WNBA · season-long player prop tape

Market Memory.

Tracked prop shifts are shown with the game, closing line, actual, and outcome when those fields join cleanly. Missing or ambiguous game links stay labeled.

Browse WNBA game archive

How to read it

Game header identifies the team, opponent, and full date.
Prior baseline names the feed's method and the number of earlier games behind it.
Latest close is the market's adjustment.
Outcome vs close compares the recorded actual with the closing line when both are available.
Outcome exception separates early exits from normal performance.

Updated Sep 22, 2026

2026

Coverage window

151

Players

297

Games

137,094

Line observations

Coverage note: Some recorded actuals or outcomes are still joining · Some pre-tip context is unavailable · Early-exit games are excluded from normal-performance training · Some rows do not have verified tip-time coverage

Recent verified shifts · Sep 8–Sep 21 · WNBA · 2026 · Points

What changed lately—and where did the actual land?

Showing up to 20 player series whose latest dated market row falls in the newest 14-day window. This is historical context; today's call still needs the current schedule, role, and line.

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Atlanta Dream
Opponent: New York Liberty · away
Game date: Sep 21, 2026
Player prop: points

#01 · Line drop

wnba · points

DeWanna Bonner

34 market games in this series

Market expectation

10.5prior baseline

6.5latest close

Median consensus close across 33 prior games

Line fell 4

Outcome vs closing line

17 points · OVER by 10.5

Game summary

Against New York Liberty on Sep 21, 2026, DeWanna Bonner recorded 17 points against a 6.5 closing line, finishing 10.5 over. The market had lowered the line 4 from the prior baseline of 10.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 3 over · 2 under

Avg finish: 3.3 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

DeWanna Bonner · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Aug 11	Phoenix Mercury	Los Angeles Sparks	27	11.5	11	UNDER 0.5	Included
Aug 16	Phoenix Mercury	Portland Fire	32.7	11.5	23	OVER 11.5	Included
Aug 22	Phoenix Mercury	Atlanta Dream	30.1	11.5	12	OVER 0.5	Included
Sep 17	Atlanta Dream	Connecticut Sun	11	7.5	2	UNDER 5.5	Included
Sep 21	Atlanta Dream	New York Liberty	29.5	6.5	17	OVER 10.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Phoenix Mercury
Opponent: Dallas Wings · home
Game date: Sep 21, 2026
Player prop: points

#02 · Line rise

wnba · points

Noemie Brochant

20 market games in this series

Market expectation

6.5prior baseline

8.5latest close

Median consensus close across 19 prior games

Line rose 2

Outcome vs closing line

2 points · UNDER by 6.5

Game summary

Against Dallas Wings on Sep 21, 2026, Noemie Brochant recorded 2 points against a 8.5 closing line, finishing 6.5 under. The market had raised the line 2 from the prior baseline of 6.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 1 over · 4 under

Avg finish: 1.5 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Noemie Brochant · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Aug 25	Phoenix Mercury	Washington Mystics	24.6	7.5	7	UNDER 0.5	Included
Aug 27	Phoenix Mercury	Washington Mystics	28.4	7.5	4	UNDER 3.5	Included
Aug 29	Phoenix Mercury	Toronto Tempo	24.6	9.5	15	OVER 5.5	Included
Sep 19	Phoenix Mercury	Dallas Wings	32.5	9.5	7	UNDER 2.5	Included
Sep 21	Phoenix Mercury	Dallas Wings	22.3	8.5	2	UNDER 6.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Phoenix Mercury
Opponent: Dallas Wings · home
Game date: Sep 21, 2026
Player prop: points

#03 · Line drop

wnba · points

Kahleah Copper

37 market games in this series

Market expectation

20.3prior baseline

18.5latest close

Median consensus close across 36 prior games

Line fell 1.8

Outcome vs closing line

31 points · OVER by 12.5

Game summary

Against Dallas Wings on Sep 21, 2026, Kahleah Copper recorded 31 points against a 18.5 closing line, finishing 12.5 over. The market had lowered the line 1.8 from the prior baseline of 20.3.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 3 over · 2 under

