NBA · Jan 27 gameAll props Full sheet

Sacramento Kings at Dallas Mavericks

FinalSAC 120 – DAL 115Page updated 23:10 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes4 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Sacramento Kings

Domantas Sabonis · minutes unknown

points 21.5 → 17 actual

Keegan Murray · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 15 actual

Malik Monk · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 0 actual

Dallas Mavericks

Dereck Lively II · minutes unknown

blocks 1.5 → 0 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

SAC expected to win by about 4 · both teams together expected to score about 245.5 points · odds to win: SAC 1.58, DAL 2.53

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 02:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 23:10 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

DAL also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 283 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 2 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

4 other players with a posted line

Malik Monk · 3-pointers 2.5 → 0 · 2.5 below the line · played 19.5 min · no final price

Dereck Lively II · blocks 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 31.1 min · no final price

Domantas Sabonis · points 21.5 → 17 · 4.5 below the line · played 36.3 min · no final price

Keegan Murray · points 16.5 → 15 · 1.5 below the line · played 39.6 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DAL vs SAC · last 23 games · SAC leads · DAL record 10–13 · average score 112.1–113.3 · DAL has lost by 1.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

26 Feb · SAC 130 at DAL 121DAL lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had SAC expected to win by 4, expected total 245.5 (Sun 02:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 02:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 31

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 18 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 24 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 29 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 64 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 101 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 141 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 144 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 148 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 146 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 148 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 149 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 153 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 157 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 142 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 165 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 15 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 19 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 133 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 136 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 140 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 150 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 152 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 155 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 162 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 286 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 479 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 514 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 495 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 496 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 498 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 593 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.