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Stephanie Talbot against the Minnesota Lynx

Averaged 3.3 points, 2.4 rebounds and 1.3 assists in 16 games against the Minnesota Lynx.

—

Tonight

THU · OCT 1

Questionable She is Questionable tonight (Left Leg).

IND @ LVA9:00 PM ETprojected starter · 25 projected minutes
OutDana EvansRight Knee
2026 AT TONIGHT'S 5.5over in 13 of 47 games (28%)
PRICE THAT RATE NEEDSover +262 · best posted -111 · under -262 · best posted +104

Every game she played this season, tonight's excluded — no filter on her minutes.

GAMES SHE PLAYED 22+ MIN · 202611 games · 26.7 min · 7.7 points

Tonight's projection is 25 minutes. These games were picked after the fact — by the minutes she ended up playing, which no projection can promise — so they keep her full nights and drop the ones cut short. Averages only; not a rate to read against a line or a price.

WITHOUT EVANS33 games · 19.1 min · 4.1 pointswith her (14 games): 14.4 min · 3.9 pointswith her →

Season to date, tonight's game excluded. Rates, not projections.

01

Every stat, vs baseline

hover a row for the gap against its noise
STAT
VS LYNX
FORM
DIFF
← below baseline · above →
VERDICT
points
3.3
3.9
−0.6
gap is 0.7× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.7
NOT MEASURABLE
rebounds
2.4
2.7
−0.2
gap is 0.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.9
NOT MEASURABLE
assists
1.3
1.7
−0.5
gap is 1.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.6
DIRECTIONAL
threes
0.4
0.5
−0.2
gap is 0.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.4
NOT MEASURABLE
steals
0.3
0.6
−0.3
gap is 1.9× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.3
DIRECTIONAL
blocks
0.3
0.5
−0.1
gap is 1.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.3
NOT MEASURABLE
turnovers
0.6
1.0
−0.3
gap is 2.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.3
DIRECTIONAL
pts+reb+ast
7.0
8.3
−1.3
gap is 1.0× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.6
NOT MEASURABLE
pts+reb
5.8
6.6
−0.8
gap is 0.7× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.2
NOT MEASURABLE
pts+ast
4.6
5.6
−1.1
gap is 1.0× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.2
NOT MEASURABLE
reb+ast
3.7
4.4
−0.7
gap is 1.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.3
DIRECTIONAL
steals+blocks
0.6
1.1
−0.5
gap is 1.7× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.5
DIRECTIONAL
field goals made
1.2
1.4
−0.2
gap is 0.7× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.7
NOT MEASURABLE
field goal attempts
3.4
3.2
+0.2
gap is 0.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.3
NOT MEASURABLE
three-point attempts
1.6
1.6
0.0
gap is 0.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.8
NOT MEASURABLE
free throws made
0.6
0.5
+0.1
gap is 0.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.5
NOT MEASURABLE
free throw attempts
0.7
0.7
0.0
gap is 0.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.6
NOT MEASURABLE
offensive rebounds
0.8
0.6
+0.2
gap is 0.7× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.5
NOT MEASURABLE
defensive rebounds
1.6
2.0
−0.4
gap is 0.9× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.0
NOT MEASURABLE
fouls
0.9
1.5
−0.6
gap is 2.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.5
DIRECTIONAL
usage 13.8 vs 12.7true shooting 42.9 vs 45.2minutes 13.2 vs 15.7

Baseline: form going into each game (the average of the previous 10), measured on 145 other games since 2022-05-14.

02

The 16 games

points · her form 3.9 · hover a bar
2022-05-06— 5-game mean2026-08-15 · newest
03

Why — minutes or rate

no difference in this split is larger than the sample can resolve, so there is nothing to explain

04

The matchup

Nothing in this split cleared the noise, so there is no difference to attribute to the opponent. The defensive profile is only worth reading beside a finding.