Avg finish: 8.1 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Kahleah Copper · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Aug 16	Phoenix Mercury	Portland Fire	36.1	21.5	19	UNDER 2.5	Included
Aug 22	Phoenix Mercury	Atlanta Dream	37.1	20.5	38	OVER 17.5	Included
Aug 25	Phoenix Mercury	Washington Mystics	30.5	20.5	19	UNDER 1.5	Included
Aug 27	Phoenix Mercury	Washington Mystics	32.3	20.5	35	OVER 14.5	Included
Sep 21	Phoenix Mercury	Dallas Wings	33.8	18.5	31	OVER 12.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Dallas Wings
Opponent: Phoenix Mercury · away
Game date: Sep 21, 2026
Player prop: points

#04 · Line rise

wnba · points

Awak Kuier

19 market games in this series

Market expectation

7.5prior baseline

8.5latest close

Median consensus close across 18 prior games

Line rose 1

Outcome vs closing line

8 points · UNDER by 0.5

Game summary

Against Phoenix Mercury on Sep 21, 2026, Awak Kuier recorded 8 points against a 8.5 closing line, finishing 0.5 under. The market had raised the line 1 from the prior baseline of 7.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 2 over · 3 under

Avg finish: 0.7 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Awak Kuier · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Aug 25	Dallas Wings	Portland Fire	33.6	8.5	12	OVER 3.5	Included
Aug 30	Dallas Wings	Connecticut Sun	20.2	9.5	4	UNDER 5.5	Included
Sep 17	Dallas Wings	Los Angeles Sparks	22.3	9.5	7	UNDER 2.5	Included
Sep 19	Dallas Wings	Phoenix Mercury	27.4	9.5	11	OVER 1.5	Included
Sep 21	Dallas Wings	Phoenix Mercury	28.3	8.5	8	UNDER 0.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Atlanta Dream
Opponent: New York Liberty · away
Game date: Sep 21, 2026
Player prop: points

#05 · Line drop

wnba · points

Isobel Borlase

8 market games in this series

Market expectation

5.5prior baseline

4.5latest close

Median consensus close across 7 prior games

Line fell 1

Outcome vs closing line

0 points · UNDER by 4.5

Game summary

Against New York Liberty on Sep 21, 2026, Isobel Borlase recorded 0 points against a 4.5 closing line, finishing 4.5 under. The market had lowered the line 1 from the prior baseline of 5.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 2 over · 3 under

Avg finish: 0.9 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Isobel Borlase · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Aug 20	Atlanta Dream	Los Angeles Sparks	12.8	5.5	8	OVER 2.5	Included
Aug 22	Atlanta Dream	Phoenix Mercury	13	5.5	4	UNDER 1.5	Included
Aug 24	Atlanta Dream	Los Angeles Sparks	16.3	4.5	6	OVER 1.5	Included
Aug 28	Atlanta Dream	Portland Fire	3.6	5.5	3	UNDER 2.5	Included
Sep 21	Atlanta Dream	New York Liberty	8.2	4.5	0	UNDER 4.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Phoenix Mercury
Opponent: Dallas Wings · home
Game date: Sep 21, 2026
Player prop: points

#06 · Line drop

wnba · points

Lexi Held

8 market games in this series

Market expectation

8.5prior baseline

7.5latest close

Median consensus close across 7 prior games

Line fell 1

Outcome vs closing line

0 points · UNDER by 7.5

Game summary

Against Dallas Wings on Sep 21, 2026, Lexi Held recorded 0 points against a 7.5 closing line, finishing 7.5 under. The market had lowered the line 1 from the prior baseline of 8.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 2 over · 3 under

Avg finish: 2.7 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Lexi Held · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Jul 2	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm	31.3	8.5	17	OVER 8.5	Included
Jul 7	Phoenix Mercury	Chicago Sky	27.2	8.5	0	UNDER 8.5	Included
Jul 9	Phoenix Mercury	Indiana Fever	12.3	7.5	0	UNDER 7.5	Included
Aug 29	Phoenix Mercury	Toronto Tempo	20.7	9.5	11	OVER 1.5	Included
Sep 21	Phoenix Mercury	Dallas Wings	18.8	7.5	0	UNDER 7.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Dallas Wings
Opponent: Phoenix Mercury · away
Game date: Sep 21, 2026
Player prop: points

#07 · Line drop

wnba · points

Maddy Siegrist

11 market games in this series

Market expectation

8.5prior baseline

7.5latest close

Median consensus close across 10 prior games

Line fell 1

Outcome vs closing line

9 points · OVER by 1.5

Game summary

Against Phoenix Mercury on Sep 21, 2026, Maddy Siegrist recorded 9 points against a 7.5 closing line, finishing 1.5 over. The market had lowered the line 1 from the prior baseline of 8.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 4 over · 1 under

