Carla Leite over 15.5 points
She has cleared 15.5 in 22 of 78 games — 28.2%. That rate needs +254 to break even and books have been paying +100.
01
Distribution
78 games · hover a bucket0–2.5 points · 11 games · 14.1% · under11
2.5–5 points · 4 games · 5.1% · under4
5–7.5 points · 13 games · 16.7% · under13
7.5–10 points · 3 games · 3.8% · under3
10–12.5 points · 14 games · 17.9% · under14
12.5–15 points · 7 games · 9.0% · under7
15–17.5 points · 4 games · 5.1% · under4
17.5–20 points · 9 games · 11.5% · over9
20–22.5 points · 7 games · 9.0% · over7
22.5–25 points · 2 games · 2.6% · over2
25–27.5 points · 3 games · 3.8% · over3
30–32.5 points · 1 game · 1.3% · over1
15.5
UNDER · 56OVER · 22 · filled bars clear the line
02
Recent games
points · line 15.5 · hover a bar2026-06-05 · PHO · 7 points · −8.5 vs line
2026-06-07 · LAS · 10 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-06-11 · LVA · 18 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-06-13 · DAL · 10 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-06-15 · MIN · 10 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-06-17 · SEA · 20 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-06-24 · CHI · 10 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-06-26 · CHI · 18 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-06-28 · WAS · 32 points · +16.5 vs line
2026-07-04 · SEA · 20 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-07-09 · LVA · 13 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-07-11 · ATL · 13 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-07-14 · CON · 18 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-07-16 · WAS · 14 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-07-18 · MIN · 21 points · +5.5 vs line
2026-07-22 · DAL · 12 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-07-28 · LVA · 11 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-07-31 · IND · 20 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-08-02 · LAS · 21 points · +5.5 vs line
2026-08-06 · TOR · 27 points · +11.5 vs line
2026-08-08 · SEA · 4 points · −11.5 vs line
2026-08-14 · SEA · 14 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-08-16 · PHO · 23 points · +7.5 vs line
2026-08-21 · TOR · 7 points · −8.5 vs line
2026-08-23 · WAS · 27 points · +11.5 vs line
2026-08-25 · DAL · 10 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-08-28 · ATL · 26 points · +10.5 vs line
2026-09-18 · GSV · 12 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-09-20 · LAS · 23 points · +7.5 vs line
2026-09-22 · GSV · 18 points · +2.5 vs line
15.5
2026-06-05— 5-game mean2026-09-22 · newest
03
Recent form
50.0%5/10 · last 10
2026-08-08 · 4 points · UNDER
4
2026-08-14 · 14 points · UNDER
14
2026-08-16 · 23 points · OVER
23
2026-08-21 · 7 points · UNDER
7
2026-08-23 · 27 points · OVER
27
2026-08-25 · 10 points · UNDER
10
2026-08-28 · 26 points · OVER
26
2026-09-18 · 12 points · UNDER
12
2026-09-20 · 23 points · OVER
23
2026-09-22 · 18 points · OVER
18
A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.
04
Market history
median · 11 postings15.5+100
best offered15.5+109
worst offered15.5-110
our break-even15.5+254
Median +100 across 11 postings over 8 games. Her rate has never been worth that price.
