Chelsea Gray over 11.5 points
She has cleared 11.5 in 134 of 233 games — 57.5%. That rate needs -136 to break even and books have been paying -119.
01
Distribution
233 games · hover a bucket0–5 points · 17 games · 7.3% · under17
5–10 points · 53 games · 22.7% · under53
10–15 points · 84 games · 36.1% · under84
15–20 points · 47 games · 20.2% · over47
20–25 points · 23 games · 9.9% · over23
25–30 points · 7 games · 3.0% · over7
30–35 points · 2 games · 0.9% · over2
11.5
UNDER · 99OVER · 134 · filled bars clear the line
02
Recent games
points · line 11.5 · hover a bar2026-07-03 · CHI · 18 points · +6.5 vs line
2026-07-05 · IND · 10 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-07-09 · POR · 8 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-07-11 · PHO · 15 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-07-12 · IND · 9 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-07-20 · TOR · 14 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-07-22 · WAS · 19 points · +7.5 vs line
2026-07-28 · POR · 17 points · +5.5 vs line
2026-07-30 · NYL · 16 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-08-01 · CHI · 5 points · −6.5 vs line
2026-08-03 · ATL · 17 points · +5.5 vs line
2026-08-06 · IND · 11 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-08-08 · MIN · 9 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-08-11 · WAS · 12 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-08-13 · WAS · 4 points · −7.5 vs line
2026-08-15 · MIN · 12 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-08-18 · ATL · 13 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-08-20 · CON · 6 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-08-23 · TOR · 9 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-08-28 · TOR · 11 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-09-17 · SEA · 5 points · −6.5 vs line
2026-09-20 · SEA · 15 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-09-22 · LAS · 17 points · +5.5 vs line
2026-09-24 · PHO · 12 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-09-27 · IND · 14 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-09-29 · IND · 10 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-10-01 · IND · 23 points · +11.5 vs line
2026-10-04 · GSV · 16 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-10-07 · GSV · 19 points · +7.5 vs line
2026-10-09 · GSV · 17 points · +5.5 vs line
11.5
2026-07-03— 5-game mean2026-10-09 · newest
03
Recent form
80.0%8/10 · last 10
2026-09-17 · 5 points · UNDER
5
2026-09-20 · 15 points · OVER
15
2026-09-22 · 17 points · OVER
17
2026-09-24 · 12 points · OVER
12
2026-09-27 · 14 points · OVER
14
2026-09-29 · 10 points · UNDER
10
2026-10-01 · 23 points · OVER
23
2026-10-04 · 16 points · OVER
16
2026-10-07 · 19 points · OVER
19
2026-10-09 · 17 points · OVER
17
A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.
04
Market history
median · 93 postings11.5-119
best offered11.5+111
worst offered11.5-139
our break-even11.5-136
Median -119 across 93 postings over 22 games. That price clears what her rate needs.
05
Game log
25 of 233 · click a row for the box scoreDATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 11.5
2026-10-09PLAYOFF R2 G3GSVHOME43.2MIN17POINTS5 · 5 · 6-12OVER
- FG
- 6-12
- 3PT
- 2-3
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/5
- TS%
- 63.8
- USG%
- 21.7
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 6
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -11
- PRA
- 27
2026-10-07PLAYOFF R2 G2GSVAWAY39.2MIN19POINTS3 · 6 · 7-15OVER
- FG
- 7-15
- 3PT
- 3-8
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 59.8
- USG%
- 25.6
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- 0
- PRA
- 28
2026-10-04PLAYOFF R2 G1GSVAWAY36.2MIN16POINTS4 · 3 · 5-14OVER
- FG
- 5-14
- 3PT
- 3-6
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 50.8
- USG%
- 26.3
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -11
- PRA
- 23
2026-10-01PLAYOFF R1 G3INDHOME40.0MIN23POINTS4 · 5 · 8-15OVER
- FG
- 8-15
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 6-6
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 65.2
- USG%
- 25.3
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +11
- PRA
- 32
2026-09-29PLAYOFF R1 G2INDAWAY36.9MIN10POINTS1 · 7 · 4-11UNDER
- FG
- 4-11
- 3PT
- 2-7
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 45.5
- USG%
- 16.6
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -10
- PRA
- 18
