Pauline Astier over 9.5 points
She has cleared 9.5 in 17 of 44 games — 38.6%. That rate needs +158 to break even and books have been paying +107.
01
Distribution
44 games · hover a bucket2–4 points · 3 games · 6.8% · under3
4–6 points · 7 games · 15.9% · under7
6–8 points · 10 games · 22.7% · under10
8–10 points · 7 games · 15.9% · under7
10–12 points · 3 games · 6.8% · over3
12–14 points · 2 games · 4.5% · over2
14–16 points · 5 games · 11.4% · over5
16–18 points · 3 games · 6.8% · over3
18–20 points · 2 games · 4.5% · over2
20–22 points · 1 game · 2.3% · over1
24–26 points · 1 game · 2.3% · over1
9.5
UNDER · 27OVER · 17 · filled bars clear the line
02
Recent games
points · line 9.5 · hover a bar2026-06-19 · WAS · 2 points · −7.5 vs line
2026-06-21 · LAS · 17 points · +7.5 vs line
2026-06-23 · LVA · 7 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-06-25 · SEA · 3 points · −6.5 vs line
2026-06-28 · GSV · 5 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-06-30 · LVA · 15 points · +5.5 vs line
2026-07-03 · MIN · 14 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-07-07 · DAL · 4 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-07-11 · MIN · 4 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-07-12 · TOR · 14 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-07-18 · IND · 9 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-07-20 · DAL · 7 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-07-22 · CHI · 9 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-07-28 · LAS · 4 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-07-30 · LVA · 19 points · +9.5 vs line
2026-08-01 · PHO · 6 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-08-03 · SEA · 12 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-08-05 · SEA · 11 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-08-09 · LVA · 6 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-08-11 · IND · 3 points · −6.5 vs line
2026-08-13 · LAS · 7 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-08-15 · CON · 8 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-08-18 · CHI · 8 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-08-22 · IND · 8 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-08-27 · GSV · 4 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-08-29 · CHI · 8 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-09-18 · MIN · 14 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-09-20 · TOR · 10 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-09-21 · ATL · 15 points · +5.5 vs line
2026-09-23 · ATL · 4 points · −5.5 vs line
9.5
2026-06-19— 5-game mean2026-09-23 · newest
03
Recent form
30.0%3/10 · last 10
2026-08-13 · 7 points · UNDER
7
2026-08-15 · 8 points · UNDER
8
2026-08-18 · 8 points · UNDER
8
2026-08-22 · 8 points · UNDER
8
2026-08-27 · 4 points · UNDER
4
2026-08-29 · 8 points · UNDER
8
2026-09-18 · 14 points · OVER
14
2026-09-20 · 10 points · OVER
10
2026-09-21 · 15 points · OVER
15
2026-09-23 · 4 points · UNDER
4
A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.
04
Market history
median · 5 postings9.5+107
best offered9.5+136
worst offered9.5-130
our break-even9.5+158
Median +107 across 5 postings over 3 games. Her rate has never been worth that price.
