DAL · 2025 season
Dereck Lively II
7 games played · averaging 4.3 points. Each row is judged against that average, not against a betting line.
OVER 4.5 · POINTS · 2023–2025
HIT RATE72.3%86 of 119 games
INTERVAL63.6%–79.5%95% confidence
BREAK-EVEN-261at that rate
AT THE FLOOR-175if the rate is 63.6%
Dereck has cleared 4.5 points in 72.3% of 119 games since 2023, and in 30.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs -261 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.
DATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS AVG
›2025-11-21
NO
HOME
17.9MIN
4POINTS
4 · 2 · 1-1
BELOW
- FG
- 1-1
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 3/1
- TS%
- 106.4
- USG%
- 6.6
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +8
- PRA
- 10
›2025-11-19
NY
HOME
17.7MIN
4POINTS
10 · 1 · 1-3
BELOW
- FG
- 1-3
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 5/5
- TS%
- 51.5
- USG%
- 11.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 3
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +10
- PRA
- 15
›2025-11-16
POR
HOME
11.9MIN
2POINTS
3 · 1 · 1-2
BELOW
- FG
- 1-2
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 50.0
- USG%
- 14.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 6
- +/−
- -7
- PRA
- 6
›2025-11-14
LAC
HOME
17.3MIN
4POINTS
5 · 0 · 1-3
BELOW
- FG
- 1-3
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/4
- TS%
- 51.5
- USG%
- 11.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -12
- PRA
- 9
›2025-10-26
TOR
HOME
21.0MIN
4POINTS
7 · 4 · 2-2
BELOW
- FG
- 2-2
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/6
- TS%
- 69.4
- USG%
- 9.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 3
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +17
- PRA
- 15
›2025-10-24
WAS
HOME
19.3MIN
8POINTS
6 · 2 · 4-5
ABOVE
- FG
- 4-5
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/4
- TS%
- 80.0
- USG%
- 14.4
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +3
- PRA
- 16
›2025-10-22
SA
HOME
10.3MIN
4POINTS
2 · 3 · 1-2
BELOW
- FG
- 1-2
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 69.4
- USG%
- 16.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- -5
- PRA
- 9