05
Game log
25 of 78 · click a row for the box scoreDATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 15.5
2026-09-22GSVHOME28.9MIN18POINTS3 · 6 · 4-12OVER
- FG
- 4-12
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 9-10
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 54.9
- USG%
- 30.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +5
- PRA
- 27
2026-09-20LASAWAY25.7MIN23POINTS3 · 5 · 7-10OVER
- FG
- 7-10
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 8-12
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 75.3
- USG%
- 32.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -23
- PRA
- 31
2026-09-18GSVAWAY27.2MIN12POINTS2 · 6 · 3-8UNDER
- FG
- 3-8
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 5-7
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 54.2
- USG%
- 23.7
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -22
- PRA
- 20
2026-08-28ATLAWAY29.0MIN26POINTS3 · 6 · 9-13OVER
- FG
- 9-13
- 3PT
- 4-4
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 88.1
- USG%
- 33.2
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +13
- PRA
- 35
2026-08-25DALAWAY26.9MIN10POINTS0 · 7 · 4-9UNDER
- FG
- 4-9
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 53.0
- USG%
- 20.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -18
- PRA
- 17
2026-08-23WASHOME29.9MIN27POINTS2 · 11 · 8-20OVER
- FG
- 8-20
- 3PT
- 2-5
- FT
- 9-9
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 56.3
- USG%
- 36.0
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +5
- PRA
- 40
2026-08-21TORAWAY31.7MIN7POINTS0 · 6 · 2-7UNDER
- FG
- 2-7
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 40.0
- USG%
- 13.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +6
- PRA
- 13
2026-08-16PHOAWAY27.6MIN23POINTS1 · 5 · 9-15OVER
- FG
- 9-15
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 4-8
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 62.1
- USG%
- 35.7
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +3
- PRA
- 29
2026-08-14SEAAWAY27.4MIN14POINTS3 · 6 · 5-7UNDER
- FG
- 5-7
- 3PT
- 2-3
- FT
- 2-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 79.9
- USG%
- 21.5
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +1
- PRA
- 23
2026-08-08SEAHOME3.8MIN4POINTS0 · 2 · 0-0UNDER
- FG
- 0-0
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 113.6
- USG%
- 34.7
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +2
- PRA
- 6
2026-08-06TORHOME29.8MIN27POINTS4 · 11 · 5-12OVER
- FG
- 5-12
- 3PT
- 2-5
- FT
- 15-17
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 69.3
- USG%
- 34.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +14
- PRA
- 42
2026-08-02LASHOME26.6MIN21POINTS1 · 8 · 7-15OVER
- FG
- 7-15
- 3PT
- 2-2
- FT
- 5-5
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 61.0
- USG%
- 32.3
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +2
- PRA
- 30
2026-07-31INDHOME30.7MIN20POINTS2 · 12 · 6-9OVER
- FG
- 6-9
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 8-9
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 77.2
- USG%
- 27.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 7
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -8
- PRA
- 34
2026-07-28LVAAWAY21.6MIN11POINTS0 · 3 · 4-10UNDER
- FG
- 4-10
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 50.6
- USG%
- 21.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 6
- +/−
- -10
- PRA
- 14
2026-07-22DALHOME31.2MIN12POINTS3 · 11 · 3-8UNDER
- FG
- 3-8
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 5-6
- OREB/DREB
- 2/1
- TS%
- 56.4
- USG%
- 20.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- 0
- PRA
- 26
2026-07-18MINAWAY30.8MIN21POINTS4 · 7 · 9-17OVER
- FG
- 9-17
- 3PT
- 1-5
- FT
- 2-3
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 57.3
- USG%
- 30.8
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +2
- PRA
- 32
2026-07-16WASAWAY23.0MIN14POINTS1 · 5 · 5-12UNDER
- FG
- 5-12
- 3PT
- 0-4
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 50.9
- USG%
- 29.2
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +18
- PRA
- 20
2026-07-14CONAWAY32.7MIN18POINTS1 · 6 · 6-11OVER
- FG
- 6-11
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 6-6
- OREB/DREB
- 1/0
- TS%
- 66.0
- USG%
- 28.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 6
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +3
- PRA
- 25
2026-07-11ATLAWAY25.7MIN13POINTS3 · 10 · 2-7UNDER
- FG
- 2-7
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 8-9
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 59.3
- USG%
- 31.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 6
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- -2
- PRA
- 26
2026-07-09LVAHOME20.6MIN13POINTS3 · 5 · 2-6UNDER
- FG
- 2-6
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 9-11
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 60.0
- USG%
- 35.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +3
- PRA
- 21
2026-07-04SEAAWAY22.3MIN20POINTS3 · 4 · 4-8OVER
- FG
- 4-8
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 12-12
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 75.3
- USG%
- 31.7
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +5
- PRA
- 27
2026-06-28WASAWAY47.8MIN32POINTS6 · 9 · 12-26OVER
- FG
- 12-26
- 3PT
- 3-6
- FT
- 5-6
- OREB/DREB
- 3/3
- TS%
- 55.9
- USG%
- 32.9
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 6
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- -9
- PRA
- 47
2026-06-26CHIAWAY22.6MIN18POINTS1 · 4 · 4-10OVER
- FG
- 4-10
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 9-10
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 62.5
- USG%
- 32.6
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -9
- PRA
- 23
2026-06-24CHIAWAY28.4MIN10POINTS1 · 6 · 1-8UNDER
- FG
- 1-8
- 3PT
- 1-1
- FT
- 7-8
- OREB/DREB
- 1/0
- TS%
- 43.4
- USG%
- 19.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -19
- PRA
- 17
2026-06-17SEAHOME29.0MIN20POINTS4 · 10 · 5-11OVER
- FG
- 5-11
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 9-10
- OREB/DREB
- 2/2
- TS%
- 64.9
- USG%
- 24.1
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +13
- PRA
- 34
showing 25 of 78 — every rate above is computed over all 78