Avg finish: 0.9 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Maddy Siegrist · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Aug 25	Dallas Wings	Portland Fire	20.2	6.5	9	OVER 2.5	Included
Aug 30	Dallas Wings	Connecticut Sun	16.1	7.5	11	OVER 3.5	Included
Sep 17	Dallas Wings	Los Angeles Sparks	23.3	8.5	12	OVER 3.5	Included
Sep 19	Dallas Wings	Phoenix Mercury	11.3	9.5	3	UNDER 6.5	Included
Sep 21	Dallas Wings	Phoenix Mercury	19.1	7.5	9	OVER 1.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Phoenix Mercury
Opponent: Dallas Wings · home
Game date: Sep 21, 2026
Player prop: points

#08 · Line rise

wnba · points

Natasha Mack

30 market games in this series

Market expectation

8.5prior baseline

9.5latest close

Median consensus close across 29 prior games

Line rose 1

Outcome vs closing line

12 points · OVER by 2.5

Game summary

Against Dallas Wings on Sep 21, 2026, Natasha Mack recorded 12 points against a 9.5 closing line, finishing 2.5 over. The market had raised the line 1 from the prior baseline of 8.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 3 over · 2 under

Avg finish: 1.3 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Natasha Mack · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Aug 27	Phoenix Mercury	Washington Mystics	27.6	8.5	10	OVER 1.5	Included
Aug 29	Phoenix Mercury	Toronto Tempo	19.4	11.5	8	UNDER 3.5	Included
Sep 17	Phoenix Mercury	Portland Fire	26.6	11.5	11	UNDER 0.5	Included
Sep 19	Phoenix Mercury	Dallas Wings	29	9.5	16	OVER 6.5	Included
Sep 21	Phoenix Mercury	Dallas Wings	21.7	9.5	12	OVER 2.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Phoenix Mercury
Opponent: Dallas Wings · home
Game date: Sep 21, 2026
Player prop: points

#09 · Line drop

wnba · points

Sami Whitcomb

8 market games in this series

Market expectation

7.5prior baseline

6.5latest close

Median consensus close across 7 prior games

Line fell 1

Outcome vs closing line

8 points · OVER by 1.5

Game summary

Against Dallas Wings on Sep 21, 2026, Sami Whitcomb recorded 8 points against a 6.5 closing line, finishing 1.5 over. The market had lowered the line 1 from the prior baseline of 7.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 3 over · 2 under

Avg finish: 0.5 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Sami Whitcomb · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Aug 22	Phoenix Mercury	Atlanta Dream	27.5	8.5	6	UNDER 2.5	Included
Aug 29	Phoenix Mercury	Toronto Tempo	15.7	8.5	14	OVER 5.5	Included
Sep 17	Phoenix Mercury	Portland Fire	26.3	9.5	11	OVER 1.5	Included
Sep 19	Phoenix Mercury	Dallas Wings	24.6	7.5	4	UNDER 3.5	Included
Sep 21	Phoenix Mercury	Dallas Wings	15.2	6.5	8	OVER 1.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Dallas Wings
Opponent: Phoenix Mercury · away
Game date: Sep 21, 2026
Player prop: points

#10 · Line drop

wnba · points

Aziaha James

7 market games in this series

Market expectation

8prior baseline

7.5latest close

Median consensus close across 6 prior games

Line fell 0.5

Outcome vs closing line

4 points · UNDER by 3.5

Game summary

Against Phoenix Mercury on Sep 21, 2026, Aziaha James recorded 4 points against a 7.5 closing line, finishing 3.5 under. The market had lowered the line 0.5 from the prior baseline of 8.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 2 over · 3 under

Avg finish: 0.5 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Aziaha James · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Jun 15	Dallas Wings	Las Vegas Aces	12	7.5	10	OVER 2.5	Included
Jun 28	Dallas Wings	Minnesota Lynx	11.5	6.5	2	UNDER 4.5	Included
Aug 9	Dallas Wings	Minnesota Lynx	15	9.5	19	OVER 9.5	Included
Aug 12	Dallas Wings	Toronto Tempo	12	8.5	2	UNDER 6.5	Included
Sep 21	Dallas Wings	Phoenix Mercury	7.7	7.5	4	UNDER 3.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Phoenix Mercury
Opponent: Dallas Wings · home
Game date: Sep 21, 2026
Player prop: points

