consensus_devig

285–220 over 505 priced bets · +44.3u · ROI +8.8% -0.2% to +17.7% · CLV 0.00¢ 0.0% to 0.0%

Not yet separable from break-even — the ROI interval spans zero, so this record is consistent with a real edge AND with none.

THE PICKS · priced bets only, newest first

Every day, every game, every miss.

Day by day

Latest 2 graded days from the same CORE benchmark shown in the headline, charts and sheet: consensus_devig.

285–220 · 56% · +44.31u across the last 2 days · 34 voided, zero benchmark units

10/23249–199 ·23 void56%+31.83u10 games

permalink to 2026-10-23 →

CHI @ MIL14–19 ·2 void−5.60u

Matas Buzelis Over 1.5 3PM0 vs 1.5no clean explanation
Ryan Rollins Under 9.5 PTS11 vs 9.5no clean explanation
Tre Jones Under 8.5 PTS11 vs 8.5no clean explanation
Tre Jones Under 3.5 AST8 vs 3.5no clean explanation
Tyler Herro Under 19.5 PTS34 vs 19.5no clean explanation
Tyler Herro Under 22.5 PTS34 vs 22.5no clean explanation

DAL @ IND26–28−2.54u

P.J. Washington Under 4.5 REB13 vs 4.5no clean explanation
Cooper Flagg Over 25.5 PTS14 vs 25.5no clean explanation
Cooper Flagg Under 4.5 AST6 vs 4.5no clean explanation
Zaccharie Risacher Under 14.5 PRA18 vs 14.5no clean explanation
Max Christie Under 0.5 STL1 vs 0.5no clean explanation
Aaron Nesmith Over 12.5 PTS9 vs 12.5no clean explanation

LAC @ LAL26–28 ·5 void−2.10u

Brook Lopez Under 17.5 PRA26 vs 17.5no clean explanation
Walker Kessler Under 13.5 PTS22 vs 13.5no clean explanation
Walker Kessler Under 15.5 PTS22 vs 15.5no clean explanation
Darius Garland Over 6.5 AST6 vs 6.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanation
Brook Lopez Under 14.5 PTS22 vs 14.5no clean explanation
Brook Lopez Under 10.5 PTS22 vs 10.5no clean explanation

MEM @ GSW20–21 ·1 void−1.41u

Ty Jerome Over 1.5 STL1 vs 1.5no clean explanation
Cameron Boozer Under 3.5 AST6 vs 3.5no clean explanation
Yaxel Lendeborg Under 2.5 AST6 vs 2.5no clean explanation
G.G. Jackson Over 11.5 PTS2 vs 11.5no clean explanation
Cameron Boozer Under 5.5 AST6 vs 5.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanation
Yaxel Lendeborg Under 7.5 REB13 vs 7.5no clean explanation

POR @ SAC27–24+0.84u

Keegan Murray Over 1.5 AST1 vs 1.5no clean explanation
Donovan Clingan Under 9.5 REB11 vs 9.5no clean explanation
Donovan Clingan Over 9.5 PTS8 vs 9.5no clean explanation
De'Andre Hunter Over 9.5 PTS4 vs 9.5no clean explanation
Deni Avdija Under 24.5 PTS26 vs 24.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanation
Domantas Sabonis Under 34.5 PRA56 vs 34.5no clean explanation

MIN @ ORL25–20+2.29u

Tristan da Silva Over 1.5 3PM1 vs 1.5no clean explanation
Franz Wagner Over 21.5 PTS18 vs 21.5no clean explanation
Desmond Bane Over 21.5 PA5 vs 21.5no clean explanation
Jaden McDaniels Under 13.5 PTS15 vs 13.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanation
LaMelo Ball Over 13.5 RA10 vs 13.5no clean explanation
Tristan da Silva Over 12.5 PA6 vs 12.5no clean explanation

DET @ MIA24–13 ·2 void+7.06u

Andrew Wiggins Under 5.5 REB8 vs 5.5no clean explanation
Jalen Duren Under 5.5 REB6 vs 5.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanation
Andrew Wiggins Under 3.5 REB8 vs 3.5no clean explanation
Andrew Wiggins Over 2.5 AST2 vs 2.5no clean explanation
Giannis Antetokounmpo Under 24.5 PTS36 vs 24.5no clean explanation
Daniss Jenkins Under 12.5 PRA25 vs 12.5no clean explanation

ATL @ CHA21–9 ·9 void+8.24u

C.J. McCollum Over 2.5 REB1 vs 2.5no clean explanation
Onyeka Okongwu Over 7.5 REB4 vs 7.5no clean explanation
Dyson Daniels Under 9.5 PTS11 vs 9.5no clean explanation
C.J. McCollum Over 23.5 PRA16 vs 23.5no clean explanation
Dyson Daniels Under 7.5 REB9 vs 7.5no clean explanation
Naz Reid Under 14.5 PTS17 vs 14.5no clean explanation

NYK @ BOS41–25+11.88u

Paul George Under 3.5 REB7 vs 3.5no clean explanation
Karl-Anthony Towns Over 3.5 AST3 vs 3.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanation
Payton Pritchard Over 16.5 PTS4 vs 16.5no clean explanation
Mikal Bridges Under 3.5 AST4 vs 3.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanation
Josh Hart Under 11.5 RA17 vs 11.5no clean explanation
OG Anunoby Under 14.5 PTS20 vs 14.5no clean explanation

NOP @ UTA25–12 ·4 void+13.17u

Jeremiah Fears Over 14.5 PTS7 vs 14.5no clean explanation
Ace Bailey Over 1.5 3PM1 vs 1.5no clean explanation
Lauri Markkanen Under 5.5 REB6 vs 5.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanation
Dejounte Murray Under 4.5 REB6 vs 4.5no clean explanation
Keyonte George Under 5.5 AST10 vs 5.5no clean explanation
Jaxson Hayes Under 9.5 PTS17 vs 9.5no clean explanation

10/2236–21 ·11 void63%+12.48u2 games

permalink to 2026-10-22 →

CLE @ PHI13–9+4.68u

James Harden Over 25.5 PA21 vs 25.5no clean explanation
Anfernee Simons Over 8.5 PTS2 vs 8.5no clean explanation
Tyrese Maxey Under 34.5 PRA41 vs 34.5no clean explanation
VJ Edgecombe Under 5.5 REB7 vs 5.5no clean explanation
VJ Edgecombe Under 1.5 AST6 vs 1.5no clean explanation
Jaylon Tyson Over 14.5 PRA11 vs 14.5no clean explanation

DEN @ OKC23–12 ·11 void+7.80u

Aaron Gordon Under 4.5 REB6 vs 4.5no clean explanation
Cason Wallace Over 11.5 PR10 vs 11.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanation
Christian Braun Over 2.5 AST1 vs 2.5no clean explanation
Jalen Williams Under 3.5 REB5 vs 3.5no clean explanation
Cameron Johnson Over 2.5 AST1 vs 2.5no clean explanation
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 41.5 PRA22 vs 41.5no clean explanation

Each eligible priced formula signal is normalized to a flat 1-unit outcome at its recorded price. Voids are excluded from the record, hit rate, and units. Open a day for the per-game split and loss review.