over11
17.5–20 points · 3 games · 2.7% · over3
20–22.5 points · 3 games · 2.7% · over3
22.5–25 points · 1 game · 0.9% · over1
25–27.5 points · 1 game · 0.9% · over1
8.5
UNDER · 54OVER · 59 · filled bars clear the line
02
Recent games
points · line 8.5 · hover a bar2024-07-09 · MIN · 4 points · −4.5 vs line
2024-07-13 · DAL · 12 points · +3.5 vs line
2024-07-16 · SEA · 8 points · −0.5 vs line
2024-09-01 · ATL · 0 points · −8.5 vs line
2024-09-04 · IND · 3 points · −5.5 vs line
2025-06-03 · WAS · 7 points · −1.5 vs line
2025-06-07 · CHI · 12 points · +3.5 vs line
2025-06-10 · ATL · 14 points · +5.5 vs line
2025-06-26 · LAS · 14 points · +5.5 vs line
2025-06-27 · DAL · 13 points · +4.5 vs line
2025-07-03 · LVA · 8 points · −0.5 vs line
2025-07-05 · LAS · 4 points · −4.5 vs line
2025-07-09 · GSV · 7 points · −1.5 vs line
2025-07-11 · ATL · 6 points · −2.5 vs line
2025-07-13 · DAL · 5 points · −3.5 vs line
2025-07-15 · CON · 2 points · −6.5 vs line
2025-07-16 · NYL · 10 points · +1.5 vs line
2025-07-22 · NYL · 5 points · −3.5 vs line
2025-07-24 · LVA · 9 points · +0.5 vs line
2025-07-27 · CHI · 10 points · +1.5 vs line
2025-07-30 · PHO · 27 points · +18.5 vs line
2025-08-01 · DAL · 15 points · +6.5 vs line
2025-08-03 · SEA · 9 points · +0.5 vs line
2025-08-05 · LAS · 15 points · +6.5 vs line
2025-08-07 · PHO · 4 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-09-20 · CON · 4 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-09-22 · IND · 10 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-09-24 · IND · 8 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-09-27 · NYL · 0 points · −8.5 vs line
2026-09-29 · NYL · 8 points · −0.5 vs line
8.5
2024-07-09— 5-game mean2026-09-29 · newest
03
Recent form
50.0%5/10 · last 10
2025-07-30 · 27 points · OVER
27
2025-08-01 · 15 points · OVER
15
2025-08-03 · 9 points · OVER
9
2025-08-05 · 15 points · OVER
15
2025-08-07 · 4 points · UNDER
4
2026-09-20 · 4 points · UNDER
4
2026-09-22 · 10 points · OVER
10
2026-09-24 · 8 points · UNDER
8
2026-09-27 · 0 points · UNDER
0
2026-09-29 · 8 points · UNDER
8
A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.
04
Market history
No book in our ledger has priced this exact line. Our books publish eight WNBA markets, so a threshold outside those has a rate but no price to check it against.
05
Game log
25 of 113 · click a row for the box scoreDATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 8.5
2026-09-29PLAYOFF R1 G2NYLAWAY14.3MIN8POINTS0 · 3 · 3-5UNDER
- FG
- 3-5
- 3PT
- 2-4
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 80.0
- USG%
- 16.6
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +2
- PRA
- 11
2026-09-27PLAYOFF R1 G1NYLHOME2.0MIN0POINTS1 · 1 · 0-0UNDER
- FG
- 0-0
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/0
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 23.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +3
- PRA
- 2
2026-09-24INDHOME19.6MIN8POINTS0 · 1 · 2-8UNDER
- FG
- 2-8
- 3PT
- 2-6
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 45.0
- USG%
- 20.0
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -9
- PRA
- 9
2026-09-22INDAWAY21.5MIN10POINTS2 · 5 · 2-9OVER
- FG
- 2-9
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 5-6
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 43.0
- USG%
- 26.7
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -3
- PRA
- 17
2026-09-20CONAWAY4.9MIN4POINTS0 · 0 · 1-2UNDER
- FG
- 1-2
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 69.4
- USG%
- 42.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -2
- PRA
- 4
2025-08-07PHOAWAY23.8MIN4POINTS2 · 3 · 2-5UNDER
- FG
- 2-5
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 0-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 34.0
- USG%
- 14.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -15
- PRA
- 9
2025-08-05LASAWAY29.9MIN15POINTS5 · 6 · 6-13OVER
- FG
- 6-13
- 3PT
- 3-7
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/3
- TS%
- 57.7
- USG%
