NBA · Apr 12 gameAll props Full sheet

Houston Rockets at Portland Trail Blazers

FinalHOU 116 – POR 107Page updated 19:09 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes3 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Houston Rockets

Amen Thompson · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 17 actual

Jabari Smith Jr. · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 8 actual

Portland Trail Blazers

Scoot Henderson · minutes unknown

assists 8.5 → 7 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

HOU expected to win by about 6 · both teams together expected to score about 218 points · odds to win: HOU 1.45, POR 2.97

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 01:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 19:09 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 331 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 1 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

3 other players with a posted line

Jabari Smith Jr. · points 12.5 → 8 · 4.5 below the line · played 32.1 min · no final price

Scoot Henderson · assists 8.5 → 7 · 1.5 below the line · played 33.6 min · no final price

Amen Thompson · points 14.5 → 17 · 2.5 above the line · played 35.3 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

POR vs HOU · last 24 games · POR leads · POR record 13–11 · average score 111.1–113.9 · POR has lost by 2.8 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

6 Mar · POR 99 at HOU 106POR lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had HOU expected to win by 6, expected total 218 (Sat 01:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Sat 01:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 28

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 26 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 35 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 115 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 135 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 172 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 175 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 175 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 176 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 178 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 178 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 46 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 47 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 221 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 225 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 230 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 260 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 298 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 102 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 104 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 107 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 111 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 127 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 139 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 530 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 648 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 509 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 510 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 521 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.