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Laura Juskaite over 11.5 points

She has cleared 11.5 in 18 of 43 games — 41.9%. That rate needs +138 to break even and books have been paying -116.

—

Tonight

THU · SEP 24
TOR @ CON7:00 PM ETprojected starter · 29 projected minutes
OutAneesah MorrowLeft Knee
OutBrittney SykesLeft Foot
OutMarina MabreyRight Adductor
OutTemi FagbenlePersonal Reasons
QuestionableMaria CondeBack
AT 26+ MINUTES · 202621 games · 30.2 min · 15.0 points · 15/21 over 11.5 (71%)

Tonight's projection is 29 minutes. This is her season at that workload.

WITHOUT MORROW35 games · 25.2 min · 11.6 points · 14/35 over 11.5with her (n=8): 25.7 min · 9.3 points · 50%with her →
WITHOUT SYKES26 games · 26.9 min · 12.4 points · 13/26 over 11.5with her (n=17): 22.8 min · 9.2 points · 29%with her →
WITHOUT MABREY11 games · 27.9 min · 14.6 points · 8/11 over 11.5with her (n=32): 24.4 min · 10.0 points · 31%with her →

Season to date, tonight's game excluded. Rates, not projections.

01

Distribution

43 games · hover a bucket
UNDER · 25OVER · 18  ·  filled bars clear the line
02

Recent games

points · line 11.5 · hover a bar
2026-06-14— 5-game mean2026-09-22 · newest
03

Recent form

70.0%7/10 · last 10
2026-08-18 · 2 points · UNDER
2
2026-08-19 · 12 points · OVER
12
2026-08-21 · 15 points · OVER
15
2026-08-23 · 11 points · UNDER
11
2026-08-26 · 14 points · OVER
14
2026-08-28 · 14 points · OVER
14
2026-08-29 · 10 points · UNDER
10
2026-09-18 · 22 points · OVER
22
2026-09-20 · 28 points · OVER
28
2026-09-22 · 20 points · OVER
20

A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.

04

Market history

median · 6 postings11.5-116
best offered11.5-112
worst offered11.5-122
our break-even11.5+138

Median -116 across 6 postings over 2 games. Her rate has never been worth that price.

