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pinn_devig_open_fade

32–40 over 72 priced bets · -16.0u · ROI -22.2% -42.6% to -1.8% · CLV -5.79¢ -6.8% to -4.7%

Losing — the ROI interval sits entirely below zero. Fewer than 100 decided bets, so it is not ranked on the gallery at all.

THE PICKS · priced bets only, newest first

Every day, every game, every miss.

Day by day

Latest 17 graded days from the same CORE benchmark shown in the headline, charts and sheet: pinn_devig_open_fade.

32–40 · 44% · −15.98u across the last 17 days · 3 voided, zero benchmark units

10/260–10%−1.00u1 game
ATL @ GSV0–1−1.00u
  • Gabby Williams Over 2.5 3PM0 vs 2.5paid over the fair number
10/211–0100%+0.56u1 game
GSV @ ATL1–0+0.56u
10/191–420%−3.45u1 game
ATL @ GSV1–4−3.45u
  • Cecilia Zandalasini Over 1.5 AST1 vs 1.5paid over the fair numberZandalasini's assist total collapsed due to a combination of limited offensive efficiency (1-8 FG, 28% TS) and minimal floor time (17 minutes), leaving her with just 1 dime despite 32% usage—the poor shooting forced ball movement away from her hands rather than through them.
  • Naz Hillmon Over 6.5 PTS2 vs 6.5paid over the fair number
  • Gabby Williams Over 4.5 REB2 vs 4.5paid over the fair number
  • Cecilia Zandalasini Over 1.5 REB0 vs 1.5paid over the fair number
10/172–250%−0.77u1 game
ATL @ GSV2–2−0.77u
  • Allisha Gray Under 1.5 AST2 vs 1.5paid over the fair numberGray posted exactly 2 assists in 33 minutes with 33% usage, just enough to clear the 1.5 line despite a rough 5-19 shooting night that kept her from taking over the playmaking duties entirely.
  • Rhyne Howard Under 3.5 AST4 vs 3.5 — missed by a hairpaid over the fair numberHoward scraped across the 3.5 threshold with 4 assists despite shooting just 3-14 from the field, as her 38 minutes and high usage rate (23%) kept her heavily involved in playmaking duties even when her scoring touch deserted her.
10/090–30%−3.00u2 games
ATL @ NYL0–2−2.00u
  • Naz Hillmon Under 1.5 AST3 vs 1.5paid over the fair number
  • Pauline Astier Over 5.5 PTS0 vs 5.5game script — blowout or foul troubleAstier saw just 8 minutes of action with minimal involvement (12% usage), going 0-1 from the field with no free-throw attempts, leaving her well short of the 5.5-point line. Limited playing time and negligible offensive opportunities made it impossible for her to reach the over threshold.
GSV @ LVA0–1−1.00u
  • Kiah Stokes Under 2.5 PTS11 vs 2.5paid over the fair numberStokes was perfect from the field (5-5 FG, 1-1 3PT) and logged a season-high 38 minutes, converting every shot attempt into 11 points well above the 2.5 under. Her elite efficiency and extended playing time in a blowout win created far more scoring opportunities than the betting line anticipated.
10/070–3 ·2 void0%−3.00u1 game
LVA @ GSV0–3 ·2 void−3.00u
  • A'ja Wilson Over 10.5 REB7 vs 10.5paid over the fair number
  • Veronica Burton Over 5.5 AST3 vs 5.5paid over the fair number
  • Gabby Williams Over 3.5 AST3 vs 3.5 — missed by a hairpaid over the fair number
10/048–467%+2.32u2 games
LVA @ GSV2–2−0.60u
  • Tiffany Hayes Over 2.5 AST0 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Jackie Young Over 4.5 REB4 vs 4.5 — missed by a hairpaid over the fair number
NYL @ ATL6–2+2.91u
  • Jordin Canada Over 3.5 REB1 vs 3.5paid over the fair number
  • Pauline Astier Over 3.5 AST1 vs 3.5paid over the fair number
