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Natasha Cloud over 11.5 points

She has cleared 11.5 in 88 of 199 games — 44.2%. That rate needs +126 to break even and books have been paying -114.

—

Tonight

THU · SEP 24

Out She is Out tonight (Left Knee). Every rate below comes from games she played — tonight starts with whether she plays.

CHI @ WAS7:30 PM ETnot in the projected lineup
OutAicha CoulibalyRight Knee
OutAzura StevensRight Knee
OutDiJonai CarringtonLeft Foot
OutSkylar DigginsRight Knee
WITHOUT COULIBALY12 games · 26.5 min · 10.8 points · 5/12 over 11.5with her (n=28): 28.9 min · 11.3 points · 39%with her →
WITHOUT STEVENS8 games · 28.9 min · 12.0 points · 3/8 over 11.5with her (n=32): 28.0 min · 10.9 points · 41%with her →
WITHOUT CARRINGTON29 games · 27.6 min · 9.9 points · 10/29 over 11.5with her (n=11): 29.7 min · 14.3 points · 55%with her →

Season to date, tonight's game excluded. Rates, not projections.

01

Distribution

199 games · hover a bucket
UNDER · 111OVER · 88  ·  filled bars clear the line
02

Recent games

points · line 11.5 · hover a bar
2026-06-09— 5-game mean2026-09-17 · newest
03

Recent form

60.0%6/10 · last 10
2026-08-08 · 17 points · OVER
17
2026-08-10 · 7 points · UNDER
7
2026-08-12 · 9 points · UNDER
9
2026-08-16 · 20 points · OVER
20
2026-08-18 · 35 points · OVER
35
2026-08-21 · 17 points · OVER
17
2026-08-23 · 16 points · OVER
16
2026-08-25 · 3 points · UNDER
3
2026-08-29 · 14 points · OVER
14
2026-09-17 · 2 points · UNDER
2

A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.

04

Market history

median · 16 postings11.5-114
best offered11.5+118
worst offered11.5-130
our break-even11.5+126

Median -114 across 16 postings over 7 games. Her rate has never been worth that price.

