Arike Ogunbowale over 16.5 points
She has cleared 16.5 in 119 of 187 games — 63.6%. That rate needs -175 to break even and books have been paying -119.
01
Distribution
187 games · hover a bucket0–5 points · 8 games · 4.3% · under8
5–10 points · 20 games · 10.7% · under20
10–15 points · 24 games · 12.8% · under24
15–20 points · 39 games · 20.9% · under39
20–25 points · 56 games · 29.9% · over56
25–30 points · 25 games · 13.4% · over25
30–35 points · 9 games · 4.8% · over9
35–40 points · 4 games · 2.1% · over4
40–45 points · 2 games · 1.1% · over2
16.5
UNDER · 68OVER · 119 · filled bars clear the line
02
Recent games
points · line 16.5 · hover a bar2026-06-17 · GSV · 21 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-06-20 · CHI · 12 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-06-22 · SEA · 4 points · −12.5 vs line
2026-06-25 · LVA · 4 points · −12.5 vs line
2026-06-28 · MIN · 5 points · −11.5 vs line
2026-07-02 · CON · 9 points · −7.5 vs line
2026-07-05 · TOR · 10 points · −6.5 vs line
2026-07-07 · NYL · 8 points · −8.5 vs line
2026-07-10 · TOR · 20 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-07-12 · CHI · 17 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-07-19 · LAS · 20 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-07-20 · NYL · 29 points · +12.5 vs line
2026-07-22 · POR · 24 points · +7.5 vs line
2026-07-29 · ATL · 24 points · +7.5 vs line
2026-07-31 · WAS · 20 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-08-02 · CON · 15 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-08-05 · WAS · 15 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-08-07 · GSV · 5 points · −11.5 vs line
2026-08-09 · MIN · 5 points · −11.5 vs line
2026-08-12 · TOR · 21 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-08-14 · IND · 20 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-08-17 · GSV · 17 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-08-20 · IND · 32 points · +15.5 vs line
2026-08-23 · SEA · 7 points · −9.5 vs line
2026-08-25 · POR · 17 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-08-30 · CON · 18 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-09-17 · LAS · 11 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-09-19 · PHO · 22 points · +5.5 vs line
2026-09-21 · PHO · 7 points · −9.5 vs line
2026-09-23 · SEA · 23 points · +6.5 vs line
16.5
2026-06-17— 5-game mean2026-09-23 · newest
03
Recent form
70.0%7/10 · last 10
2026-08-14 · 20 points · OVER
20
2026-08-17 · 17 points · OVER
17
2026-08-20 · 32 points · OVER
32
2026-08-23 · 7 points · UNDER
7
2026-08-25 · 17 points · OVER
17
2026-08-30 · 18 points · OVER
18
2026-09-17 · 11 points · UNDER
11
2026-09-19 · 22 points · OVER
22
2026-09-21 · 7 points · UNDER
7
2026-09-23 · 23 points · OVER
23
A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.
04
Market history
median · 28 postings16.5-119
best offered16.5-102
worst offered16.5-128
our break-even16.5-175
Median -119 across 28 postings over 10 games. That price clears what her rate needs.
05
Game log
25 of 187 · click a row for the box scoreDATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 16.5
2026-09-23SEAAWAY34.8MIN23POINTS4 · 6 · 8-15OVER
- FG
- 8-15
- 3PT
- 2-4
- FT
- 5-5
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 66.9
- USG%
- 21.9
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +26
- PRA
- 33
2026-09-21PHOAWAY30.7MIN7POINTS1 · 2 · 2-8UNDER
- FG
- 2-8
- 3PT
- 1-6
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/0
- TS%
- 39.4
- USG%
- 15.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +1
- PRA
- 10
2026-09-19PHOHOME36.7MIN22POINTS2 · 6 · 8-14OVER
- FG
- 8-14
- 3PT
- 1-5
- FT
- 5-6
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 66.1
- USG%
- 20.1
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +5
- PRA
- 30
2026-09-17LASHOME27.3MIN11POINTS3 · 4 · 4-11UNDER
- FG
- 4-11
- 3PT
- 1-7
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 46.3
- USG%
- 20.5
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +5
- PRA
- 18
2026-08-30CONHOME23.3MIN18POINTS4 · 3 · 6-12OVER
- FG
- 6-12
- 3PT
- 3-5
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 67.6
- USG%
- 26.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +10
- PRA
- 25
2026-08-25PORHOME33.1MIN17POINTS2 · 4 · 7-14OVER
- FG
- 7-14
- 3PT
- 3-7
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 60.7
