Kaitlyn Chen over 7.5 points
She has cleared 7.5 in 19 of 69 games — 27.5%. That rate needs +263 to break even and books have been paying -114.
01
Distribution
69 games · hover a bucket0–2 points · 17 games · 24.6% · under17
2–4 points · 20 games · 29.0% · under20
4–6 points · 7 games · 10.1% · under7
6–8 points · 6 games · 8.7% · under6
8–10 points · 3 games · 4.3% · over3
10–12 points · 5 games · 7.2% · over5
12–14 points · 1 game · 1.4% · over1
14–16 points · 5 games · 7.2% · over5
16–18 points · 2 games · 2.9% · over2
18–20 points · 2 games · 2.9% · over2
20–22 points · 1 game · 1.4% · over1
7.5
UNDER · 50OVER · 19 · filled bars clear the line
02
Recent games
points · line 7.5 · hover a bar2026-06-17 · DAL · 15 points · +7.5 vs line
2026-06-19 · MIN · 7 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-06-21 · LVA · 11 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-06-24 · ATL · 0 points · −7.5 vs line
2026-06-26 · ATL · 13 points · +5.5 vs line
2026-06-28 · NYL · 8 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-07-04 · ATL · 4 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-07-06 · WAS · 14 points · +6.5 vs line
2026-07-08 · TOR · 16 points · +8.5 vs line
2026-07-10 · CON · 8 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-07-15 · IND · 14 points · +6.5 vs line
2026-07-18 · WAS · 2 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-07-20 · WAS · 20 points · +12.5 vs line
2026-07-29 · PHO · 4 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-08-02 · TOR · 2 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-08-04 · TOR · 2 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-08-07 · DAL · 2 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-08-09 · LAS · 6 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-08-12 · CHI · 6 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-08-17 · DAL · 2 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-08-19 · MIN · 0 points · −7.5 vs line
2026-08-21 · CHI · 7 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-08-24 · MIN · 3 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-08-26 · CON · 10 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-08-27 · NYL · 2 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-08-30 · POR · 15 points · +7.5 vs line
2026-09-18 · POR · 17 points · +9.5 vs line
2026-09-19 · SEA · 10 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-09-22 · POR · 0 points · −7.5 vs line
2026-09-24 · LAS · 18 points · +10.5 vs line
7.5
2026-06-17— 5-game mean2026-09-24 · newest
03
Recent form
50.0%5/10 · last 10
2026-08-19 · 0 points · UNDER
0
2026-08-21 · 7 points · UNDER
7
2026-08-24 · 3 points · UNDER
3
2026-08-26 · 10 points · OVER
10
2026-08-27 · 2 points · UNDER
2
2026-08-30 · 15 points · OVER
15
2026-09-18 · 17 points · OVER
17
2026-09-19 · 10 points · OVER
10
2026-09-22 · 0 points · UNDER
0
2026-09-24 · 18 points · OVER
18
A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.
04
Market history
median · 10 postings7.5-114
best offered7.5-106
worst offered7.5-120
our break-even7.5+263
Median -114 across 10 postings over 2 games. Her rate has never been worth that price.