05

Game log

25 of 199 · click a row for the box score
DATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 11.5
2026-09-17
WAS
HOME
13.8MIN
2POINTS
1 · 2 · 1-2
UNDER
FG
1-2
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
50.0
USG%
6.2
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
-15
PRA
5
2026-08-29
NYL
AWAY
20.8MIN
14POINTS
0 · 1 · 6-8
OVER
FG
6-8
3PT
1-1
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
78.8
USG%
20.1
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
-7
PRA
15
2026-08-25
CON
AWAY
15.9MIN
3POINTS
0 · 4 · 1-3
UNDER
FG
1-3
3PT
0-1
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
38.7
USG%
11.0
STL
1
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
-7
PRA
7
2026-08-23
IND
HOME
29.8MIN
16POINTS
4 · 7 · 7-9
OVER
FG
7-9
3PT
0-0
FT
2-2
OREB/DREB
1/3
TS%
81.0
USG%
20.6
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
4
PF
4
+/−
-15
PRA
27
2026-08-21
GSV
HOME
36.3MIN
17POINTS
7 · 4 · 5-10
OVER
FG
5-10
3PT
5-5
FT
2-2
OREB/DREB
0/7
TS%
78.1
USG%
20.2
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
4
PF
2
+/−
+2
PRA
28
2026-08-18
NYL
HOME
34.7MIN
35POINTS
9 · 6 · 13-21
OVER
FG
13-21
3PT
4-8
FT
5-6
OREB/DREB
1/8
TS%
74.0
USG%
30.2
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
3
PF
3
+/−
+4
PRA
50
2026-08-16
SEA
AWAY
33.9MIN
20POINTS
8 · 3 · 5-12
OVER
FG
5-12
3PT
1-5
FT
9-9
OREB/DREB
0/8
TS%
62.7
USG%
22.7
STL
3
BLK
1
TOV
4
PF
2
+/−
-3
PRA
31
2026-08-12
GSV
AWAY
31.1MIN
9POINTS
4 · 9 · 3-8
UNDER
FG
3-8
3PT
0-2
FT
3-3
OREB/DREB
0/4
TS%
48.3
USG%
16.8
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
2
+/−
-6
PRA
22
2026-08-10
SEA
AWAY
31.7MIN
7POINTS
2 · 8 · 3-5
UNDER
FG
3-5
3PT
0-1
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
59.5
USG%
11.3
STL
2
BLK
0
TOV
3
PF
4
+/−
-3
PRA
17
2026-08-08
IND
HOME
26.7MIN
17POINTS
2 · 4 · 6-9
OVER
FG
6-9
3PT
1-4
FT
4-4
OREB/DREB
1/1
TS%
79.0
USG%
21.5
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
4
+/−
-5
PRA
23
2026-08-05
LAS
HOME
31.6MIN
15POINTS
5 · 9 · 6-10
OVER
FG
6-10
3PT
2-5
FT
1-1
OREB/DREB
0/5
TS%
71.8
USG%
16.8
STL
2
BLK
1
TOV
1
PF
0
+/−
+9
PRA
29
2026-08-03
PHO
HOME
31.4MIN
13POINTS
5 · 7 · 4-8
OVER
FG
4-8
3PT
1-5
FT
4-4
OREB/DREB
1/4
TS%
66.6
USG%
14.4
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
2
+/−
-14
PRA
25
2026-08-01
LVA
HOME
29.5MIN
11POINTS
1 · 4 · 4-7
UNDER
FG
4-7
3PT
2-3
FT
1-1
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
73.9
USG%
12.8
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
5
+/−
+13
PRA
16
2026-07-30
CON
HOME
30.8MIN
11POINTS
0 · 5 · 4-8
UNDER
FG
4-8
3PT
0-1
FT
3-3
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
59.0
USG%
16.1
STL
2
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
0
+/−
+4
PRA
16
2026-07-22
NYL
AWAY
32.0MIN
9POINTS
3 · 8 · 4-8
UNDER
FG
4-8
3PT
1-4
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/3
TS%
56.3
USG%
14.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
3
+/−
+1
PRA
20
2026-07-19
ATL
AWAY
32.2MIN
7POINTS
2 · 4 · 3-7
UNDER
FG
3-7
3PT
1-4
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
50.0
USG%
12.8
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
4
+/−
-5
PRA
13
2026-07-17
LAS
HOME
31.9MIN
15POINTS
6 · 9 · 5-10
OVER
FG
5-10
3PT
3-6
FT
2-2
OREB/DREB
0/6
TS%
68.9
USG%
14.2
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
+11
PRA
30
2026-07-15
SEA
HOME
30.0MIN
13POINTS
2 · 6 · 3-5
OVER
FG
3-5
3PT
2-3
FT
5-6
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
85.1
USG%
16.3
STL
4
BLK
1
TOV
4
PF
1
+/−
0
PRA
21
2026-07-12
DAL
AWAY
31.8MIN
15POINTS
2 · 3 · 5-8
OVER
FG
5-8
3PT
0-2
FT
5-5
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
73.5
USG%
17.7
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
3
+/−
-1
PRA
20
2026-07-10
LAS
AWAY
26.7MIN
9POINTS
2 · 7 · 2-11
UNDER
FG
2-11
3PT
1-5
FT
4-6
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
33.0
USG%
23.0
STL
2
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
5
+/−
-16
PRA
18
2026-07-07
PHO
AWAY
32.0MIN
11POINTS
4 · 6 · 3-8
UNDER
FG
3-8
3PT
3-7
FT
2-2
OREB/DREB
0/4
TS%
61.9
USG%
14.1
STL
2
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
4
+/−
+8
PRA
21
2026-07-03
LVA
AWAY
34.4MIN
15POINTS
3 · 5 · 4-8
OVER
FG
4-8
3PT
2-4
FT
5-6
OREB/DREB
0/3
TS%
70.5
USG%
17.1
STL
2
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
4
+/−
-2
PRA
23
2026-06-28
LVA
HOME
22.6MIN
6POINTS
2 · 4 · 2-4
UNDER
FG
2-4
3PT
1-2
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
1/1
TS%
61.5
USG%
12.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
5
+/−
-6
PRA
12
2026-06-26
POR
HOME
18.1MIN
2POINTS
1 · 4 · 1-3
UNDER
FG
1-3
3PT
0-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/0
TS%
33.3
USG%
11.9
STL
1
BLK
2
TOV
2
PF
3
+/−
+12
PRA
7
2026-06-24
POR
HOME
20.7MIN
9POINTS
4 · 4 · 3-3
UNDER
FG
3-3
3PT
1-1
FT
2-2
OREB/DREB
0/4
TS%
116.0
USG%
12.1
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
1
+/−
+26
PRA
17
showing 25 of 199 — every rate above is computed over all 199