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Stephanie Talbot alongside A Ja Wilson

Averaged 4.1 points, 2.6 rebounds and 1.2 assists in 43 games starting alongside A Ja Wilson.

—

Tonight

THU · OCT 1

Questionable She is Questionable tonight (Left Leg).

IND @ LVA9:00 PM ETprojected starter · 25 projected minutes
OutDana EvansRight Knee
2026 AT TONIGHT'S 5.5over in 13 of 47 games (28%)
PRICE THAT RATE NEEDSover +262 · best posted -111 · under -262 · best posted +104

Every game she played this season, tonight's excluded — no filter on her minutes.

GAMES SHE PLAYED 22+ MIN · 202611 games · 26.7 min · 7.7 points

Tonight's projection is 25 minutes. These games were picked after the fact — by the minutes she ended up playing, which no projection can promise — so they keep her full nights and drop the ones cut short. Averages only; not a rate to read against a line or a price.

WITHOUT EVANS33 games · 19.1 min · 4.1 pointswith her (14 games): 14.4 min · 3.9 pointswith her →

Season to date, tonight's game excluded. Rates, not projections.

01

Every stat, vs baseline

hover a row for the gap against its noise
STAT
WITH WILSO
OTHER
DIFF
← below baseline · above →
VERDICT
points
4.1
3.9
+0.2
gap is 0.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.3
NOT MEASURABLE
rebounds
2.6
2.9
−0.3
gap is 0.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.8
NOT MEASURABLE
assists
1.2
1.7
−0.5
gap is 1.9× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.5
DIRECTIONAL
threes
0.5
0.6
−0.1
gap is 0.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.3
NOT MEASURABLE
steals
0.7
0.6
+0.1
gap is 0.7× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.3
NOT MEASURABLE
blocks
0.4
0.3
+0.1
gap is 0.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.2
NOT MEASURABLE
turnovers
0.7
1.0
−0.3
gap is 2.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.3
MEASURED
pts+reb+ast
7.8
8.4
−0.6
gap is 0.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.0
NOT MEASURABLE
pts+reb
6.7
6.8
−0.1
gap is 0.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.8
NOT MEASURABLE
pts+ast
5.3
5.5
−0.3
gap is 0.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.5
NOT MEASURABLE
reb+ast
3.7
4.6
−0.8
gap is 1.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.1
DIRECTIONAL
steals+blocks
1.0
0.9
+0.2
gap is 0.9× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.4
NOT MEASURABLE
field goals made
1.6
1.4
+0.2
gap is 0.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.5
NOT MEASURABLE
field goal attempts
3.5
3.4
+0.1
gap is 0.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.8
NOT MEASURABLE
three-point attempts
1.8
1.7
+0.1
gap is 0.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.6
NOT MEASURABLE
free throws made
0.3
0.5
−0.2
gap is 1.0× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.3
DIRECTIONAL
free throw attempts
0.5
0.8
−0.3
gap is 1.2× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.4
DIRECTIONAL
offensive rebounds
0.8
0.6
+0.2
gap is 0.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.4
NOT MEASURABLE
defensive rebounds
1.8
2.3
−0.5
gap is 1.7× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.6
DIRECTIONAL
fouls
1.7
1.3
+0.4
gap is 1.7× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.5
DIRECTIONAL
usage 11.2 vs 13.2true shooting 53.4 vs 44.5minutes 17.5 vs 15.9

Baseline: every other game, 120 games.

02

The 43 games

turnovers · baseline 1.0 · hover a bar
2026-06-15— 5-game mean2026-09-29 · newest
03

Why — minutes or rate

+0.11 minutes−0.45 rate  =  −0.34 total

Production, not playing time: similar minutes, 0.03 fewer turnovers per minute.

Usage 11.2 vs 13.2 (-2.0) · True shooting 53.4% vs 44.5% (+8.9)

04

The matchup

Defensive context is only computed for a vs-team split, where there is one opponent to profile.

