NBA · Feb 23 gameAll props Full sheet

Miami Heat at New Orleans Pelicans

FinalMIA 106 – NOP 95Page updated 08:46 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes5 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Miami Heat

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 1 actual

Nikola Jović · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 3 actual

New Orleans Pelicans

Herbert Jones · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 5 actual

Trey Murphy III · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 6 actual

Zion Williamson · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 7 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

NOP expected to win by about 2 · both teams together expected to score about 219.5 points · odds to win: MIA 2.20, NOP 1.75

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 01:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 08:46 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

MIA had 9 days off before this game · NOP also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 378 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 2 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

5 other players with a posted line

Bam Adebayo · assists 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 36.4 min · no final price

Trey Murphy III · rebounds 3.5 → 6 · 2.5 above the line · played 31.6 min · no final price

Zion Williamson · assists 5.5 → 7 · 1.5 above the line · played 35.6 min · no final price

Nikola Jović · rebounds 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 20.7 min · no final price

Herbert Jones · rebounds 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 37.6 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

NOP vs MIA · last 13 games · MIA leads · NOP record 1–12 · average score 100.7–114.3 · NOP has lost by 13.6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

11 Feb · MIA 123 at NOP 111NOP lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had NOP expected to win by 2, expected total 219.5 (Sat 01:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Sat 01:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 34

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 111 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 262 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 446 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 452 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 455 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 458 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 22 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 470 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 476 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 478 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 479 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 484 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 484 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 486 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 506 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 396 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 127 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 152 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 165 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 172 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 175 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 184 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 195 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 205 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 207 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 214 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 222 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 849 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 883 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 492 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 502 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 503 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 512 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 791 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.