05
Game log
25 of 44 · click a row for the box scoreDATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 9.5
2026-09-23ATLHOME15.6MIN4POINTS3 · 2 · 2-7UNDER
- FG
- 2-7
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 28.6
- USG%
- 31.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -15
- PRA
- 9
2026-09-21ATLHOME29.5MIN15POINTS4 · 4 · 6-9OVER
- FG
- 6-9
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 2/2
- TS%
- 75.9
- USG%
- 14.6
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 6
- +/−
- -7
- PRA
- 23
2026-09-20TORAWAY22.0MIN10POINTS9 · 3 · 4-6OVER
- FG
- 4-6
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 2/7
- TS%
- 72.7
- USG%
- 17.5
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +20
- PRA
- 22
2026-09-18MINAWAY27.3MIN14POINTS5 · 3 · 6-8OVER
- FG
- 6-8
- 3PT
- 2-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/3
- TS%
- 87.5
- USG%
- 13.7
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +8
- PRA
- 22
2026-08-29CHIHOME25.0MIN8POINTS3 · 3 · 3-7UNDER
- FG
- 3-7
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 50.8
- USG%
- 19.2
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +9
- PRA
- 14
2026-08-27GSVHOME24.2MIN4POINTS3 · 3 · 2-6UNDER
- FG
- 2-6
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 33.3
- USG%
- 16.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -17
- PRA
- 10
2026-08-22INDHOME24.5MIN8POINTS3 · 2 · 2-5UNDER
- FG
- 2-5
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 4-5
- OREB/DREB
- 2/1
- TS%
- 55.6
- USG%
- 16.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +5
- PRA
- 13
2026-08-18CHIAWAY19.2MIN8POINTS3 · 1 · 4-8UNDER
- FG
- 4-8
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 50.0
- USG%
- 24.7
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -8
- PRA
- 12
2026-08-15CONAWAY25.8MIN8POINTS0 · 4 · 4-8UNDER
- FG
- 4-8
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 50.0
- USG%
- 17.1
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +6
- PRA
- 12
2026-08-13LASHOME17.3MIN7POINTS2 · 5 · 3-5UNDER
- FG
- 3-5
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 64.3
- USG%
- 17.9
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +8
- PRA
- 14
2026-08-11INDAWAY17.8MIN3POINTS3 · 3 · 0-3UNDER
- FG
- 0-3
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 31.5
- USG%
- 13.7
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -5
- PRA
- 9
2026-08-09LVAHOME16.0MIN6POINTS2 · 1 · 2-2UNDER
- FG
- 2-2
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 104.2
- USG%
- 7.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +13
- PRA
- 9
2026-08-05SEAHOME28.2MIN11POINTS3 · 5 · 4-4OVER
- FG
- 4-4
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 103.4
- USG%
- 11.0
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +20
- PRA
- 19
2026-08-03SEAHOME22.8MIN12POINTS0 · 2 · 4-5OVER
- FG
- 4-5
- 3PT
- 1-1
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 94.9
- USG%
- 14.8
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +10
- PRA
- 14
2026-08-01PHOAWAY21.3MIN6POINTS0 · 2 · 3-7UNDER
- FG
- 3-7
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 42.9
- USG%
- 18.7
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +5
- PRA
- 8
2026-07-30LVAAWAY21.5MIN19POINTS1 · 4 · 8-12OVER
- FG
- 8-12
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 73.8
- USG%
- 30.5
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -1
- PRA
- 24
2026-07-28LASAWAY15.9MIN4POINTS2 · 2 · 2-2UNDER
- FG
- 2-2
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 100.0
- USG%
- 8.0
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -6
- PRA
- 8
2026-07-22CHIHOME21.8MIN9POINTS1 · 5 · 3-6UNDER
- FG
- 3-6
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 61.5
- USG%
- 17.8
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +1
- PRA
- 15
2026-07-20DALAWAY25.0MIN7POINTS2 · 1 · 3-10UNDER
- FG
- 3-10
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 35.0
- USG%
- 19.8
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -7
- PRA
- 10
2026-07-18INDAWAY22.6MIN9POINTS2 · 5 · 3-6UNDER
- FG
- 3-6
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 61.5
- USG%
- 13.9
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -7
- PRA
- 16
2026-07-12TORAWAY24.7MIN14POINTS3 · 2 · 5-8OVER
- FG
- 5-8
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 71.7
- USG%
- 21.7
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +14
- PRA
- 19
2026-07-11MINAWAY23.4MIN4POINTS0 · 2 · 2-5UNDER
- FG
- 2-5
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 40.0
- USG%
- 16.6
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -9
- PRA
- 6
2026-07-07DALHOME23.4MIN4POINTS2 · 1 · 2-4UNDER
- FG
- 2-4
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 50.0
- USG%
- 11.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -5
- PRA
- 7
2026-07-03MINHOME30.2MIN14POINTS2 · 6 · 5-6OVER
- FG
- 5-6
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 90.2
- USG%
- 16.8
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +14
- PRA
- 22
2026-06-30LVAHOME31.1MIN15POINTS5 · 4 · 5-8OVER
- FG
- 5-8
- 3PT
- 1-1
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 2/3
- TS%
- 76.8
- USG%
- 16.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +10
- PRA
- 24
showing 25 of 44 — every rate above is computed over all 44