2026-09-27PLAYOFF R1 G1INDHOME34.4MIN14POINTS5 · 8 · 4-8OVER
- FG
- 4-8
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 6-7
- OREB/DREB
- 0/5
- TS%
- 63.2
- USG%
- 21.1
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +27
- PRA
- 27
2026-09-24PHOAWAY35.5MIN12POINTS4 · 10 · 5-10OVER
- FG
- 5-10
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 57.5
- USG%
- 21.5
- STL
- 5
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 7
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +18
- PRA
- 26
2026-09-22LASHOME32.6MIN17POINTS3 · 2 · 7-12OVER
- FG
- 7-12
- 3PT
- 2-5
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 68.3
- USG%
- 20.6
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +2
- PRA
- 22
2026-09-20SEAHOME29.1MIN15POINTS4 · 4 · 4-8OVER
- FG
- 4-8
- 3PT
- 2-5
- FT
- 5-6
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 70.5
- USG%
- 19.7
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +9
- PRA
- 23
2026-09-17SEAAWAY26.1MIN5POINTS9 · 6 · 2-8UNDER
- FG
- 2-8
- 3PT
- 1-5
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/9
- TS%
- 31.3
- USG%
- 14.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +16
- PRA
- 20
2026-08-28TORHOME28.4MIN11POINTS3 · 4 · 4-9UNDER
- FG
- 4-9
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 53.3
- USG%
- 17.5
- STL
- 4
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +18
- PRA
- 18
2026-08-23TORAWAY28.6MIN9POINTS2 · 7 · 4-9UNDER
- FG
- 4-9
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 47.7
- USG%
- 15.8
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +21
- PRA
- 18
2026-08-20CONHOME28.9MIN6POINTS2 · 4 · 3-8UNDER
- FG
- 3-8
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 37.5
- USG%
- 13.0
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +20
- PRA
- 12
2026-08-18ATLHOME33.0MIN13POINTS2 · 2 · 5-11OVER
- FG
- 5-11
- 3PT
- 3-8
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 59.1
- USG%
- 18.7
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -23
- PRA
- 17
2026-08-15MINHOME34.2MIN12POINTS3 · 9 · 5-15OVER
- FG
- 5-15
- 3PT
- 2-6
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 40.0
- USG%
- 23.4
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- 0
- PRA
- 24
2026-08-13WASHOME28.9MIN4POINTS4 · 5 · 1-10UNDER
- FG
- 1-10
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 18.4
- USG%
- 21.5
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -3
- PRA
- 13
2026-08-11WASHOME35.3MIN12POINTS2 · 5 · 5-13OVER
- FG
- 5-13
- 3PT
- 2-6
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 46.2
- USG%
- 18.8
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +5
- PRA
- 19
2026-08-08MINAWAY35.6MIN9POINTS2 · 6 · 4-9UNDER
- FG
- 4-9
- 3PT
- 1-5
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 50.0
- USG%
- 13.3
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -9
- PRA
- 17
2026-08-06INDAWAY40.4MIN11POINTS2 · 7 · 4-10UNDER
- FG
- 4-10
- 3PT
- 3-5
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 55.0
- USG%
- 15.4
- STL
- 4
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +6
- PRA
- 20
2026-08-03ATLAWAY30.0MIN17POINTS3 · 6 · 8-12OVER
- FG
- 8-12
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 70.8
- USG%
- 20.1
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +22
- PRA
- 26
2026-08-01CHIAWAY34.4MIN5POINTS1 · 9 · 2-8UNDER
- FG
- 2-8
- 3PT
- 0-5
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 28.2
- USG%
- 14.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -8
- PRA
- 15
2026-07-30NYLHOME33.8MIN16POINTS3 · 4 · 6-10OVER
- FG
- 6-10
- 3PT
- 4-6
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 80.0
- USG%
- 19.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 6
- +/−
- +3
- PRA
- 23
2026-07-28PORHOME32.4MIN17POINTS1 · 7 · 6-9OVER
- FG
- 6-9
- 3PT
- 2-3
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 82.4
- USG%
- 20.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +10
- PRA
- 25
2026-07-22WASAWAY37.0MIN19POINTS1 · 4 · 6-12OVER
- FG
- 6-12
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 6-6
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 64.9
- USG%
- 21.7
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +1
- PRA
- 24
2026-07-20TORAWAY31.4MIN14POINTS4 · 7 · 4-7OVER
- FG
- 4-7
- 3PT
- 3-5
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 79.9
- USG%
- 15.7
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +24
- PRA
- 25
showing 25 of 233 — every rate above is computed over all 233