Jackie Young over 14.5 points
She has cleared 14.5 in 156 of 239 games — 65.3%. That rate needs -188 to break even and books have been paying -625.
—
Tonight
THU · OCT 1IND @ LVA9:00 PM ETprojected starter · 33 projected minutes
OutDana EvansRight Knee
QuestionableStephanie TalbotLeft Leg
2026 AT TONIGHT'S 21.5over in 20 of 46 games (43%)
PRICE THAT RATE NEEDSover +130 · best posted -102 · under -130 · best posted +100
Every game she played this season, tonight's excluded — no filter on her minutes.
GAMES SHE PLAYED 30+ MIN · 202637 games · 34.2 min · 20.4 points
Tonight's projection is 33 minutes. These games were picked after the fact — by the minutes she ended up playing, which no projection can promise — so they keep her full nights and drop the ones cut short. Averages only; not a rate to read against a line or a price.
WITHOUT EVANS33 games · 32.8 min · 18.0 points · 24/33 over 14.5with her (13 games): 32.0 min · 23.3 points · 92%with her →
Season to date, tonight's game excluded. Rates, not projections.
01
Distribution
239 games · hover a bucket0–5 points · 12 games · 5.0% · under12
5–10 points · 21 games · 8.8% · under21
10–15 points · 50 games · 20.9% · under50
15–20 points · 71 games · 29.7% · over71
20–25 points · 54 games · 22.6% · over54
25–30 points · 20 games · 8.4% · over20
30–35 points · 10 games · 4.2% · over10
35–40 points · 1 game · 0.4% · over1
14.5
UNDER · 83OVER · 156 · filled bars clear the line
02
Recent games
points · line 14.5 · hover a bar2026-06-23 · NYL · 19 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-06-25 · DAL · 20 points · +5.5 vs line
2026-06-28 · CHI · 28 points · +13.5 vs line
2026-06-30 · NYL · 31 points · +16.5 vs line
2026-07-03 · CHI · 16 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-07-05 · IND · 15 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-07-09 · POR · 19 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-07-11 · PHO · 8 points · −6.5 vs line
2026-07-12 · IND · 15 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-07-20 · TOR · 24 points · +9.5 vs line
2026-07-22 · WAS · 24 points · +9.5 vs line
2026-07-28 · POR · 25 points · +10.5 vs line
2026-07-30 · NYL · 29 points · +14.5 vs line
2026-08-01 · CHI · 18 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-08-03 · ATL · 28 points · +13.5 vs line
2026-08-06 · IND · 22 points · +7.5 vs line
2026-08-08 · MIN · 23 points · +8.5 vs line
2026-08-11 · WAS · 25 points · +10.5 vs line
2026-08-13 · WAS · 32 points · +17.5 vs line
2026-08-15 · MIN · 8 points · −6.5 vs line
2026-08-18 · ATL · 24 points · +9.5 vs line
2026-08-20 · CON · 24 points · +9.5 vs line
2026-08-23 · TOR · 21 points · +6.5 vs line
2026-08-28 · TOR · 23 points · +8.5 vs line
2026-09-17 · SEA · 35 points · +20.5 vs line
2026-09-20 · SEA · 23 points · +8.5 vs line
2026-09-22 · LAS · 14 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-09-24 · PHO · 5 points · −9.5 vs line
2026-09-27 · IND · 21 points · +6.5 vs line
2026-09-29 · IND · 31 points · +16.5 vs line
14.5
2026-06-23— 5-game mean2026-09-29 · newest
03
Recent form
80.0%8/10 · last 10
2026-08-18 · 24 points · OVER
24
2026-08-20 · 24 points · OVER
24
2026-08-23 · 21 points · OVER
21
2026-08-28 · 23 points · OVER
23
2026-09-17 · 35 points · OVER
35
2026-09-20 · 23 points · OVER
23
2026-09-22 · 14 points · UNDER
14
2026-09-24 · 5 points · UNDER
5
2026-09-27 · 21 points · OVER
21
2026-09-29 · 31 points · OVER
31
A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.
04
Market history
median · 10 postings14.5-625
best offered14.5-556
worst offered14.5-667
our break-even14.5-188
Median -625 across 10 postings over 3 games. Her rate has never been worth that price.
