OKC · C-F · 2026 season
Chet Holmgren
3 games played · averaging 12.0 points. In the game log below, each game is judged against that average, not against a betting line.
OVER 12.5 · POINTS · 2023–2026
HIT RATE72.6%170 of 234 games
INTERVAL66.6%–78.0%95% confidence
BREAK-EVEN-266at that rate
AT THE FLOOR-200if the rate is 66.6%
Chet has cleared 12.5 points in 72.6% of 234 games since 2023, and in 40.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs -266 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.
DATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS AVG
›2026-10-25
LAC
HOME
31.5MIN
10POINTS
4 · 0 · 3-10
BELOW
- FG
- 3-10
- 3PT
- 2-4
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 46.0
- USG%
- 15.4
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -6
- PRA
- 14
›2026-10-22
DEN
HOME
27.9MIN
12POINTS
17 · 2 · 5-9
BELOW
- FG
- 5-9
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 9/8
- TS%
- 60.7
- USG%
- 19.6
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 4
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +12
- PRA
- 31
›2026-10-20
SA
AWAY
30.5MIN
14POINTS
7 · 2 · 3-8
ABOVE
- FG
- 3-8
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 8-8
- OREB/DREB
- 4/3
- TS%
- 60.8
- USG%
- 17.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 4
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -1
- PRA
- 23