MIA · 2026 season

Nikola Jović

47 games played · averaging 7.3 points. Each row is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 7.5 · POINTS · 2022–2026

HIT RATE47.9%81 of 169 games

INTERVAL40.5%–55.4%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN+108at that rate

AT THE FLOOR+147if the rate is 40.5%

Nikola has cleared 7.5 points in 47.9% of 169 games since 2022, and in 20.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs +108 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-04-04

WAS

HOME

12.9MIN

5POINTS

0 · 2 · 2-6

BELOW

FG: 2-6
3PT: 1-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 41.7
USG%: 18.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -19
PRA: 7

2026-03-21

HOU

AWAY

3.7MIN

0POINTS

1 · 0 · 0-3

BELOW

FG: 0-3
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 36.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -1
PRA: 1

2026-02-20

ATL

AWAY

2.7MIN

1POINTS

0 · 1 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 56.8
USG%: 13.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +4
PRA: 2

2026-02-11

AWAY

17.7MIN

8POINTS

1 · 0 · 3-4

ABOVE

FG: 3-4
3PT: 1-2
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 82.0
USG%: 12.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -10
PRA: 9

2026-02-09

UTAH

HOME

17.0MIN

0POINTS

4 · 0 · 0-4

BELOW

FG: 0-4
3PT: 0-4
FT: 0-2
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 12.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +5
PRA: 4

2026-02-08

WAS

AWAY

5.6MIN

4POINTS

1 · 2 · 2-3

BELOW

FG: 2-3
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/0
TS%: 66.7
USG%: 20.3
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: 0
PRA: 7

2026-02-06

BOS

AWAY

6.4MIN

0POINTS

0 · 1 · 0-5

BELOW

FG: 0-5
3PT: 0-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 36.1
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -14
PRA: 1

2026-02-03

ATL

HOME

7.6MIN

5POINTS

2 · 0 · 1-3

BELOW

FG: 1-3
3PT: 1-3
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 64.4
USG%: 20.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -2
PRA: 7

2026-01-31

CHI

HOME

15.0MIN

2POINTS

2 · 1 · 1-6

BELOW

FG: 1-6
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 16.7
USG%: 20.1
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -4
PRA: 5

2026-01-29

CHI

AWAY

17.3MIN

8POINTS

4 · 1 · 4-9

ABOVE

FG: 4-9
3PT: 0-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 44.4
USG%: 21.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +12
PRA: 13

2026-01-28

ORL

HOME

18.5MIN

2POINTS

2 · 0 · 1-4

BELOW

FG: 1-4
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 25.0
USG%: 13.4
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: -4
PRA: 4

2026-01-25

PHX

AWAY

17.6MIN

12POINTS

6 · 1 · 4-10

ABOVE

FG: 4-10
3PT: 2-5
FT: 2-4
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 51.0
USG%: 27.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +17
PRA: 19

2026-01-24

UTAH

AWAY

25.0MIN

23POINTS

3 · 1 · 6-12

ABOVE

FG: 6-12
3PT: 3-6
FT: 8-11
OREB/DREB: 2/1
TS%: 68.3
USG%: 27.3
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 0
+/−: +9
PRA: 27

2026-01-22

POR

AWAY

17.0MIN

5POINTS

5 · 3 · 2-8

BELOW

FG: 2-8
3PT: 1-7
FT: 0-2
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 28.2
USG%: 23.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -7
PRA: 13

2026-01-20

SAC

AWAY

19.3MIN

8POINTS

5 · 2 · 3-11

ABOVE

FG: 3-11
3PT: 2-5
FT: 0-2
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 33.7
USG%: 27.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +1
PRA: 15

2026-01-19

AWAY

3.9MIN

2POINTS

0 · 2 · 1-1

BELOW

FG: 1-1
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 100.0
USG%: 9.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +1
PRA: 4

2026-01-17

OKC

HOME

15.1MIN

3POINTS

1 · 2 · 1-7

BELOW

FG: 1-7
3PT: 0-4
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 19.0
USG%: 19.7
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -7
PRA: 6

2026-01-15

BOS

HOME

15.2MIN

3POINTS

5 · 0 · 1-6

BELOW

FG: 1-6
3PT: 0-4
FT: 1-4
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 19.3
USG%: 28.3
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -19
PRA: 8

2026-01-13

PHX

HOME

6.1MIN

1POINTS

3 · 0 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 56.8
USG%: 19.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: -2
PRA: 4

2026-01-11

OKC

AWAY

25.3MIN

13POINTS

4 · 2 · 5-7

ABOVE

FG: 5-7
3PT: 3-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 92.9
USG%: 13.7
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: -12
PRA: 19

2026-01-10

IND

AWAY

16.8MIN

4POINTS

1 · 0 · 1-6

BELOW

FG: 1-6
3PT: 0-2
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 29.1
USG%: 18.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -12
PRA: 5

2026-01-06

MIN

AWAY

26.2MIN

9POINTS

4 · 3 · 2-8

ABOVE

FG: 2-8
3PT: 1-4
FT: 4-6
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 42.3
USG%: 20.5
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 3
+/−: -26
PRA: 16

2026-01-04

HOME

25.8MIN

19POINTS

6 · 3 · 7-16

ABOVE

FG: 7-16
3PT: 2-8
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 2/4
TS%: 53.5
USG%: 29.7
STL: 3
BLK: 2
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: +17
PRA: 28