- 21.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +1
- PRA
- 26
2025-08-03SEAAWAY32.9MIN9POINTS4 · 9 · 4-10OVER
- FG
- 4-10
- 3PT
- 0-5
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 43.1
- USG%
- 19.8
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +9
- PRA
- 22
2025-08-01DALAWAY29.1MIN15POINTS4 · 6 · 4-10OVER
- FG
- 4-10
- 3PT
- 4-6
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 63.8
- USG%
- 25.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 6
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +13
- PRA
- 25
2025-07-30PHOHOME31.4MIN27POINTS0 · 4 · 7-11OVER
- FG
- 7-11
- 3PT
- 3-4
- FT
- 10-10
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 87.7
- USG%
- 26.1
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +3
- PRA
- 31
2025-07-27CHIAWAY23.5MIN10POINTS2 · 4 · 4-8OVER
- FG
- 4-8
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 56.3
- USG%
- 24.9
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -6
- PRA
- 16
2025-07-24LVAHOME22.4MIN9POINTS2 · 4 · 3-4OVER
- FG
- 3-4
- 3PT
- 3-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 112.5
- USG%
- 13.9
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +13
- PRA
- 15
2025-07-22NYLAWAY31.3MIN5POINTS4 · 6 · 2-8UNDER
- FG
- 2-8
- 3PT
- 0-4
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 29.6
- USG%
- 16.0
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -4
- PRA
- 15
2025-07-16NYLAWAY28.5MIN10POINTS1 · 5 · 4-9OVER
- FG
- 4-9
- 3PT
- 2-6
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 55.6
- USG%
- 17.8
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -14
- PRA
- 16
2025-07-15CONAWAY9.7MIN2POINTS0 · 3 · 0-1UNDER
- FG
- 0-1
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 53.2
- USG%
- 19.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -9
- PRA
- 5
2025-07-13DALHOME20.4MIN5POINTS5 · 6 · 2-7UNDER
- FG
- 2-7
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 3/2
- TS%
- 35.7
- USG%
- 14.7
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +10
- PRA
- 16
2025-07-11ATLHOME25.1MIN6POINTS1 · 3 · 3-4UNDER
- FG
- 3-4
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 75.0
- USG%
- 8.3
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +24
- PRA
- 10
2025-07-09GSVHOME27.3MIN7POINTS1 · 4 · 2-9UNDER
- FG
- 2-9
- 3PT
- 1-7
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 35.4
- USG%
- 19.8
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -20
- PRA
- 12
2025-07-05LASHOME29.6MIN4POINTS1 · 8 · 2-9UNDER
- FG
- 2-9
- 3PT
- 0-4
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 22.2
- USG%
- 15.5
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 6
- +/−
- -4
- PRA
- 13
2025-07-03LVAHOME30.8MIN8POINTS7 · 7 · 3-8UNDER
- FG
- 3-8
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 2/5
- TS%
- 45.0
- USG%
- 20.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +26
- PRA
- 22
2025-06-27DALAWAY29.8MIN13POINTS2 · 6 · 6-9OVER
- FG
- 6-9
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 65.8
- USG%
- 18.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +5
- PRA
- 21
2025-06-26LASHOME23.6MIN14POINTS2 · 1 · 3-8OVER
- FG
- 3-8
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 7-10
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 56.5
- USG%
- 23.8
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -8
- PRA
- 17
2025-06-10ATLAWAY24.0MIN14POINTS1 · 2 · 3-6OVER
- FG
- 3-6
- 3PT
- 2-5
- FT
- 6-8
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 73.5
- USG%
- 27.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -8
- PRA
- 17
2025-06-07CHIAWAY25.0MIN12POINTS2 · 2 · 4-8OVER
- FG
- 4-8
- 3PT
- 3-6
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 71.1
- USG%
- 18.7
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +19
- PRA
- 16
2025-06-03WASHOME27.4MIN7POINTS1 · 5 · 2-7UNDER
- FG
- 2-7
- 3PT
- 1-5
- FT
- 2-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 40.0
- USG%
- 16.6
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +6
- PRA
- 13
showing 25 of 113 — every rate above is computed over all 113