Jovana Nogic over 11.5 points
She has cleared 11.5 in 6 of 16 games — 37.5%. That rate needs +166 to break even and books have been paying -120.
01
Distribution
16 games · hover a bucket2–4 points · 2 games · 12.5% · under2
4–6 points · 2 games · 12.5% · under2
6–8 points · 1 game · 6.3% · under1
8–10 points · 4 games · 25.0% · under4
10–12 points · 1 game · 6.3% · under1
12–14 points · 2 games · 12.5% · over2
14–16 points · 1 game · 6.3% · over1
16–18 points · 1 game · 6.3% · over1
18–20 points · 1 game · 6.3% · over1
26–28 points · 1 game · 6.3% · over1
11.5
UNDER · 10OVER · 6 · filled bars clear the line
02
Recent games
points · line 11.5 · hover a bar2026-05-09 · LVA · 19 points · +7.5 vs line
2026-05-10 · GSV · 16 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-05-12 · MIN · 2 points · −9.5 vs line
2026-05-15 · CHI · 27 points · +15.5 vs line
2026-05-19 · TOR · 13 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-05-21 · LAS · 15 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-05-24 · ATL · 11 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-05-27 · NYL · 9 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-05-29 · NYL · 8 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-06-01 · MIN · 8 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-06-03 · SEA · 4 points · −7.5 vs line
2026-06-05 · POR · 9 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-06-09 · GSV · 2 points · −9.5 vs line
2026-06-11 · DAL · 7 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-06-13 · LAS · 4 points · −7.5 vs line
2026-06-17 · LVA · 12 points · +0.5 vs line
11.5
2026-05-09— 5-game mean2026-06-17 · newest
03
Recent form
10.0%1/10 · last 10
2026-05-24 · 11 points · UNDER
11
2026-05-27 · 9 points · UNDER
9
2026-05-29 · 8 points · UNDER
8
2026-06-01 · 8 points · UNDER
8
2026-06-03 · 4 points · UNDER
4
2026-06-05 · 9 points · UNDER
9
2026-06-09 · 2 points · UNDER
2
2026-06-11 · 7 points · UNDER
7
2026-06-13 · 4 points · UNDER
4
2026-06-17 · 12 points · OVER
12
A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.
04
Market history
median · 1 postings11.5-120
best offered11.5-120
worst offered11.5-120
our break-even11.5+166
Median -120 across 1 postings over 1 games. Her rate has never been worth that price.
05
Game log
16 of 16 · click a row for the box scoreDATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 11.5
2026-06-17LVAHOME21.4MIN12POINTS0 · 0 · 4-7OVER
- FG
- 4-7
- 3PT
- 4-6
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 85.7
- USG%
- 20.2
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -4
- PRA
- 12
2026-06-13LASHOME14.7MIN4POINTS1 · 1 · 2-4UNDER
- FG
- 2-4
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 50.0
- USG%
- 12.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -3
- PRA
- 6
2026-06-11DALAWAY16.4MIN7POINTS2 · 1 · 3-8UNDER
- FG
- 3-8
- 3PT
- 1-5
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 43.8
- USG%
- 25.0
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -3
- PRA
- 10
2026-06-09GSVAWAY9.2MIN2POINTS0 · 1 · 1-3UNDER
- FG
- 1-3
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 33.3
- USG%
- 20.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -4
- PRA
- 3
2026-06-05PORAWAY30.3MIN9POINTS2 · 6 · 3-11UNDER
- FG
- 3-11
- 3PT
- 0-7
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 35.3
- USG%
- 20.1
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +10
- PRA
- 17
2026-06-03SEAAWAY11.8MIN4POINTS2 · 2 · 1-2UNDER
- FG
- 1-2
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 69.4
- USG%
- 11.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -4
- PRA
- 8
2026-06-01MINHOME16.0MIN8POINTS1 · 0 · 3-6UNDER
- FG
- 3-6
- 3PT
- 2-4
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/0
- TS%
- 66.7
- USG%
- 22.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -11
- PRA
- 9
2026-05-29NYLAWAY12.2MIN8POINTS0 · 0 · 2-7UNDER
- FG
- 2-7
- 3PT
- 2-5
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 50.8
- USG%
- 36.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- 0
- PRA
- 8
2026-05-27NYLAWAY14.0MIN9POINTS2 · 1 · 3-5UNDER
- FG
- 3-5
- 3PT
- 3-5
- FT
- 0-1
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 82.7
- USG%
- 25.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -4
- PRA
- 12
2026-05-24ATLAWAY20.6MIN11POINTS0 · 1 · 3-9UNDER
- FG
- 3-9
- 3PT
- 2-4
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 53.3
- USG%
- 31.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -2
- PRA
- 12
2026-05-21LASHOME29.7MIN15POINTS1 · 3 · 5-11OVER
- FG
- 5-11
- 3PT
- 3-6
- FT
- 2-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 60.9
- USG%
- 18.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- -5
- PRA
- 19
2026-05-19TORHOME29.5MIN13POINTS0 · 3 · 4-15OVER
- FG
- 4-15
- 3PT
- 2-9
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 39.8
- USG%
- 27.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -19
- PRA
- 16
2026-05-15CHIHOME31.0MIN27POINTS4 · 0 · 6-11OVER
- FG
- 6-11
- 3PT
- 5-8
- FT
- 10-11
- OREB/DREB
- 2/2
- TS%
- 85.2
- USG%
- 22.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +23
- PRA
- 31
2026-05-12MINHOME17.3MIN2POINTS1 · 2 · 0-6UNDER
- FG
- 0-6
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/0
- TS%
- 14.5
- USG%
- 18.9
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +5
- PRA
- 5
2026-05-10GSVAWAY27.3MIN16POINTS1 · 1 · 5-6OVER
- FG
- 5-6
- 3PT
- 4-5
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/0
- TS%
- 116.3
- USG%
- 20.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +3
- PRA
- 18
2026-05-09LVAAWAY21.1MIN19POINTS0 · 4 · 5-8OVER
- FG
- 5-8
- 3PT
- 4-5
- FT
- 5-5
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 93.1
- USG%
- 23.5
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +26
- PRA
- 23
every game on file — nothing hidden