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consensus_devig
32–17 over 49 priced bets · +15.1u · ROI +30.9% +3.2% to +58.5% · CLV +4.29¢ +3.2% to +5.4%
Beats break-even — the ROI interval clears zero. Fewer than 100 decided bets, so it is not ranked on the gallery at all.
THE PICKS · priced bets only, newest first
Every day, every game, every miss.
Day by day
these are the consensus_devig picks — the same set listed in the sheet below. The record in the header bar is a different formula, so the two totals will not match.
32–17 · 65% · +15.12u across these days · 3 voided, nothing staked
08/061–0100%+1.04u1 game
LAS @ MIN1–0+1.04u
08/051–0100%+0.99u1 game
LAS @ CHI1–0+0.99u
08/032–0100%+1.95u1 game
SEA @ NYL2–0+1.95u
08/023–0 ·1 void100%+2.51u3 games
08/011–0100%+1.02u1 game
LVA @ CHI1–0+1.02u
07/315–0100%+6.58u2 games
07/300–20%−2.00u1 game
MIN @ TOR0–2−2.00u
- Kayla McBride Over 2.5 REB0 vs 2.5no clean explanation
- Julie Allemand Over 0.5 3PM0 vs 0.5shots didn't fall — the read held upAllemand took only two three-point attempts in 22 minutes despite 6 assists, missing both from beyond the arc to fall short of the 0.5 line. Her 8% usage rate reflected limited offensive opportunities in a game where she functioned primarily as a facilitator rather than a scorer.
07/291–150%−0.12u2 games
GSV @ PHO0–1−1.00u
- Janelle Salaun Under 11.5 PTS13 vs 11.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held up
ATL @ DAL1–0+0.88u
07/283–0 ·1 void100%+3.33u3 games
07/221–233%−1.02u2 games
MIN @ SEA0–1−1.00u
- Natasha Howard Over 7.5 REB5 vs 7.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
PHO @ LAS1–1−0.02u
- Nneka Ogwumike Over 2.5 AST1 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upOgwumike operated in a low-assist role despite 30 minutes played, recording just 1 dime while turning the ball over 4 times; her 21% usage and heavy focus on scoring (13 points on 10 FG attempts) left little opportunity for playmaking.
07/200–10%−1.00u1 game
NYL @ DAL0–1−1.00u
- Azzi Fudd Over 19.5 PRA18 vs 19.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held up
07/191–233%−1.24u2 games
CHI @ ATL0–1−1.00u
- Angel Reese Over 2.5 AST1 vs 2.5no clean explanation
LAS @ DAL1–1−0.24u
- Ariel Atkins Over 2.5 REB2 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
07/181–0100%+0.99u1 game
NYL @ IND1–0+0.99u
07/171–233%−1.18u3 games
ATL @ TOR0–1−1.00u
- Laura Juskaite Over 10.5 PTS8 vs 10.5shots didn't fall — the read held upJuskaite fell short despite solid efficiency (50% TS on 20% usage) because she simply didn't generate enough volume—4-of-8 shooting wasn't enough to clear 10.5 when she needed 11, and the team's game flow limited her scoring opportunities in 28 minutes.
SEA @ IND0–1−1.00u
- Monique Billings Over 5.5 REB5 vs 5.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upBillings fell one rebound short despite solid efficiency and 31 minutes played; limited offensive opportunities at 13% usage kept her from generating the extra board needed to clear the over.
CON @ PHO1–0+0.82u
07/150–10%−1.00u1 game
SEA @ CHI0–1−1.00u
- Natasha Cloud Over 3.5 REB2 vs 3.5no clean explanationCloud's elite scoring efficiency (85% TS, 5-6 FT) kept her on the floor for 30 minutes, but her 16% usage rate and guard-heavy role limited rebounding opportunities—she grabbed just 2 boards despite the healthy minutes, well short of the 3.5 threshold.
07/132–167%+1.37u2 games
LAS @ ATL0–1−1.00u
- Rae Burrell Under 2.5 AST4 vs 2.5no clean explanationBurrell's 4 assists doubled her season average and came despite modest 18% usage, suggesting she was utilized as a facilitator in a rhythm that departed from her typical scoring role. Her efficient 33 minutes and elevated playmaking opportunities—likely driven by game flow or team needs—pushed her over the 2.5 line that had only required a 45.87% win rate.
PHO @ MIN2–0+2.37u
07/121–233%−1.22u1 game
IND @ LVA1–2−1.22u
- Jewell Loyd Over 1.5 3PM0 vs 1.5shots didn't fall — the read held upLoyd went 0-for-3 from three despite 28 minutes of play, a sharp departure from her 2.0 L10 and L5 averages; her 13% usage rate was season-low territory, and she finished a team-worst -30 in a blowout loss that limited her offensive rhythm.
- Jackie Young Over 28.5 PRA19 vs 28.5shots didn't fall — the read held upYoung's low usage rate (16%) and limited field-goal attempts (8 FG) kept her well short of the Over despite efficient shooting, as the Las Vegas offense distributed possessions elsewhere in a blowout loss (-17).
07/112–167%+0.71u2 games
NYL @ MIN1–1−0.07u
- Courtney Williams Under 1.5 3PM2 vs 1.5shots didn't fall — the read held upWilliams hit 2-of-3 from three despite poor overall efficiency (5-17 FG, 35% TS), getting to the line only once and relying on perimeter shooting to generate her 12 points in 36 minutes. The sharp model underestimated her three-point volume on a night when she attempted only 17 total shots but took 3 threes—a 17.6% three-point rate well above her typical usage pattern.
PHO @ LVA1–0+0.78u
07/101–150%−0.26u2 games
DAL @ TOR0–1−1.00u
- Maria Conde Under 9.5 PTS12 vs 9.5shots didn't fall — the read held upConde's 12 points came on efficient shooting (5-9 FG, 2-4 3PT) despite modest usage, and she logged a game-high 35 minutes, giving her more scoring opportunities than the under-9.5 line anticipated.
CHI @ LAS1–0+0.74u
07/093–175%+2.20u2 games
IND @ PHO1–0+0.89u
SEA @ ATL2–1+1.31u
- Flau'jae Johnson Under 2.5 AST5 vs 2.5no clean explanationJohnson doubled the target with 5 assists in 29 minutes, benefiting from increased offensive load (25% usage) and floor time that extended beyond typical role constraints. The under's vulnerability was exposed by her playmaking upside in a game where she operated as a primary ball-handler rather than a complementary scorer.
07/072–0 ·1 void100%+1.47u1 game
CHI @ PHO2–0 ·1 void+1.47u
Flat 1 unit per priced bet, settled at the price we posted. Voids are not bets — excluded from the record, the hit rate and the units. Open a day for the per-game split and why each loss lost.