10/023–175%+1.65u1 game
DAL @ GSV3–1+1.65u
  • Kayla Thornton Over 5.5 REB0 vs 5.5paid over the fair number
10/015–363%+0.53u1 game
IND @ LVA5–3+0.53u
  • Cheyenne Parker-Tyus Under 2.5 REB6 vs 2.5paid over the fair number
  • Kelsey Mitchell Over 2.5 AST2 vs 2.5paid over the fair number
  • Aliyah Boston Under 15.5 PTS19 vs 15.5paid over the fair number
09/302–722%−5.54u2 games
ATL @ WAS1–5−3.95u
  • Kiki Iriafen Under 9.5 REB16 vs 9.5paid over the fair number
  • Michaela Onyenwere Over 2.5 REB2 vs 2.5paid over the fair number
  • DeWanna Bonner Over 8.5 PTS7 vs 8.5paid over the fair number
  • Allisha Gray Over 3.5 REB1 vs 3.5paid over the fair numberGray's aggressive offensive role (27% usage, 22 points on 35 minutes) didn't translate to rebounding activity—she managed just 1 board despite heavy involvement, suggesting limited exposure on the glass or a team that controlled the rebounding battle regardless of her scoring contributions.
  • DeWanna Bonner Over 5.5 REB2 vs 5.5paid over the fair number
GSV @ DAL1–2−1.59u
  • Janelle Salaun Under 9.5 PTS11 vs 9.5paid over the fair number
  • Janelle Salaun Under 3.5 REB4 vs 3.5 — missed by a hairpaid over the fair number
09/294–736%−4.03u2 games
MIN @ NYL4–6−3.03u
  • Jonquel Jones Over 2.5 AST2 vs 2.5paid over the fair number
  • Natasha Howard Over 6.5 REB5 vs 6.5paid over the fair number
  • Olivia Miles Over 6.5 AST1 vs 6.5paid over the fair number
  • Kayla McBride Under 2.5 AST4 vs 2.5paid over the fair number
  • Leonie Fiebich Over 3.5 REB3 vs 3.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upFiebich fell one rebound short despite playing 29 minutes, held back by a low usage rate (9%) that limited her opportunities to crash the glass and compete for boards.
  • Courtney Williams Under 11.5 PTS18 vs 11.5paid over the fair numberWilliams shot 8-17 (47%) from the field and logged 38 minutes of heavy usage (24%), nearly doubling the 11.5-point threshold despite modest efficiency. She stayed out of foul trouble with only 3 fouls, allowing her to play through the entire game and accumulate scoring opportunities that overwhelmed the under.
LVA @ IND0–1−1.00u
  • Chelsea Gray Over 3.5 REB1 vs 3.5paid over the fair number
09/271–150%−0.32u2 games
NYL @ MIN0–1−1.00u
  • Olivia Miles Over 6.5 AST1 vs 6.5paid over the fair number
IND @ LVA1–0+0.68u
09/230–10%−1.00u1 game
ATL @ NYL0–1−1.00u
  • Jonquel Jones Under 8.5 REB14 vs 8.5paid over the fair number
09/220–0 ·1 void—0.00u1 game
MIN @ IND0–0 ·1 void0.00u
09/211–0100%+0.78u1 game
ATL @ NYL1–0+0.78u
09/191–0100%+0.63u1 game
PHO @ DAL1–0+0.63u
09/183–350%−0.34u2 games
IND @ TOR2–3−1.23u
  • Kelsey Mitchell Under 1.5 REB2 vs 1.5paid over the fair number
  • Makayla Timpson Over 7.5 REB4 vs 7.5paid over the fair numberTimpson played only 14 minutes with limited usage (14%), pulling down just 4 rebounds well short of the 7.5 target. The reduced playing time—likely due to foul trouble (2 PF) or bench management—prevented her from accumulating the volume needed to hit the over.
  • Kiki Rice Under 4.5 AST5 vs 4.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held up
NYL @ MIN1–0+0.89u

Each eligible priced formula signal is normalized to a flat 1-unit outcome at its recorded price. Voids are excluded from the record, hit rate, and units. Open a day for the per-game split and loss review.