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points estimateslast 10

Cotie McMahon at home

Averaged 7.4 points, 3.1 rebounds and 1.7 assists in 22 games at home.

01

Every stat, vs baseline

hover a row for the gap against its noise
STAT
AT HOME
OTHER
DIFF
← below baseline · above →
VERDICT
points
7.4
5.5
+2.0
gap is 1.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.6
DIRECTIONAL
rebounds
3.1
2.3
+0.8
gap is 1.2× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.2
DIRECTIONAL
assists
1.7
2.0
−0.2
gap is 0.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.8
NOT MEASURABLE
threes
0.5
0.6
−0.1
gap is 0.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.5
NOT MEASURABLE
steals
0.7
0.3
+0.4
gap is 1.7× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.4
DIRECTIONAL
blocks
0.2
0.1
+0.1
gap is 0.7× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.2
NOT MEASURABLE
turnovers
1.2
0.9
+0.3
gap is 0.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.7
NOT MEASURABLE
pts+reb+ast
12.2
9.7
+2.5
gap is 1.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 3.4
DIRECTIONAL
pts+reb
10.5
7.8
+2.7
gap is 1.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 3.0
DIRECTIONAL
pts+ast
9.1
7.4
+1.7
gap is 1.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 3.0
DIRECTIONAL
reb+ast
4.8
4.3
+0.5
gap is 0.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.7
NOT MEASURABLE
steals+blocks
0.9
0.4
+0.5
gap is 1.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.5
DIRECTIONAL
field goals made
2.5
1.8
+0.8
gap is 1.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.9
DIRECTIONAL
field goal attempts
6.3
4.4
+1.9
gap is 2.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.8
MEASURED
three-point attempts
2.2
1.7
+0.5
gap is 1.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.8
DIRECTIONAL
free throws made
1.8
1.3
+0.5
gap is 1.0× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.0
DIRECTIONAL
free throw attempts
3.2
1.9
+1.3
gap is 1.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.4
DIRECTIONAL
offensive rebounds
0.4
0.5
−0.1
gap is 0.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.4
NOT MEASURABLE
defensive rebounds
2.7
1.8
+0.9
gap is 1.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.2
DIRECTIONAL
fouls
1.9
2.0
−0.2
gap is 0.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.7
NOT MEASURABLE
usage 18.4 vs 15.6true shooting 46.3 vs 47.7minutes 21.0 vs 17.4

Baseline: away games, 22 games.

02

The 22 games

points · baseline 5.5 · hover a bar
2026-05-29— 5-game mean2026-09-30 · newest
03

Why — minutes or rate

no difference in this split is larger than the sample can resolve, so there is nothing to explain

04

The matchup

Defensive context is only computed for a vs-team split, where there is one opponent to profile.

