Karlie Samuelson over 4.5 points
She has cleared 4.5 in 69 of 113 games — 61.1%. That rate needs -157 to break even, and no book in our ledger has priced it.
01
Distribution
113 games · hover a bucket0–2 points · 20 games · 17.7% · under20
2–4 points · 22 games · 19.5% · under22
4–6 points · 12 games · 10.6% · under12
6–8 points · 16 games · 14.2% · over16
8–10 points · 16 games · 14.2% · over16
10–12 points · 9 games · 8.0% · over9
12–14 points · 9 games · 8.0% · over9
14–16 points · 4 games · 3.5% · over4
16–18 points · 3 games · 2.7% · over3
18–20 points · 2 games · 1.8% · over2
4.5
UNDER · 44OVER · 69 · filled bars clear the line
02
Recent games
points · line 4.5 · hover a bar2026-05-29 · ATL · 0 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-06-02 · GSV · 2 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-06-05 · PHO · 13 points · +8.5 vs line
2026-06-07 · LAS · 6 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-06-11 · LVA · 1 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-06-13 · DAL · 0 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-06-17 · SEA · 10 points · +5.5 vs line
2026-06-24 · CHI · 6 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-07-09 · LVA · 0 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-07-11 · ATL · 0 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-07-14 · CON · 8 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-07-16 · WAS · 3 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-07-22 · DAL · 10 points · +5.5 vs line
2026-07-28 · LVA · 3 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-07-31 · IND · 13 points · +8.5 vs line
2026-08-02 · LAS · 2 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-08-06 · TOR · 6 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-08-08 · SEA · 9 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-08-12 · MIN · 5 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-08-14 · SEA · 3 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-08-16 · PHO · 8 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-08-21 · TOR · 3 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-08-23 · WAS · 0 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-08-25 · DAL · 14 points · +9.5 vs line
2026-08-28 · ATL · 0 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-08-30 · GSV · 0 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-09-17 · PHO · 14 points · +9.5 vs line
2026-09-18 · GSV · 3 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-09-20 · LAS · 8 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-09-22 · GSV · 0 points · −4.5 vs line
4.5
2026-05-29— 5-game mean2026-09-22 · newest
03
Recent form
40.0%4/10 · last 10
2026-08-16 · 8 points · OVER
8
2026-08-21 · 3 points · UNDER
3
2026-08-23 · 0 points · UNDER
0
2026-08-25 · 14 points · OVER
14
2026-08-28 · 0 points · UNDER
0
2026-08-30 · 0 points · UNDER
0
2026-09-17 · 14 points · OVER
14
2026-09-18 · 3 points · UNDER
3
2026-09-20 · 8 points · OVER
8
2026-09-22 · 0 points · UNDER
0
A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.
04
Market history
No book in our ledger has priced this exact line. Our books publish eight WNBA markets, so a threshold outside those has a rate but no price to check it against.
05
Game log
25 of 113 · click a row for the box scoreDATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 4.5
2026-09-22GSVHOME19.3MIN0POINTS2 · 3 · 0-4UNDER
- FG
- 0-4
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 14.8
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -16
- PRA
- 5
2026-09-20LASAWAY19.2MIN8POINTS2 · 1 · 2-7OVER
- FG
- 2-7
- 3PT
- 1-6
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 45.7
- USG%
- 21.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- -15
- PRA
- 11
2026-09-18GSVAWAY18.5MIN3POINTS2 · 0 · 1-4UNDER
- FG
- 1-4
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 33.8
- USG%
- 11.0
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -20
- PRA
- 5
2026-09-17PHOHOME28.0MIN14POINTS1 · 2 · 4-10OVER
- FG
- 4-10
- 3PT
- 2-6
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 59.5
- USG%
- 19.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +6
- PRA
- 17
2026-08-30GSVHOME16.4MIN0POINTS2 · 1 · 0-4UNDER
- FG
- 0-4
- 3PT
- 0-4
