NBA · Mar 10 gameAll props Full sheet

Washington Wizards at Miami Heat

FinalWAS 110 – MIA 108Page updated 20:22 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes3 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Washington Wizards

Bilal Coulibaly · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 4 actual

Miami Heat

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

points 21.5 → 16 actual

Nikola Jović · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 10 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

MIA expected to win by about 11.5 · both teams together expected to score about 228.5 points · odds to win: WAS 5.83, MIA 1.16

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 22:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 20:22 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 223 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 1 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

3 other players with a posted line

Nikola Jović · points 7.5 → 10 · 2.5 above the line · played 22.9 min · no final price

Bam Adebayo · points 21.5 → 16 · 5.5 below the line · played 35 min · no final price

Bilal Coulibaly · rebounds 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 36.3 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIA vs WAS · last 25 games · MIA leads · MIA record 18–7 · average score 118.2–109.1 · MIA has won by 9.1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

10 Apr · MIA 140 at WAS 117MIA won

4 Apr · WAS 136 at MIA 152MIA won

10 Mar · WAS 129 at MIA 150MIA won

8 Feb · MIA 132 at WAS 101MIA won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had MIA expected to win by 11.5, expected total 228.5 (Sun 22:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 22:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 28

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 55 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 59 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 82 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 148 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 176 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 188 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 268 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 271 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 274 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 8 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 284 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 293 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 302 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 306 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 314 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 316 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 112 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 116 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 121 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 129 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 165 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 169 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 668 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 707 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 481 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 487 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 493 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.