05

Game log

all 22 · 1 playoff game, marked · click a row for the box score
DATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 5.5
2026-09-30PLAYOFF R1 G2
ATL
HOME
1.1MIN
0POINTS
0 · 0 · 0-0
BELOW
FG
0-0
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
0.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
0
PRA
0
2026-09-24
CHI
HOME
18.9MIN
12POINTS
1 · 0 · 3-4
ABOVE
FG
3-4
3PT
1-2
FT
5-9
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
75.4
USG%
19.7
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
2
+/−
-9
PRA
13
2026-09-22
CON
HOME
26.4MIN
13POINTS
3 · 2 · 5-8
ABOVE
FG
5-8
3PT
2-4
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
0/3
TS%
73.2
USG%
18.7
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
2
+/−
+12
PRA
18
2026-08-21
MIN
HOME
16.5MIN
6POINTS
2 · 1 · 2-5
ABOVE
FG
2-5
3PT
1-1
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
1/1
TS%
51.0
USG%
18.9
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
2
+/−
-6
PRA
9
2026-08-19
TOR
HOME
18.1MIN
2POINTS
4 · 2 · 1-7
BELOW
FG
1-7
3PT
0-4
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/3
TS%
14.3
USG%
25.8
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
4
PF
1
+/−
+2
PRA
8
2026-08-15
LAS
HOME
22.4MIN
7POINTS
9 · 2 · 3-9
ABOVE
FG
3-9
3PT
0-3
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
1/8
TS%
35.4
USG%
19.8
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
3
+/−
+3
PRA
18
2026-08-09
PHO
HOME
19.8MIN
13POINTS
0 · 1 · 4-8
ABOVE
FG
4-8
3PT
0-3
FT
5-7
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
58.7
USG%
27.6
STL
2
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
3
+/−
-7
PRA
14
2026-08-07
ATL
HOME
27.9MIN
11POINTS
5 · 0 · 4-13
ABOVE
FG
4-13
3PT
1-3
FT
2-6
OREB/DREB
1/4
TS%
35.2
USG%
23.8
STL
2
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
+1
PRA
16
2026-08-05
DAL
HOME
26.5MIN
18POINTS
3 · 3 · 6-10
ABOVE
FG
6-10
3PT
0-2
FT
6-8
OREB/DREB
0/3
TS%
66.6
USG%
23.1
STL
1
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
3
+/−
+13
PRA
24
2026-07-31
DAL
HOME
26.5MIN
2POINTS
6 · 2 · 1-3
BELOW
FG
1-3
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/6
TS%
33.3
USG%
8.3
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
3
+/−
+9
PRA
10
2026-07-28
CON
HOME
22.1MIN
11POINTS
2 · 2 · 2-5
ABOVE
FG
2-5
3PT
0-2
FT
7-8
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
64.6
USG%
16.2
STL
0
BLK
2
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
+2
PRA
15
2026-07-22
LVA
HOME
22.4MIN
7POINTS
6 · 3 · 3-5
ABOVE
FG
3-5
3PT
1-2
FT
0-2
OREB/DREB
0/6
TS%
59.5
USG%
12.6
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
2
+/−
+3
PRA
16
2026-07-16
POR
HOME
12.1MIN
1POINTS
4 · 0 · 0-3
BELOW
FG
0-3
3PT
0-1
FT
1-4
OREB/DREB
2/2
TS%
10.5
USG%
20.2
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
1
+/−
-7
PRA
5
2026-07-12
SEA
HOME
13.9MIN
4POINTS
1 · 2 · 2-6
BELOW
FG
2-6
3PT
0-2
FT
0-1
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
31.1
USG%
22.1
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
0
+/−
-5
PRA
7
2026-07-06
GSV
HOME
29.3MIN
8POINTS
4 · 3 · 2-7
ABOVE
FG
2-7
3PT
1-4
FT
3-3
OREB/DREB
0/4
TS%
48.1
USG%
19.2
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
3
PF
2
+/−
-9
PRA
15
2026-07-02
ATL
HOME
32.6MIN
7POINTS
3 · 2 · 2-7
ABOVE
FG
2-7
3PT
2-5
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
1/2
TS%
44.4
USG%
17.3
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
5
PF
4
+/−
-1
PRA
12
2026-06-28
POR
HOME
20.6MIN
5POINTS
1 · 2 · 2-5
BELOW
FG
2-5
3PT
1-3
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
50.0
USG%
10.9
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
3
+/−
-23
PRA
8
2026-06-24
MIN
HOME
29.1MIN
7POINTS
3 · 1 · 3-8
ABOVE
FG
3-8
3PT
0-1
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
1/2
TS%
39.4
USG%
15.1
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
0
+/−
-10
PRA
11
2026-06-12
TOR
HOME
22.8MIN
9POINTS
2 · 3 · 4-6
ABOVE
FG
4-6
3PT
0-1
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
65.4
USG%
14.0
STL
2
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
1
+/−
+7
PRA
14
2026-06-08
IND
HOME
21.8MIN
7POINTS
7 · 3 · 2-10
ABOVE
FG
2-10
3PT
0-3
FT
3-4
OREB/DREB
0/7
TS%
29.8
USG%
28.1
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
2
+/−
+7
PRA
17
2026-06-02
CHI
HOME
25.5MIN
8POINTS
2 · 4 · 3-7
ABOVE
FG
3-7
3PT
0-0
FT
2-4
OREB/DREB
1/1
TS%
45.7
USG%
14.9
STL
3
BLK
1
TOV
1
PF
2
+/−
+6
PRA
14
2026-05-29
LAS
HOME
4.6MIN
5POINTS
0 · 0 · 2-2
BELOW
FG
2-2
3PT
1-1
FT
0-2
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
86.8
USG%
28.2
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
-2
PRA
5
every game on file — nothing hidden