05
Game log
25 of 69 · click a row for the box scoreDATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 7.5
2026-09-24LASAWAY21.4MIN18POINTS3 · 2 · 8-12OVER
- FG
- 8-12
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 72.3
- USG%
- 30.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +6
- PRA
- 23
2026-09-22PORAWAY8.5MIN0POINTS0 · 1 · 0-2UNDER
- FG
- 0-2
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 11.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -8
- PRA
- 1
2026-09-19SEAHOME28.2MIN10POINTS2 · 2 · 4-12OVER
- FG
- 4-12
- 3PT
- 2-5
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 41.7
- USG%
- 21.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +12
- PRA
- 14
2026-09-18PORHOME25.4MIN17POINTS1 · 3 · 6-10OVER
- FG
- 6-10
- 3PT
- 5-8
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 85.0
- USG%
- 19.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +20
- PRA
- 21
2026-08-30PORAWAY27.2MIN15POINTS1 · 1 · 5-8OVER
- FG
- 5-8
- 3PT
- 3-5
- FT
- 2-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 80.5
- USG%
- 18.7
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +12
- PRA
- 17
2026-08-27NYLAWAY11.2MIN2POINTS0 · 1 · 1-3UNDER
- FG
- 1-3
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 33.3
- USG%
- 17.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- 0
- PRA
- 3
2026-08-26CONAWAY19.9MIN10POINTS2 · 2 · 4-6OVER
- FG
- 4-6
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 72.7
- USG%
- 19.5
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +21
- PRA
- 14
2026-08-24MINAWAY9.9MIN3POINTS0 · 1 · 1-3UNDER
- FG
- 1-3
- 3PT
- 1-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 50.0
- USG%
- 15.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +3
- PRA
- 4
2026-08-21CHIAWAY28.7MIN7POINTS3 · 4 · 3-10UNDER
- FG
- 3-10
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 35.0
- USG%
- 20.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -1
- PRA
- 14
2026-08-19MINHOME4.0MIN0POINTS0 · 0 · 0-1UNDER
- FG
- 0-1
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 10.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -8
- PRA
- 0
2026-08-17DALHOME8.3MIN2POINTS0 · 1 · 1-2UNDER
- FG
- 1-2
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 50.0
- USG%
- 16.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +8
- PRA
- 3
2026-08-12CHIHOME21.2MIN6POINTS1 · 0 · 2-3UNDER
- FG
- 2-3
- 3PT
- 2-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 100.0
- USG%
- 10.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +19
- PRA
- 7
2026-08-09LASAWAY11.2MIN6POINTS1 · 2 · 3-4UNDER
- FG
- 3-4
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 75.0
- USG%
- 20.8
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -3
- PRA
- 9
2026-08-07DALAWAY11.6MIN2POINTS0 · 5 · 1-3UNDER
- FG
- 1-3
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 33.3
- USG%
- 16.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +6
- PRA
- 7
2026-08-04TORHOME7.5MIN2POINTS1 · 2 · 1-2UNDER
- FG
- 1-2
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/0
- TS%
- 50.0
- USG%
- 35.7
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -4
- PRA
- 5
2026-08-02TORHOME20.3MIN2POINTS1 · 4 · 1-5UNDER
- FG
- 1-5
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 20.0
- USG%
- 14.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +12
- PRA
- 7
2026-07-29PHOAWAY12.1MIN4POINTS0 · 4 · 2-9UNDER
- FG
- 2-9
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 22.2
- USG%
- 39.8
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -9
- PRA
- 8
2026-07-20WASHOME23.6MIN20POINTS2 · 6 · 8-13OVER
- FG
- 8-13
- 3PT
- 2-3
- FT
- 2-4
- OREB/DREB
- 2/0
- TS%
- 67.8
- USG%
- 31.4
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +3
- PRA
- 28
2026-07-18WASHOME7.5MIN2POINTS0 · 1 · 0-2UNDER
- FG
- 0-2
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 34.7
- USG%
- 34.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -11
- PRA
- 3
2026-07-15INDAWAY9.6MIN14POINTS0 · 3 · 5-5OVER
- FG
- 5-5
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 4-5
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 97.2
- USG%
- 41.5
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +1
- PRA
- 17
2026-07-10CONAWAY20.7MIN8POINTS1 · 1 · 4-7OVER
- FG
- 4-7
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 50.8
- USG%
- 28.5
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +6
- PRA
- 10
2026-07-08TORAWAY22.1MIN16POINTS1 · 3 · 8-12OVER
- FG
- 8-12
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/0
- TS%
- 66.7
- USG%
- 28.3
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +11
- PRA
- 20
2026-07-06WASAWAY20.9MIN14POINTS1 · 4 · 6-9OVER
- FG
- 6-9
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 74.2
- USG%
- 24.7
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +14
- PRA
- 19
2026-07-04ATLAWAY9.5MIN4POINTS0 · 2 · 2-2UNDER
- FG
- 2-2
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 69.4
- USG%
- 13.8
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -8
- PRA
- 6
2026-06-28NYLHOME12.6MIN8POINTS0 · 2 · 3-5OVER
- FG
- 3-5
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 68.0
- USG%
- 23.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- -16
- PRA
- 10
showing 25 of 69 — every rate above is computed over all 69