#11 · Line unchanged

wnba · points

Alyssa Thomas

37 market games in this series

Market expectation

14.5prior baseline

14.5latest close

Median consensus close across 36 prior games

Line was unchanged

Outcome vs closing line

15 points · OVER by 0.5

Game summary

Against Dallas Wings on Sep 21, 2026, Alyssa Thomas recorded 15 points against a 14.5 closing line, finishing 0.5 over. The line was unchanged from the prior baseline of 14.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 3 over · 2 under

Avg finish: 3.5 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Alyssa Thomas · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Aug 27	Phoenix Mercury	Washington Mystics	31.5	14.5	4	UNDER 10.5	Included
Aug 29	Phoenix Mercury	Toronto Tempo	21.9	17.5	4	UNDER 13.5	Included
Sep 17	Phoenix Mercury	Portland Fire	30.6	15.5	18	OVER 2.5	Included
Sep 19	Phoenix Mercury	Dallas Wings	30.4	15.5	19	OVER 3.5	Included
Sep 21	Phoenix Mercury	Dallas Wings	32.1	14.5	15	OVER 0.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: New York Liberty
Opponent: Atlanta Dream · home
Game date: Sep 21, 2026
Player prop: points

#12 · Line unchanged

wnba · points

Rebecca Allen

11 market games in this series

Market expectation

6.5prior baseline

6.5latest close

Median consensus close across 10 prior games

Line was unchanged

Outcome vs closing line

3 points · UNDER by 3.5

Game summary

Against Atlanta Dream on Sep 21, 2026, Rebecca Allen recorded 3 points against a 6.5 closing line, finishing 3.5 under. The line was unchanged from the prior baseline of 6.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 3 over · 2 under

Avg finish: 1.7 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Rebecca Allen · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Aug 13	New York Liberty	Los Angeles Sparks	25.7	7.5	13	OVER 5.5	Included
Aug 15	New York Liberty	Connecticut Sun	29.5	8.5	6	UNDER 2.5	Included
Aug 18	New York Liberty	Chicago Sky	32	7.5	14	OVER 6.5	Included
Aug 22	New York Liberty	Indiana Fever	15.6	6.5	9	OVER 2.5	Included
Sep 21	New York Liberty	Atlanta Dream	10.8	6.5	3	UNDER 3.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Indiana Fever
Opponent: Washington Mystics · home
Game date: Sep 20, 2026
Player prop: points

#13 · Line drop

wnba · points

Sophie Cunningham

38 market games in this series

Market expectation

8.5prior baseline

5latest close

Median consensus close across 37 prior games

Line fell 3.5

Outcome vs closing line

0 points · UNDER by 5

Game summary

Against Washington Mystics on Sep 20, 2026, Sophie Cunningham recorded 0 points against a 5 closing line, finishing 5 under. The market had lowered the line 3.5 from the prior baseline of 8.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 1 over · 4 under

Avg finish: 3 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Sophie Cunningham · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Aug 22	Indiana Fever	New York Liberty	27.9	7.5	10	OVER 2.5	Included
Aug 23	Indiana Fever	Chicago Sky	11.2	7.5	3	UNDER 4.5	Included
Aug 28	Indiana Fever	Connecticut Sun	14.1	7.5	1	UNDER 6.5	Included
Sep 18	Indiana Fever	Toronto Tempo	19.8	6.5	5	UNDER 1.5	Included
Sep 20	Indiana Fever	Washington Mystics	7.2	5	0	UNDER 5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Toronto Tempo
Opponent: New York Liberty · home
Game date: Sep 20, 2026
Player prop: points

#14 · Line drop

wnba · points

Maria Conde

21 market games in this series

Market expectation

10prior baseline

7.5latest close

Median consensus close across 20 prior games

Line fell 2.5

Outcome vs closing line

0 points · UNDER by 7.5

Game summary

Against New York Liberty on Sep 20, 2026, Maria Conde recorded 0 points against a 7.5 closing line, finishing 7.5 under. The market had lowered the line 2.5 from the prior baseline of 10.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 1 over · 4 under

