DIME
Get the picksJoin
points estimatesat home

Mai Yamamoto on the road

Averaged 4.6 points, 1.0 rebounds and 1.6 assists in 7 games on the road.

—

Tonight

WED · OCT 7
LVA @ GSV9:30 PM ETbench · 10 projected minutes
OutJewell LoydLeft Leg
ProbableDana EvansRight Knee
QuestionableStephanie TalbotLeft Leg
GAMES SHE PLAYED 10+ MIN · 202614 games · 17.1 min · 5.3 points

Tonight's projection is 10 minutes. These games were picked after the fact — by the minutes she ended up playing, which no projection can promise — so they keep her full nights and drop the ones cut short. Averages only; not a rate to read against a line or a price.

She has not played a game without Loyd this season.

Season to date, tonight's game excluded. Rates, not projections.

01

Every stat, vs baseline

hover a row for the gap against its noise
STAT
ON THE ROA
OTHER
DIFF
← below baseline · above →
VERDICT
points
4.6
4.1
+0.5
gap is 0.2× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 4.7
NOT MEASURABLE
rebounds
1.0
1.0
0.0
gap is 0.0× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.3
NOT MEASURABLE
assists
1.6
0.9
+0.7
gap is 0.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.6
NOT MEASURABLE
threes
1.0
0.8
+0.2
gap is 0.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.2
NOT MEASURABLE
steals
0.4
0.8
−0.4
gap is 0.9× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.8
NOT MEASURABLE
blocks
0.1
0.0
+0.1
gap is 1.0× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.3
NOT MEASURABLE
turnovers
0.6
0.5
+0.1
gap is 0.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.7
NOT MEASURABLE
pts+reb+ast
7.1
6.0
+1.1
gap is 0.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 6.2
NOT MEASURABLE
pts+reb
5.6
5.1
+0.5
gap is 0.2× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 4.8
NOT MEASURABLE
pts+ast
6.1
5.0
+1.1
gap is 0.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 6.1
NOT MEASURABLE
reb+ast
2.6
1.9
+0.7
gap is 0.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.2
NOT MEASURABLE
steals+blocks
0.6
0.8
−0.2
gap is 0.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.8
NOT MEASURABLE
field goals made
1.7
1.3
+0.4
gap is 0.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.7
NOT MEASURABLE
field goal attempts
4.4
4.2
+0.2
gap is 0.2× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.8
NOT MEASURABLE
three-point attempts
3.0
2.8
+0.2
gap is 0.2× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.2
NOT MEASURABLE
free throws made
0.1
0.7
−0.6
gap is 1.0× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.1
DIRECTIONAL
free throw attempts
0.1
0.7
−0.6
gap is 1.0× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.1
DIRECTIONAL
offensive rebounds
0.1
0.3
−0.1
gap is 0.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.5
NOT MEASURABLE
defensive rebounds
0.9
0.7
+0.1
gap is 0.2× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.2
NOT MEASURABLE
fouls
1.1
1.5
−0.3
gap is 0.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.0
NOT MEASURABLE
usage 18.8 vs 15.9true shooting 40.5 vs 43.1minutes 15.3 vs 14.2

Baseline: home games, 11 games.

02

The 7 games

points · baseline 4.1 · hover a bar
2026-08-03— 5-game mean2026-10-04 · newest
03

Why — minutes or rate

no difference in this split is larger than the sample can resolve, so there is nothing to explain

04

The matchup

Defensive context is only computed for a vs-team split, where there is one opponent to profile.

05

Game log

all 7 · 2 playoff games, marked · click a row for the box score
DATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 4.1
2026-10-04PLAYOFF R2 G1
GSV
AWAY
18.9MIN
2POINTS
0 · 1 · 1-4
BELOW
FG
1-4
3PT
0-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
25.0
USG%
11.3
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
-10
PRA
3
2026-09-29PLAYOFF R1 G2
IND
AWAY
9.8MIN
0POINTS
0 · 0 · 0-3
BELOW
FG
0-3
3PT
0-3
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
19.2
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
0
+/−
-4
PRA
0
2026-09-24
PHO
AWAY
13.6MIN
2POINTS
1 · 1 · 1-2
BELOW
FG
1-2
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/0
TS%
50.0
USG%
6.4
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
0
PRA
4
2026-09-17
SEA
AWAY
15.0MIN
0POINTS
4 · 1 · 0-2
BELOW
FG
0-2
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/4
TS%
0.0
USG%
5.8
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
3
+/−
+18
PRA
5
2026-08-23
TOR
AWAY
22.2MIN
9POINTS
1 · 1 · 3-7
ABOVE
FG
3-7
3PT
2-5
FT
1-1
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
60.5
USG%
18.2
STL
2
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
1
+/−
+2
PRA
11
2026-08-09
NYL
AWAY
25.7MIN
16POINTS
1 · 6 · 6-11
ABOVE
FG
6-11
3PT
4-8
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
72.7
USG%
24.3
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
2
+/−
-20
PRA
23
2026-08-03
ATL
AWAY
2.0MIN
3POINTS
0 · 1 · 1-2
BELOW
FG
1-2
3PT
1-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
75.0
USG%
46.4
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
+4
PRA
4
every game on file — nothing hidden