NBA · Nov 15 gameAll props Full sheet

Sacramento Kings at Los Angeles Lakers

FinalSAC 125 – LAL 110Page updated 18:43 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes4 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Sacramento Kings

Domantas Sabonis · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 7 actual

Keegan Murray · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 9 actual

Malik Monk · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 3 actual

Los Angeles Lakers

Austin Reaves · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 8 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

LAL expected to win by about 1.5 · both teams together expected to score about 237 points · odds to win: SAC 2.00, LAL 1.91

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Thu 02:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 18:43 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

LAL also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 326 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

4 other players with a posted line

Malik Monk · points 13.5 → 3 · 10.5 below the line · played 20.5 min · no final price

Austin Reaves · assists 4.5 → 8 · 3.5 above the line · played 33.7 min · no final price

Keegan Murray · points 14.5 → 9 · 5.5 below the line · played 30.8 min · no final price

Domantas Sabonis · assists 6.5 → 7 · 0.5 above the line · played 38.8 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

LAL vs SAC · last 24 games · LAL leads · LAL record 12–12 · average score 118.7–116.8 · LAL has won by 1.8 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

5 Oct · LAL 127 at SAC 103LAL won

1 Mar · SAC 104 at LAL 128LAL won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had LAL expected to win by 1.5, expected total 237 (Thu 02:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Thu 02:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 31

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 53 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 84 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 89 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 210 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 212 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 215 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 217 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 9 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 10 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 230 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 230 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 246 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 124 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 147 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 151 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 160 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 213 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 645 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 660 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 698 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 708 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 507 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 511 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 519 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 1075 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 1129 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1129 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 920 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 922 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 923 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 924 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.