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points estimatesat home

Justine Pissott on the road

Averaged 2.0 points, 0.6 rebounds and 0.3 assists in 7 games on the road.

—

Tonight

WED · OCT 7
LVA @ GSV9:30 PM ETbench · 1 projected minutes
OutJewell LoydLeft Leg
ProbableDana EvansRight Knee
QuestionableStephanie TalbotLeft Leg
GAMES SHE PLAYED 10+ MIN · 20264 games · 15.2 min · 8.8 points

Tonight's projection is 1 minutes. These games were picked after the fact — by the minutes she ended up playing, which no projection can promise — so they keep her full nights and drop the ones cut short. Averages only; not a rate to read against a line or a price.

She has not played a game without Loyd this season.

Season to date, tonight's game excluded. Rates, not projections.

01

Every stat, vs baseline

hover a row for the gap against its noise
STAT
ON THE ROA
OTHER
DIFF
← below baseline · above →
VERDICT
points
2.0
4.3
−2.3
gap is 0.7× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 6.6
NOT MEASURABLE
rebounds
0.6
1.2
−0.6
gap is 1.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.0
DIRECTIONAL
assists
0.3
0.2
+0.1
gap is 0.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.5
NOT MEASURABLE
threes
0.6
1.0
−0.4
gap is 0.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.8
NOT MEASURABLE
steals
0.3
0.0
+0.3
gap is 1.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.4
DIRECTIONAL
blocks
0.1
0.3
−0.2
gap is 0.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.5
NOT MEASURABLE
turnovers
0.3
0.2
+0.1
gap is 0.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.6
NOT MEASURABLE
pts+reb+ast
2.9
5.7
−2.8
gap is 0.7× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 7.7
NOT MEASURABLE
pts+reb
2.6
5.5
−2.9
gap is 0.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 7.3
NOT MEASURABLE
pts+ast
2.3
4.5
−2.2
gap is 0.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 7.0
NOT MEASURABLE
reb+ast
0.9
1.3
−0.5
gap is 0.7× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.4
NOT MEASURABLE
steals+blocks
0.4
0.3
+0.1
gap is 0.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.6
NOT MEASURABLE
field goals made
0.7
1.5
−0.8
gap is 0.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.5
NOT MEASURABLE
field goal attempts
3.0
2.7
+0.3
gap is 0.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 4.5
NOT MEASURABLE
three-point attempts
2.1
2.0
+0.1
gap is 0.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.8
NOT MEASURABLE
free throws made
0.0
0.3
−0.3
gap is 1.0× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.7
DIRECTIONAL
free throw attempts
0.0
0.3
−0.3
gap is 1.0× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.7
DIRECTIONAL
defensive rebounds
0.6
1.2
−0.6
gap is 1.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.0
DIRECTIONAL
fouls
0.6
1.5
−0.9
gap is 0.9× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.1
NOT MEASURABLE
usage 15.2 vs 14.3true shooting 16.3 vs 54.6minutes 6.6 vs 7.3

Baseline: home games, 6 games.

02

The 7 games

points · baseline 4.3 · hover a bar
2026-07-20— 5-game mean2026-10-04 · newest
03

Why — minutes or rate

no difference in this split is larger than the sample can resolve, so there is nothing to explain

04

The matchup

Defensive context is only computed for a vs-team split, where there is one opponent to profile.

05

Game log

all 7 · 2 playoff games, marked · click a row for the box score
DATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 4.3
2026-10-04PLAYOFF R2 G1
GSV
AWAY
1.6MIN
0POINTS
1 · 0 · 0-0
BELOW
FG
0-0
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
0.0
USG%
0.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
+2
PRA
1
2026-09-29PLAYOFF R1 G2
IND
AWAY
0.7MIN
0POINTS
0 · 0 · 0-0
BELOW
FG
0-0
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
0.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
0
PRA
0
2026-09-17
SEA
AWAY
2.7MIN
0POINTS
0 · 0 · 0-0
BELOW
FG
0-0
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
0.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
+7
PRA
0
2026-08-23
TOR
AWAY
2.8MIN
0POINTS
0 · 0 · 0-2
BELOW
FG
0-2
3PT
0-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
34.5
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
-6
PRA
0
2026-08-09
NYL
AWAY
25.2MIN
11POINTS
3 · 1 · 4-14
ABOVE
FG
4-14
3PT
3-8
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/3
TS%
39.3
USG%
30.6
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
4
+/−
-28
PRA
15
2026-08-03
ATL
AWAY
3.4MIN
3POINTS
0 · 0 · 1-2
BELOW
FG
1-2
3PT
1-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
75.0
USG%
27.4
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
+2
PRA
3
2026-07-20
TOR
AWAY
9.7MIN
0POINTS
0 · 1 · 0-3
BELOW
FG
0-3
3PT
0-3
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
14.1
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
-2
PRA
1
every game on file — nothing hidden