NBA · Apr 12 gameAll props Full sheet

Milwaukee Bucks at Oklahoma City Thunder

FinalMIL 107 – OKC 125Page updated 19:09 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes5 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Milwaukee Bucks

Oklahoma City Thunder

Cason Wallace · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 2 actual

Chet Holmgren · minutes unknown

rebounds 8.5 → 9 actual

Jalen Williams · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 5 actual

Kenrich Williams · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 3 actual

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

OKC expected to win by about 14 · both teams together expected to score about 224.5 points · odds to win: MIL 7.33, OKC 1.12

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 00:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 19:09 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 250 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 0 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

5 other players with a posted line

Cason Wallace · 3-pointers 0.5 → 2 · 1.5 above the line · played 19.2 min · no final price

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 28.7 min · no final price

Kenrich Williams · rebounds 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 14.3 min · no final price

Jalen Williams · assists 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 26.8 min · no final price

Chet Holmgren · rebounds 8.5 → 9 · 0.5 above the line · played 25 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

OKC vs MIL · last 14 games · MIL leads · OKC record 5–9 · average score 102.9–104.9 · OKC has lost by 2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had OKC expected to win by 14, expected total 224.5 (Sat 00:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Sat 00:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 34

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 105 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 163 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 280 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 395 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 398 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 403 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 9 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 425 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 423 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 427 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 427 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 36 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 446 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 446 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 450 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 464 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 359 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 62 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 129 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 161 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 165 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 172 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 183 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 193 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 196 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 206 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1114 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 775 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 775 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 782 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 783 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 792 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 1240 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.