05

Game log

all 43 · 2 playoff games, marked · click a row for the box score
DATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
TURNOVERS
REB · AST · FG
VS 1.0
2026-09-29PLAYOFF R1 G2
IND
AWAY
27.1MIN
2TURNOVERS
5 · 1 · 4-6
ABOVE
FG
4-6
3PT
0-2
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
2/3
TS%
65.4
USG%
15.4
STL
1
BLK
2
TOV
2
PF
5
+/−
-7
PRA
15
2026-09-27PLAYOFF R1 G1
IND
HOME
28.4MIN
0TURNOVERS
2 · 3 · 2-8
BELOW
FG
2-8
3PT
1-2
FT
3-4
OREB/DREB
1/1
TS%
41.0
USG%
15.5
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
+5
PRA
13
2026-09-24
PHO
AWAY
30.7MIN
0TURNOVERS
4 · 0 · 6-6
BELOW
FG
6-6
3PT
1-1
FT
1-1
OREB/DREB
1/3
TS%
108.7
USG%
9.2
STL
2
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
+17
PRA
18
2026-09-22
LAS
HOME
24.8MIN
0TURNOVERS
3 · 0 · 6-8
BELOW
FG
6-8
3PT
2-3
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/3
TS%
87.5
USG%
15.0
STL
3
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
+7
PRA
17
2026-09-20
SEA
HOME
16.3MIN
2TURNOVERS
3 · 1 · 1-2
ABOVE
FG
1-2
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/3
TS%
50.0
USG%
11.1
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
2
+/−
0
PRA
6
2026-09-17
SEA
AWAY
15.8MIN
1TURNOVERS
3 · 5 · 3-4
BELOW
FG
3-4
3PT
2-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/2
TS%
100.0
USG%
13.7
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
1
+/−
+18
PRA
16
2026-08-28
TOR
HOME
25.2MIN
2TURNOVERS
4 · 0 · 1-5
ABOVE
FG
1-5
3PT
1-3
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/4
TS%
30.0
USG%
12.2
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
4
+/−
+19
PRA
7
2026-08-23
TOR
AWAY
16.3MIN
1TURNOVERS
1 · 0 · 4-5
BELOW
FG
4-5
3PT
1-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
90.0
USG%
17.6
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
1
+/−
+3
PRA
10
2026-08-20
CON
HOME
25.4MIN
0TURNOVERS
6 · 4 · 2-2
BELOW
FG
2-2
3PT
0-0
FT
1-1
OREB/DREB
2/4
TS%
102.5
USG%
4.0
STL
3
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
+24
PRA
15
2026-08-18
ATL
HOME
12.0MIN
1TURNOVERS
1 · 0 · 0-2
BELOW
FG
0-2
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
11.0
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
1
PF
3
+/−
+2
PRA
1
2026-08-15
MIN
HOME
10.0MIN
0TURNOVERS
1 · 0 · 1-3
BELOW
FG
1-3
3PT
0-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
33.3
USG%
13.4
STL
1
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
-3
PRA
3
2026-08-13
WAS
HOME
16.0MIN
0TURNOVERS
2 · 0 · 2-2
BELOW
FG
2-2
3PT
1-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
125.0
USG%
6.0
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
+15
PRA
7
2026-08-11
WAS
HOME
7.4MIN
0TURNOVERS
0 · 0 · 0-0
BELOW
FG
0-0
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
0.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
-2
PRA
0
2026-08-08
MIN
AWAY
10.4MIN
0TURNOVERS
1 · 0 · 1-2
BELOW
FG
1-2
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
50.0
USG%
8.3
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
+2
PRA
3
2026-08-06
IND
AWAY
10.2MIN
0TURNOVERS
2 · 0 · 2-4
BELOW
FG
2-4
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/1
TS%
50.0
USG%
16.3
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
3
+/−
+4
PRA
6
2026-08-03
ATL
AWAY
7.5MIN
2TURNOVERS
0 · 1 · 1-1
ABOVE
FG
1-1
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
100.0
USG%
18.5
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
2
+/−
+3
PRA
3
2026-08-01
CHI
AWAY
7.3MIN
0TURNOVERS
2 · 0 · 1-2
BELOW
FG
1-2
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
50.0
USG%
11.2
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
-1
PRA
4
2026-07-30
NYL
HOME
11.0MIN
0TURNOVERS
1 · 2 · 2-3
BELOW
FG
2-3
3PT
2-3
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
100.0
USG%
12.8
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
+1
PRA
9
2026-07-28
POR
HOME
15.4MIN
0TURNOVERS
0 · 1 · 1-3
BELOW
FG
1-3
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
33.3
USG%
9.7
STL
2
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
3
+/−
-9
PRA
3
2026-07-22
WAS
AWAY
8.8MIN
0TURNOVERS
0 · 0 · 1-1
BELOW
FG
1-1
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
100.0
USG%
5.5
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
+4
PRA
2
2026-07-20
TOR
AWAY
14.7MIN
0TURNOVERS
1 · 0 · 2-8
BELOW
FG
2-8
3PT
0-6
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
25.0
USG%
24.8
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
0
PRA
5
2026-07-12
IND
HOME
12.9MIN
1TURNOVERS
2 · 1 · 0-1
BELOW
FG
0-1