05

Game log

all 16 · click a row for the box score
DATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 3.9
2026-08-15
MIN
HOME
10.0MIN
2POINTS
1 · 0 · 1-3
BELOW
FG
1-3
3PT
0-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
33.3
USG%
13.4
STL
1
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
-3
PRA
3
2026-08-08
MIN
AWAY
10.4MIN
2POINTS
1 · 0 · 1-2
BELOW
FG
1-2
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
50.0
USG%
8.3
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
+2
PRA
3
2026-06-13
MIN
HOME
19.8MIN
0POINTS
3 · 1 · 0-1
BELOW
FG
0-1
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
3/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
2.3
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
+9
PRA
4
2025-08-19
MIN
HOME
9.4MIN
2POINTS
2 · 0 · 1-1
BELOW
FG
1-1
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
2/0
TS%
100.0
USG%
9.9
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
1
+/−
-3
PRA
4
2025-08-16
MIN
AWAY
3.0MIN
0POINTS
0 · 0 · 0-0
BELOW
FG
0-0
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
0.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
-2
PRA
0
2025-08-10
MIN
HOME
12.5MIN
0POINTS
4 · 1 · 0-3
BELOW
FG
0-3
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/3
TS%
0.0
USG%
14.6
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
0
+/−
-6
PRA
5
2025-07-30
MIN
AWAY
17.6MIN
3POINTS
6 · 2 · 1-6
BELOW
FG
1-6
3PT
0-3
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
2/4
TS%
21.8
USG%
20.1
STL
1
BLK
1
TOV
1
PF
2
+/−
-13
PRA
11
2025-07-05
MIN
AWAY
24.2MIN
10POINTS
4 · 4 · 4-8
ABOVE
FG
4-8
3PT
2-5
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/3
TS%
62.5
USG%
16.8
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
+3
PRA
18
2025-06-01
MIN
HOME
11.2MIN
0POINTS
3 · 0 · 0-3
BELOW
FG
0-3
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/3
TS%
0.0
USG%
16.1
STL
1
BLK
1
TOV
1
PF
1
+/−
-20
PRA
3
2024-09-19
MIN
AWAY
12.2MIN
3POINTS
3 · 2 · 1-2
BELOW
FG
1-2
3PT
1-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/3
TS%
75.0
USG%
12.2
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
1
+/−
+9
PRA
8
2024-06-14
MIN
AWAY
11.8MIN
2POINTS
0 · 2 · 1-3
BELOW
FG
1-3
3PT
0-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
33.3
USG%
14.6
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
1
+/−
-5
PRA
4
2024-06-05
MIN
HOME
15.1MIN
4POINTS
2 · 3 · 1-7
ABOVE
FG
1-7
3PT
0-4
FT
2-2
OREB/DREB
1/1
TS%
25.4
USG%
23.3
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
0
+/−
+6
PRA
9
2022-08-12
MIN
AWAY
15.4MIN
7POINTS
4 · 1 · 3-4
ABOVE
FG
3-4
3PT
1-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/4
TS%
87.5
USG%
14.8
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
2
+/−
-1
PRA
12
2022-08-03
MIN
HOME
4.5MIN
2POINTS
1 · 1 · 0-0
BELOW
FG
0-0
3PT
0-0
FT
2-3
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
75.8
USG%
13.8
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
+1
PRA
4
2022-06-14
MIN
AWAY
12.1MIN
5POINTS
3 · 0 · 1-5
ABOVE
FG
1-5
3PT
1-3
FT
2-2
OREB/DREB
3/0
TS%
42.5
USG%
24.8
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
0
+/−
-8
PRA
8
2022-05-06
MIN
HOME
22.2MIN
11POINTS
2 · 3 · 4-6
ABOVE
FG
4-6
3PT
1-2
FT
2-2
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
79.9
USG%
16.4
STL
1
BLK
2
TOV
1
PF
2
+/−
+14
PRA
16
every game on file — nothing hidden