Avg finish: 3.3 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Maria Conde · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Aug 4	Toronto Tempo	Golden State Valkyries	30.1	8.5	17	OVER 8.5	Included
Aug 6	Toronto Tempo	Portland Fire	28.7	10.5	6	UNDER 4.5	Included
Aug 10	Toronto Tempo	Atlanta Dream	27.9	9.5	2	UNDER 7.5	Included
Aug 26	Toronto Tempo	Seattle Storm	19.8	9.5	4	UNDER 5.5	Included
Sep 20	Toronto Tempo	New York Liberty	22.3	7.5	0	UNDER 7.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Los Angeles Sparks
Opponent: Portland Fire · home
Game date: Sep 20, 2026
Player prop: points

#15 · Line drop

wnba · points

Ariel Atkins

37 market games in this series

Market expectation

9.5prior baseline

7.5latest close

Median consensus close across 36 prior games

Line fell 2

Outcome vs closing line

14 points · OVER by 6.5

Game summary

Against Portland Fire on Sep 20, 2026, Ariel Atkins recorded 14 points against a 7.5 closing line, finishing 6.5 over. The market had lowered the line 2 from the prior baseline of 9.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 2 over · 3 under

Avg finish: 0.3 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Ariel Atkins · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Aug 24	Los Angeles Sparks	Atlanta Dream	32.9	7.5	10	OVER 2.5	Included
Aug 28	Los Angeles Sparks	Washington Mystics	27.2	7.5	4	UNDER 3.5	Included
Aug 30	Los Angeles Sparks	Seattle Storm	16.9	7.5	4	UNDER 3.5	Included
Sep 17	Los Angeles Sparks	Dallas Wings	22.8	7.5	4	UNDER 3.5	Included
Sep 20	Los Angeles Sparks	Portland Fire	20.5	7.5	14	OVER 6.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Washington Mystics
Opponent: Indiana Fever · away
Game date: Sep 20, 2026
Player prop: points

#16 · Line drop

wnba · points

Cotie McMahon

14 market games in this series

Market expectation

7.5prior baseline

5.5latest close

Median consensus close across 13 prior games

Line fell 2

Outcome vs closing line

3 points · UNDER by 2.5

Game summary

Against Indiana Fever on Sep 20, 2026, Cotie McMahon recorded 3 points against a 5.5 closing line, finishing 2.5 under. The market had lowered the line 2 from the prior baseline of 7.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 0 over · 5 under

Avg finish: 2.9 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Cotie McMahon · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Aug 13	Washington Mystics	Las Vegas Aces	15.5	6.5	5	UNDER 1.5	Included
Aug 15	Washington Mystics	Los Angeles Sparks	22.4	7.5	7	UNDER 0.5	Included
Aug 19	Washington Mystics	Toronto Tempo	18.1	8.5	2	UNDER 6.5	Included
Aug 25	Washington Mystics	Phoenix Mercury	11.8	6.5	3	UNDER 3.5	Included
Sep 20	Washington Mystics	Indiana Fever	8.9	5.5	3	UNDER 2.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Portland Fire
Opponent: Los Angeles Sparks · away
Game date: Sep 20, 2026
Player prop: points

#17 · Line rise

wnba · points

Emily Engstler

35 market games in this series

Market expectation

9.5prior baseline

11.5latest close

Median consensus close across 34 prior games

Line rose 2

Outcome vs closing line

10 points · UNDER by 1.5

Game summary

Against Los Angeles Sparks on Sep 20, 2026, Emily Engstler recorded 10 points against a 11.5 closing line, finishing 1.5 under. The market had raised the line 2 from the prior baseline of 9.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 3 over · 2 under

Avg finish: 2.5 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Emily Engstler · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Aug 28	Portland Fire	Atlanta Dream	30.1	9.5	25	OVER 15.5	Included
Aug 30	Portland Fire	Golden State Valkyries	23.4	11.5	12	OVER 0.5	Included
Sep 17	Portland Fire	Phoenix Mercury	29.4	14.5	21	OVER 6.5	Included
Sep 18	Portland Fire	Golden State Valkyries	20	11.5	3	UNDER 8.5	Included
Sep 20	Portland Fire	Los Angeles Sparks	21.7	11.5	10	UNDER 1.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Las Vegas Aces
Opponent: Seattle Storm · home
Game date: Sep 20, 2026
Player prop: points

#18 · Line drop

wnba · points

Mai Yamamoto

2 market games in this series

Small sample · only 2 market games

Market expectation

7.5prior baseline

5.5latest close

Median consensus close across 1 prior game

Line fell 2

Outcome vs closing line

8 points · OVER by 2.5

Game summary

Against Seattle Storm on Sep 20, 2026, Mai Yamamoto recorded 8 points against a 5.5 closing line, finishing 2.5 over. The market had lowered the line 2 from the prior baseline of 7.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Only 2 representative games — too little for a trend.