- USG%
- 20.9
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +23
- PRA
- 23
2026-08-23SEAHOME22.1MIN7POINTS2 · 6 · 2-7UNDER
- FG
- 2-7
- 3PT
- 2-5
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 44.4
- USG%
- 16.5
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +19
- PRA
- 15
2026-08-20INDHOME34.6MIN32POINTS2 · 3 · 12-22OVER
- FG
- 12-22
- 3PT
- 2-6
- FT
- 6-7
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 63.8
- USG%
- 35.4
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +4
- PRA
- 37
2026-08-17GSVAWAY37.0MIN17POINTS4 · 3 · 5-13OVER
- FG
- 5-13
- 3PT
- 1-7
- FT
- 6-6
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 54.3
- USG%
- 22.3
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -8
- PRA
- 24
2026-08-14INDAWAY29.8MIN20POINTS6 · 1 · 7-16OVER
- FG
- 7-16
- 3PT
- 0-5
- FT
- 6-7
- OREB/DREB
- 3/3
- TS%
- 52.4
- USG%
- 31.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -13
- PRA
- 27
2026-08-12TORHOME34.6MIN21POINTS2 · 5 · 4-12OVER
- FG
- 4-12
- 3PT
- 0-5
- FT
- 13-14
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 57.8
- USG%
- 29.6
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +16
- PRA
- 28
2026-08-09MINAWAY27.7MIN5POINTS0 · 4 · 2-4UNDER
- FG
- 2-4
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 62.5
- USG%
- 12.7
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -26
- PRA
- 9
2026-08-07GSVHOME26.7MIN5POINTS4 · 1 · 2-10UNDER
- FG
- 2-10
- 3PT
- 1-6
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/2
- TS%
- 25.0
- USG%
- 21.3
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -9
- PRA
- 10
2026-08-05WASAWAY33.2MIN15POINTS3 · 5 · 4-10UNDER
- FG
- 4-10
- 3PT
- 2-4
- FT
- 5-6
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 59.3
- USG%
- 20.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +4
- PRA
- 23
2026-08-02CONHOME22.7MIN15POINTS5 · 5 · 7-9UNDER
- FG
- 7-9
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/5
- TS%
- 83.3
- USG%
- 20.0
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +14
- PRA
- 25
2026-07-31WASAWAY30.5MIN20POINTS2 · 2 · 7-13OVER
- FG
- 7-13
- 3PT
- 3-8
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 67.8
- USG%
- 28.5
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +3
- PRA
- 24
2026-07-29ATLHOME38.1MIN24POINTS6 · 5 · 9-16OVER
- FG
- 9-16
- 3PT
- 1-1
- FT
- 5-5
- OREB/DREB
- 2/4
- TS%
- 65.9
- USG%
- 24.4
- STL
- 4
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- -1
- PRA
- 35
2026-07-22PORAWAY34.7MIN24POINTS3 · 6 · 8-12OVER
- FG
- 8-12
- 3PT
- 3-5
- FT
- 5-6
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 82.0
- USG%
- 20.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -7
- PRA
- 33
2026-07-20NYLHOME37.8MIN29POINTS5 · 6 · 9-24OVER
- FG
- 9-24
- 3PT
- 3-5
- FT
- 8-8
- OREB/DREB
- 1/4
- TS%
- 52.7
- USG%
- 37.2
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -5
- PRA
- 40
2026-07-19LASHOME31.1MIN20POINTS2 · 1 · 7-13OVER
- FG
- 7-13
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 5-6
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 63.9
- USG%
- 24.3
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -4
- PRA
- 23
2026-07-12CHIHOME29.9MIN17POINTS3 · 1 · 6-14OVER
- FG
- 6-14
- 3PT
- 2-6
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 53.9
- USG%
- 25.4
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +1
- PRA
- 21
2026-07-10TORAWAY29.7MIN20POINTS3 · 7 · 6-11OVER
- FG
- 6-11
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 7-7
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 71.0
- USG%
- 21.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +14
- PRA
- 30
2026-07-07NYLAWAY31.7MIN8POINTS1 · 1 · 3-8UNDER
- FG
- 3-8
- 3PT
- 0-4
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/0
- TS%
- 45.0
- USG%
- 13.8
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +11
- PRA
- 10
2026-07-05TORAWAY27.1MIN10POINTS6 · 2 · 4-13UNDER
- FG
- 4-13
- 3PT
- 1-7
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 3/3
- TS%
- 37.2
- USG%
- 21.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +24
- PRA
- 18
2026-07-02CONAWAY26.4MIN9POINTS2 · 1 · 3-10UNDER
- FG
- 3-10
- 3PT
- 3-9
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 45.0
- USG%
- 18.7
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +1
- PRA
- 12
showing 25 of 187 — every rate above is computed over all 187