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/1
TS%
0.0
USG%
7.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
2
+/−
-8
PRA
3
2026-07-11
PHO
HOME
23.9MIN
1TURNOVERS
7 · 2 · 1-4
BELOW
FG
1-4
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
4/3
TS%
25.0
USG%
9.1
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
0
+/−
+21
PRA
11
2026-07-09
POR
AWAY
16.8MIN
1TURNOVERS
2 · 1 · 0-3
BELOW
FG
0-3
3PT
0-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
0.0
USG%
11.5
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
3
+/−
-5
PRA
3
2026-06-28
CHI
AWAY
20.1MIN
1TURNOVERS
1 · 0 · 1-2
BELOW
FG
1-2
3PT
0-1
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
1/0
TS%
52.1
USG%
8.6
STL
2
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
3
+/−
-8
PRA
4
2026-06-25
DAL
HOME
16.3MIN
2TURNOVERS
0 · 0 · 0-1
ABOVE
FG
0-1
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
8.2
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
2
+/−
+1
PRA
0
2026-06-23
NYL
HOME
13.1MIN
0TURNOVERS
3 · 0 · 1-5
BELOW
FG
1-5
3PT
1-4
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/3
TS%
30.0
USG%
18.6
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
-8
PRA
6
2026-06-21
GSV
HOME
21.0MIN
1TURNOVERS
0 · 0 · 2-5
BELOW
FG
2-5
3PT
0-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
40.0
USG%
15.6
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
2
+/−
-12
PRA
4
2026-06-17
PHO
AWAY
19.6MIN
0TURNOVERS
2 · 1 · 1-2
BELOW
FG
1-2
3PT
1-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
75.0
USG%
4.6
STL
2
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
+1
PRA
6
2026-06-15
DAL
AWAY
19.9MIN
1TURNOVERS
4 · 3 · 1-2
BELOW
FG
1-2
3PT
0-1
FT
2-2
OREB/DREB
2/2
TS%
69.4
USG%
9.1
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
1
+/−
-31
PRA
11
2026-06-13
MIN
HOME
19.8MIN
0TURNOVERS
3 · 1 · 0-1
BELOW
FG
0-1
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
3/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
2.3
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
+9
PRA
4
2026-06-11
POR
AWAY
23.7MIN
1TURNOVERS
10 · 3 · 3-6
BELOW
FG
3-6
3PT
2-5
FT
0-2
OREB/DREB
5/5
TS%
58.1
USG%
13.5
STL
1
BLK
1
TOV
1
PF
4
+/−
+17
PRA
21
2026-06-08
SEA
HOME
17.4MIN
2TURNOVERS
3 · 3 · 1-4
ABOVE
FG
1-4
3PT
1-3
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
2/1
TS%
37.5
USG%
14.9
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
2
+/−
+18
PRA
9
2026-06-06
GSV
HOME
19.2MIN
1TURNOVERS
0 · 4 · 2-7
BELOW
FG
2-7
3PT
2-6
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
42.9
USG%
19.9
STL
0
BLK
2
TOV
1
PF
2
+/−
-11
PRA
10
2026-06-02
LAS
AWAY
24.7MIN
0TURNOVERS
6 · 0 · 3-6
BELOW
FG
3-6
3PT
2-4
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/5
TS%
66.7
USG%
11.3
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
4
+/−
+24
PRA
14
2026-05-31
GSV
AWAY
32.2MIN
1TURNOVERS
7 · 4 · 2-7
BELOW
FG
2-7
3PT
2-7
FT
4-5
OREB/DREB
2/5
TS%
54.3
USG%
13.6
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
5
+/−
+8
PRA
21
2026-05-28
DAL
AWAY
7.2MIN
1TURNOVERS
3 · 1 · 1-1
BELOW
FG
1-1
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/2
TS%
100.0
USG%
12.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
0
+/−
-3
PRA
6
2026-05-23
LAS
HOME
16.4MIN
0TURNOVERS
3 · 1 · 1-2
BELOW
FG
1-2
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
2/1
TS%
50.0
USG%
4.9
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
-23
PRA
6
2026-05-17
ATL
AWAY
16.4MIN
0TURNOVERS
5 · 2 · 0-1
BELOW
FG
0-1
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/4
TS%
0.0
USG%
2.6
STL
0
BLK
2
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
+2
PRA
7
2026-05-15
CON
AWAY
21.8MIN
2TURNOVERS
1 · 2 · 0-0
ABOVE
FG
0-0
3PT
0-0
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
56.8
USG%
5.9
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
3
+/−
+9
PRA
4
2026-05-13
CON
AWAY
12.4MIN
0TURNOVERS
2 · 0 · 2-2
BELOW
FG
2-2
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
100.0
USG%
6.7
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
+7
PRA
6
2026-05-10
LAS
AWAY
18.4MIN
1TURNOVERS
2 · 3 · 4-5
BELOW
FG
4-5
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
80.0
USG%
14.4
STL
3
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
0
+/−
+5
PRA
13
2026-05-09
PHO
HOME
19.5MIN
1TURNOVERS
2 · 0 · 1-6
BELOW
FG
1-6
3PT
0-4
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
16.7
USG%
15.7
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
0
+/−
-19
PRA
4
every game on file — nothing hidden