05

Game log

25 of 43 · click a row for the box score
DATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 11.5
2026-09-22
CHI
AWAY
28.2MIN
20POINTS
3 · 4 · 6-10
OVER
FG
6-10
3PT
3-4
FT
5-6
OREB/DREB
2/1
TS%
79.1
USG%
25.9
STL
4
BLK
1
TOV
5
PF
3
+/−
-17
PRA
27
2026-09-20
NYL
HOME
30.4MIN
28POINTS
2 · 0 · 10-15
OVER
FG
10-15
3PT
0-2
FT
8-8
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
75.6
USG%
28.0
STL
3
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
3
+/−
-14
PRA
30
2026-09-18
IND
HOME
30.1MIN
22POINTS
3 · 2 · 8-15
OVER
FG
8-15
3PT
2-6
FT
4-5
OREB/DREB
2/1
TS%
64.0
USG%
27.7
STL
3
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
3
+/−
-14
PRA
27
2026-08-29
PHO
AWAY
27.2MIN
10POINTS
4 · 1 · 2-7
UNDER
FG
2-7
3PT
1-3
FT
5-5
OREB/DREB
0/4
TS%
54.3
USG%
20.4
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
3
PF
2
+/−
-35
PRA
15
2026-08-28
LVA
AWAY
27.9MIN
14POINTS
8 · 2 · 6-11
OVER
FG
6-11
3PT
1-4
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
1/7
TS%
58.9
USG%
22.5
STL
2
BLK
1
TOV
2
PF
4
+/−
-17
PRA
24
2026-08-26
SEA
AWAY
29.4MIN
14POINTS
9 · 3 · 6-11
OVER
FG
6-11
3PT
1-3
FT
1-1
OREB/DREB
2/7
TS%
61.2
USG%
17.2
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
1
+/−
-4
PRA
26
2026-08-23
LVA
HOME
28.5MIN
11POINTS
6 · 2 · 4-7
UNDER
FG
4-7
3PT
2-4
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
3/3
TS%
69.8
USG%
24.2
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
7
PF
3
+/−
-3
PRA
19
2026-08-21
POR
HOME
30.5MIN
15POINTS
7 · 4 · 3-6
OVER
FG
3-6
3PT
1-4
FT
8-10
OREB/DREB
2/5
TS%
72.1
USG%
24.6
STL
2
BLK
1
TOV
6
PF
5
+/−
0
PRA
26
2026-08-19
WAS
AWAY
29.2MIN
12POINTS
2 · 4 · 6-12
OVER
FG
6-12
3PT
0-3
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
50.0
USG%
21.4
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
3
+/−
-14
PRA
18
2026-08-18
IND
HOME
19.7MIN
2POINTS
6 · 0 · 0-4
UNDER
FG
0-4
3PT
0-3
FT
2-4
OREB/DREB
2/4
TS%
17.4
USG%
14.8
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
1
+/−
-12
PRA
8
2026-08-12
DAL
AWAY
32.0MIN
18POINTS
7 · 0 · 8-17
OVER
FG
8-17
3PT
1-5
FT
1-1
OREB/DREB
3/4
TS%
51.6
USG%
24.3
STL
3
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
3
+/−
-4
PRA
25
2026-08-10
ATL
AWAY
13.5MIN
0POINTS
1 · 0 · 0-3
UNDER
FG
0-3
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
0.0
USG%
16.6
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
2
+/−
-16
PRA
1
2026-08-06
POR
AWAY
26.3MIN
12POINTS
6 · 3 · 5-14
OVER
FG
5-14
3PT
0-5
FT
2-3
OREB/DREB
2/4
TS%
39.2
USG%
28.3
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
3
PF
3
+/−
-8
PRA
21
2026-08-04
GSV
AWAY
25.1MIN
11POINTS
3 · 1 · 3-7
UNDER
FG
3-7
3PT
1-3
FT
4-4
OREB/DREB
0/3
TS%
62.8
USG%
21.3
STL
2
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
1
+/−
+5
PRA
15
2026-08-02
GSV
AWAY
34.7MIN
15POINTS
4 · 2 · 5-7
OVER
FG
5-7
3PT
1-3
FT
4-6
OREB/DREB
2/2
TS%
77.8
USG%
14.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
3
+/−
-21
PRA
21
2026-07-30
MIN
HOME
29.6MIN
19POINTS
5 · 3 · 7-12
OVER
FG
7-12
3PT
2-4
FT
3-4
OREB/DREB
0/5
TS%
69.0
USG%
27.0
STL
1
BLK
1
TOV
4
PF
4
+/−
-27
PRA
27
2026-07-28
MIN
AWAY
33.7MIN
18POINTS
4 · 1 · 7-14
OVER
FG
7-14
3PT
3-7
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
1/3
TS%
60.5
USG%
22.2
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
3
PF
3
+/−
-7
PRA
23
2026-07-20
LVA
HOME
29.0MIN
6POINTS
3 · 1 · 2-9
UNDER
FG
2-9
3PT
1-5
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
1/2
TS%
30.4
USG%
16.1
STL
2
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
2
+/−
-24
PRA
10
2026-07-17
ATL
HOME
27.8MIN
8POINTS
4 · 0 · 4-8
UNDER
FG
4-8
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/3
TS%
50.0
USG%
19.9
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
4
PF
2
+/−
-13
PRA
12
2026-07-14
WAS
HOME
24.7MIN
7POINTS
4 · 1 · 3-8
UNDER
FG
3-8
3PT
0-4
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
1/3
TS%
39.4
USG%
20.1
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
3
+/−
-3
PRA
12
2026-07-12
NYL
HOME
30.8MIN
18POINTS
4 · 3 · 7-8
OVER
FG
7-8
3PT
2-3
FT
2-2
OREB/DREB
1/3
TS%
101.4
USG%
19.9
STL
3
BLK
0
TOV
6
PF
5
+/−
+12
PRA
25
2026-07-10
DAL
HOME
36.4MIN
25POINTS
3 · 3 · 10-16
OVER
FG
10-16
3PT
3-6
FT
2-2
OREB/DREB
0/3
TS%
74.1
USG%
22.6
STL
1
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
3
+/−
-9
PRA
31
2026-07-08
GSV
HOME
18.3MIN
5POINTS
0 · 1 · 1-2
UNDER
FG
1-2
3PT
1-2
FT
2-2
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
86.8
USG%
15.7
STL
3
BLK
0
TOV
3
PF
5
+/−
+7
PRA
6
2026-07-05
DAL
HOME
23.9MIN
8POINTS
5 · 1 · 3-7
UNDER
FG
3-7
3PT
1-3
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
2/3
TS%
50.8
USG%
16.3
STL
1
BLK
1
TOV
1
PF
2
+/−
-1
PRA
14
2026-06-27
PHO
HOME
10.5MIN
0POINTS
4 · 1 · 0-1
UNDER
FG
0-1
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/4
TS%
0.0
USG%
13.5
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
2
+/−
+6
PRA
5
showing 25 of 43 — every rate above is computed over all 43