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 11.8
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -4
- PRA
- 3
2026-08-28ATLAWAY8.9MIN0POINTS2 · 0 · 0-2UNDER
- FG
- 0-2
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 10.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +10
- PRA
- 2
2026-08-25DALAWAY18.8MIN14POINTS1 · 0 · 4-6OVER
- FG
- 4-6
- 3PT
- 2-4
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 90.2
- USG%
- 18.2
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +8
- PRA
- 15
2026-08-23WASHOME14.3MIN0POINTS1 · 0 · 0-4UNDER
- FG
- 0-4
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 12.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -2
- PRA
- 1
2026-08-21TORAWAY17.7MIN3POINTS3 · 1 · 1-5UNDER
- FG
- 1-5
- 3PT
- 1-5
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/1
- TS%
- 30.0
- USG%
- 12.8
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -10
- PRA
- 7
2026-08-16PHOAWAY16.8MIN8POINTS4 · 0 · 2-6OVER
- FG
- 2-6
- 3PT
- 1-5
- FT
- 3-5
- OREB/DREB
- 2/2
- TS%
- 48.8
- USG%
- 24.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +4
- PRA
- 12
2026-08-14SEAAWAY15.3MIN3POINTS2 · 1 · 1-4UNDER
- FG
- 1-4
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 37.5
- USG%
- 11.2
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +1
- PRA
- 6
2026-08-12MINHOME15.6MIN5POINTS0 · 1 · 1-4OVER
- FG
- 1-4
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 51.2
- USG%
- 13.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -4
- PRA
- 6
2026-08-08SEAHOME17.0MIN9POINTS3 · 0 · 3-4OVER
- FG
- 3-4
- 3PT
- 3-4
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 112.5
- USG%
- 11.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +4
- PRA
- 12
2026-08-06TORHOME18.9MIN6POINTS2 · 1 · 2-4OVER
- FG
- 2-4
- 3PT
- 2-4
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 75.0
- USG%
- 13.8
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +13
- PRA
- 9
2026-08-02LASHOME18.9MIN2POINTS2 · 1 · 1-3UNDER
- FG
- 1-3
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 33.3
- USG%
- 6.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -6
- PRA
- 5
2026-07-31INDHOME18.6MIN13POINTS4 · 2 · 3-8OVER
- FG
- 3-8
- 3PT
- 3-8
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 2/2
- TS%
- 66.6
- USG%
- 22.1
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -2
- PRA
- 19
2026-07-28LVAAWAY18.8MIN3POINTS1 · 2 · 1-3UNDER
- FG
- 1-3
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/0
- TS%
- 50.0
- USG%
- 6.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -17
- PRA
- 6
2026-07-22DALHOME20.1MIN10POINTS0 · 1 · 3-3OVER
- FG
- 3-3
- 3PT
- 2-2
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 128.9
- USG%
- 9.3
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +5
- PRA
- 11
2026-07-16WASAWAY13.4MIN3POINTS1 · 1 · 1-4UNDER
- FG
- 1-4
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 37.5
- USG%
- 21.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +11
- PRA
- 5
2026-07-14CONAWAY15.5MIN8POINTS0 · 0 · 2-2OVER
- FG
- 2-2
- 3PT
- 2-2
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 138.9
- USG%
- 8.8
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +3
- PRA
- 8
2026-07-11ATLAWAY8.2MIN0POINTS0 · 0 · 0-0UNDER
- FG
- 0-0
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 5.8
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -6
- PRA
- 0
2026-07-09LVAHOME11.1MIN0POINTS0 · 0 · 0-0UNDER
- FG
- 0-0
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 0.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -26
- PRA
- 0
2026-06-24CHIAWAY14.7MIN6POINTS2 · 0 · 2-3OVER
- FG
- 2-3
- 3PT
- 2-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 100.0
- USG%
- 9.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -15
- PRA
- 8
2026-06-17SEAHOME17.3MIN10POINTS1 · 0 · 3-6OVER
- FG
- 3-6
- 3PT
- 2-5
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/0
- TS%
- 72.7
- USG%
- 17.0
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -4
- PRA
- 11
2026-06-13DALHOME14.0MIN0POINTS2 · 3 · 0-3UNDER
- FG
- 0-3
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/0
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 10.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -3
- PRA
- 5
showing 25 of 113 — every rate above is computed over all 113