2026-01-03

MIN

HOME

27.9MIN

14POINTS

3 · 4 · 4-8

ABOVE

FG: 4-8
3PT: 1-4
FT: 5-5
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 68.6
USG%: 19.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: -19
PRA: 21

2026-01-01

DET

AWAY

23.9MIN

5POINTS

5 · 5 · 1-10

BELOW

FG: 1-10
3PT: 1-7
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 23.0
USG%: 20.6
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: -5
PRA: 15

2025-12-29

DEN

HOME

25.9MIN

22POINTS

4 · 5 · 7-12

ABOVE

FG: 7-12
3PT: 5-8
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 82.6
USG%: 20.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: +24
PRA: 31

2025-12-27

IND

HOME

24.6MIN

19POINTS

7 · 7 · 7-14

ABOVE

FG: 7-14
3PT: 3-8
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/7
TS%: 63.8
USG%: 26.1
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: +35
PRA: 33

2025-12-26

ATL

AWAY

21.2MIN

10POINTS

7 · 4 · 3-14

ABOVE

FG: 3-14
3PT: 1-6
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 0/7
TS%: 32.6
USG%: 32.2
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +12
PRA: 21

2025-12-15

TOR

HOME

0.2MIN

0POINTS

0 · 0 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 0.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +2
PRA: 0

2025-12-06

SAC

HOME

30.8MIN

12POINTS

2 · 6 · 4-10

ABOVE

FG: 4-10
3PT: 2-7
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 53.0
USG%: 22.7
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 5
PF: 2
+/−: 0
PRA: 20

2025-12-03

DAL

AWAY

6.1MIN

0POINTS

2 · 0 · 0-2

BELOW

FG: 0-2
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 13.2
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -8
PRA: 2

2025-12-01

LAC

HOME

0.9MIN

0POINTS

0 · 0 · 0-1

BELOW

FG: 0-1
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 45.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -2
PRA: 0

2025-11-29

DET

HOME

10.2MIN

2POINTS

2 · 1 · 1-3

BELOW

FG: 1-3
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-1
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 29.1
USG%: 32.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 5
PF: 1
+/−: -15
PRA: 5

2025-11-17

HOME

15.0MIN

5POINTS

1 · 2 · 2-7

BELOW

FG: 2-7
3PT: 1-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 35.7
USG%: 18.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: -3
PRA: 8

2025-11-14

AWAY

13.4MIN

3POINTS

4 · 4 · 1-4

BELOW

FG: 1-4
3PT: 0-2
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 30.7
USG%: 17.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 5
+/−: +1
PRA: 11

2025-11-12

CLE

HOME

22.1MIN

2POINTS

4 · 3 · 1-6

BELOW

FG: 1-6
3PT: 0-3
FT: 0-1
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 15.5
USG%: 18.8
STL: 2
BLK: 2
TOV: 4
PF: 1
+/−: -16
PRA: 9

2025-11-10

CLE

HOME

26.3MIN

8POINTS

8 · 4 · 3-10

ABOVE

FG: 3-10
3PT: 1-5
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 1/7
TS%: 36.8
USG%: 18.4
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 5
+/−: +8
PRA: 20

2025-11-08

POR

HOME

31.4MIN

29POINTS

9 · 6 · 10-16

ABOVE

FG: 10-16
3PT: 3-7
FT: 6-8
OREB/DREB: 4/5
TS%: 74.3
USG%: 31.0
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 6
PF: 5
+/−: +20
PRA: 44

2025-11-07

CHA

HOME

19.5MIN

10POINTS

4 · 3 · 4-6

ABOVE

FG: 4-6
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 72.7
USG%: 17.1
STL: 3
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +15
PRA: 17

2025-11-05

DEN

AWAY

19.6MIN

5POINTS

3 · 3 · 1-6

BELOW

FG: 1-6
3PT: 1-4
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 36.3
USG%: 21.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: -8
PRA: 11

2025-11-03

LAC

AWAY

17.6MIN

7POINTS

4 · 4 · 2-5

BELOW

FG: 2-5
3PT: 0-1
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 51.8
USG%: 19.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -18
PRA: 15

2025-11-02

LAL

AWAY

27.7MIN

9POINTS

3 · 2 · 3-8

ABOVE

FG: 3-8
3PT: 1-5
FT: 2-4
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 46.1
USG%: 16.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: 0
PRA: 14

2025-10-30

AWAY

9.5MIN

0POINTS

1 · 1 · 0-5

BELOW

FG: 0-5
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 27.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -13
PRA: 2

2025-10-28

CHA

HOME

22.0MIN

10POINTS

6 · 2 · 4-7

ABOVE

FG: 4-7
3PT: 2-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 71.4
USG%: 13.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +9
PRA: 18

2025-10-26

HOME

24.7MIN

6POINTS

5 · 5 · 2-7

BELOW

FG: 2-7
3PT: 1-6
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 40.3
USG%: 16.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +10
PRA: 16

2025-10-24

MEM

AWAY

26.9MIN

20POINTS

6 · 4 · 6-9

ABOVE

FG: 6-9
3PT: 3-6
FT: 5-5
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 89.3
USG%: 16.7
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +33
PRA: 30

2025-10-22

ORL

AWAY

23.1MIN

9POINTS

3 · 0 · 2-6

ABOVE

FG: 2-6
3PT: 2-3
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 58.0
USG%: 18.6
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: +8
PRA: 12

every game on file — nothing hidden