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 2 settled games

Mai Yamamoto · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Sep 17	Las Vegas Aces	Seattle Storm	15	7.5	0	UNDER 7.5	Included
Sep 20	Las Vegas Aces	Seattle Storm	20.5	5.5	8	OVER 2.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Connecticut Sun
Opponent: Minnesota Lynx · home
Game date: Sep 20, 2026
Player prop: points

#19 · Line drop

wnba · points

Saniya Rivers

19 market games in this series

Early exit · excluded from normal form

Market expectation

9.5prior baseline

8latest close

Median consensus close across 18 prior games

Line fell 1.5

Outcome vs closing line

0 points · UNDER by 8Early exit · 5 minutes · not normal underperformance

Game summary

Against Minnesota Lynx on Sep 20, 2026, Saniya Rivers recorded 0 points in only 5 minutes. The recorded actual finished UNDER the close by 8, but this is flagged as a non-representative early exit and excluded from normal-performance form. The connected feeds do not yet verify why Saniya Rivers left early. The market had lowered the line 1.5 from the prior baseline of 9.5.

What happened in the game · outcome exception

Abnormal early exit

Started · 5 minutes vs 29.4-minute prior 5-game median

Recorded UNDER stays in the market record · excluded from normal-performance form and training

Possible in-game injury or another unexpected removal; the connected feeds do not yet confirm the cause.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 1 over · 4 under

Avg finish: 1.3 below line1 shortened game excluded while selecting these five representative results

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Recorded outcome retained · early-exit sample excluded from normal-exposure form.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 6 settled games

Saniya Rivers · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Aug 25	Connecticut Sun	Chicago Sky	29.4	10.5	7	UNDER 3.5	Included
Aug 26	Connecticut Sun	Golden State Valkyries	21	9.5	7	UNDER 2.5	Included
Aug 28	Connecticut Sun	Indiana Fever	31.4	9.5	9	UNDER 0.5	Included
Aug 30	Connecticut Sun	Dallas Wings	26.2	8.5	8	UNDER 0.5	Included
Sep 17	Connecticut Sun	Atlanta Dream	33.6	8.5	9	OVER 0.5	Included
Sep 20	Connecticut Sun	Minnesota Lynx	5	8	0	UNDER 8	Excluded · early exit

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Seattle Storm
Opponent: Las Vegas Aces · away
Game date: Sep 20, 2026
Player prop: points

#20 · Line drop

wnba · points

Awa Fam

31 market games in this series

Market expectation

10.5prior baseline

9.5latest close

Median consensus close across 30 prior games

Line fell 1

Outcome vs closing line

6 points · UNDER by 3.5

Game summary

Against Las Vegas Aces on Sep 20, 2026, Awa Fam recorded 6 points against a 9.5 closing line, finishing 3.5 under. The market had lowered the line 1 from the prior baseline of 10.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 1 over · 4 under

Avg finish: 4.1 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Awa Fam · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Aug 23	Seattle Storm	Dallas Wings	25.4	10.5	0	UNDER 10.5	Included
Aug 26	Seattle Storm	Toronto Tempo	16.8	9.5	10	OVER 0.5	Included
Sep 17	Seattle Storm	Las Vegas Aces	25.9	10.5	5	UNDER 5.5	Included
Sep 19	Seattle Storm	Golden State Valkyries	29.2	9.5	8	UNDER 1.5	Included
Sep 20	Seattle Storm	Las Vegas Aces	23.2	9.5	6	UNDER 3.5	Included

Public tape · evidence before explanation

Built to show its work.

Each sportsbook gets one vote in the consensus. Live and post-tip rows are excluded. Pushes and verified DNP voids stay distinct; unresolved games are left ungraded. Recorded outcomes versus the closing line stay on the market record, while detected early exits are labeled and excluded from normal-exposure form and training. Legacy openers and identity gaps are labeled instead of silently blended in.

Read the grading method