05
Game log
25 of 239 · click a row for the box scoreDATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 14.5
2026-09-29PLAYOFF R1 G2INDAWAY36.3MIN31POINTS4 · 5 · 7-19OVER
- FG
- 7-19
- 3PT
- 4-9
- FT
- 13-13
- OREB/DREB
- 2/2
- TS%
- 62.7
- USG%
- 33.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -11
- PRA
- 40
2026-09-27PLAYOFF R1 G1INDHOME33.8MIN21POINTS2 · 10 · 8-14OVER
- FG
- 8-14
- 3PT
- 3-7
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 70.6
- USG%
- 27.8
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 6
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +27
- PRA
- 33
2026-09-24PHOAWAY34.0MIN5POINTS7 · 11 · 2-8UNDER
- FG
- 2-8
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/5
- TS%
- 31.3
- USG%
- 15.4
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +12
- PRA
- 23
2026-09-22LASHOME33.9MIN14POINTS5 · 11 · 6-16UNDER
- FG
- 6-16
- 3PT
- 1-8
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 0/5
- TS%
- 42.6
- USG%
- 26.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +8
- PRA
- 30
2026-09-20SEAHOME31.2MIN23POINTS3 · 8 · 10-15OVER
- FG
- 10-15
- 3PT
- 3-6
- FT
- 0-1
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 74.5
- USG%
- 22.4
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +23
- PRA
- 34
2026-09-17SEAAWAY29.0MIN35POINTS1 · 5 · 12-18OVER
- FG
- 12-18
- 3PT
- 4-10
- FT
- 7-7
- OREB/DREB
- 1/0
- TS%
- 83.0
- USG%
- 38.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +24
- PRA
- 41
2026-08-28TORHOME26.1MIN23POINTS4 · 8 · 6-13OVER
- FG
- 6-13
- 3PT
- 4-9
- FT
- 7-8
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 69.6
- USG%
- 27.8
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +16
- PRA
- 35
2026-08-23TORAWAY34.0MIN21POINTS3 · 5 · 9-18OVER
- FG
- 9-18
- 3PT
- 1-7
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 55.6
- USG%
- 29.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +16
- PRA
- 29
2026-08-20CONHOME27.6MIN24POINTS7 · 5 · 10-21OVER
- FG
- 10-21
- 3PT
- 4-9
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/6
- TS%
- 57.1
- USG%
- 34.8
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +16
- PRA
- 36
2026-08-18ATLHOME34.7MIN24POINTS5 · 5 · 7-15OVER
- FG
- 7-15
- 3PT
- 4-9
- FT
- 6-6
- OREB/DREB
- 1/4
- TS%
- 68.0
- USG%
- 26.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -10
- PRA
- 34
2026-08-15MINHOME33.4MIN8POINTS1 · 9 · 3-11UNDER
- FG
- 3-11
- 3PT
- 2-7
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 36.4
- USG%
- 22.6
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 6
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -5
- PRA
- 18
2026-08-13WASHOME35.3MIN32POINTS2 · 5 · 10-14OVER
- FG
- 10-14
- 3PT
- 5-8
- FT
- 7-8
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 91.3
- USG%
- 25.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +15
- PRA
- 39
2026-08-11WASHOME32.3MIN25POINTS2 · 8 · 7-17OVER
- FG
- 7-17
- 3PT
- 4-9
- FT
- 7-7
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 62.3
- USG%
- 29.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +15
- PRA
- 35
2026-08-08MINAWAY33.0MIN23POINTS5 · 1 · 6-13OVER
- FG
- 6-13
- 3PT
- 3-6
- FT
- 8-8
- OREB/DREB
- 1/4
- TS%
- 69.6
- USG%
- 28.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -6
- PRA
- 29
2026-08-06INDAWAY35.0MIN22POINTS4 · 9 · 8-21OVER
- FG
- 8-21
- 3PT
- 2-8
- FT
- 4-5
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 47.4
- USG%
- 31.1
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +9
- PRA
- 35
2026-08-03ATLAWAY34.4MIN28POINTS11 · 10 · 11-17OVER
- FG
- 11-17
- 3PT
- 4-7
- FT
- 2-4
- OREB/DREB
- 1/10
- TS%
- 74.6
- USG%
- 30.7
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +26
- PRA
- 49
2026-08-01CHIAWAY33.0MIN18POINTS11 · 5 · 7-14OVER
- FG
- 7-14
- 3PT
- 3-7
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 1/10
- TS%
- 62.3
- USG%
- 25.3
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 6
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +2
- PRA
- 34
2026-07-30NYLHOME35.7MIN29POINTS2 · 9 · 7-11OVER
- FG
- 7-11
- 3PT
- 3-5
- FT
- 12-12
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 89.1
- USG%
- 23.9
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +8
- PRA
- 40
2026-07-28PORHOME28.3MIN25POINTS2 · 2 · 9-14OVER
- FG
- 9-14
- 3PT
- 2-7
- FT
- 5-5
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 77.2
- USG%
- 32.0
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +10
- PRA
- 29
2026-07-22WASAWAY31.4MIN24POINTS7 · 7 · 9-17OVER
- FG
- 9-17
- 3PT
- 0-4
- FT
- 6-7
- OREB/DREB
- 2/5
- TS%
- 59.8
- USG%
- 32.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +1
- PRA
- 38
2026-07-20TORAWAY32.8MIN24POINTS4 · 12 · 10-17OVER
- FG
- 10-17
- 3PT
- 4-10
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 70.6
- USG%
- 26.5
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +23
- PRA
- 40
2026-07-12INDHOME31.9MIN15POINTS1 · 3 · 4-8OVER
- FG
- 4-8
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 6-6
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 70.5
- USG%
- 16.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -17
- PRA
- 19
2026-07-11PHOHOME24.4MIN8POINTS2 · 6 · 3-9UNDER
- FG
- 3-9
- 3PT
- 2-6
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 44.4
- USG%
- 16.0
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +37
- PRA
- 16
2026-07-09PORAWAY31.4MIN19POINTS4 · 11 · 8-11OVER
- FG
- 8-11
- 3PT
- 3-5
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 86.4
- USG%
- 21.6
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +18
- PRA
- 34
2026-07-05INDHOME32.6MIN15POINTS2 · 4 · 6-13OVER
- FG
- 6-13
- 3PT
- 1-5
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 54.0
- USG%
- 29.4
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -14
- PRA
- 21
showing 25 of 239 — every rate above is computed over all 239