NBA · Apr 14 gameAll props Full sheet

Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder

FinalDAL 86 – OKC 135Page updated 19:09 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Dallas Mavericks

Dwight Powell · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 2 actual

Oklahoma City Thunder

Cason Wallace · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 2 actual

Chet Holmgren · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Jalen Williams · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 0 actual

Jaylin Williams · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 7 actual

Kenrich Williams · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 7 actual

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 6 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

OKC expected to win by about 19.5 · both teams together expected to score about 226 points · odds to win: DAL 13.02, OKC 1.05

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 19:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 19:09 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 176 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Cason Wallace · 3-pointers 0.5 → 2 · 1.5 above the line · played 15.4 min · no final price

Chet Holmgren · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 11.5 min · no final price

Jalen Williams · rebounds 3.5 → 0 · 3.5 below the line · played 13.3 min · no final price

Jaylin Williams · rebounds 3.5 → 7 · 3.5 above the line · played 12.1 min · no final price

Kenrich Williams · rebounds 3.5 → 7 · 3.5 above the line · played 20.5 min · no final price

Dwight Powell · points 8.5 → 2 · 6.5 below the line · played 27 min · no final price

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · assists 4.5 → 6 · 1.5 above the line · played 15.9 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

OKC vs DAL · last 28 games · OKC leads · OKC record 14–14 · average score 109.5–108.3 · OKC has won by 1.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

1 Mar · OKC 100 at DAL 87OKC won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had OKC expected to win by 19.5, expected total 226 (Sun 19:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 19:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 40

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 57 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 64 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 170 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 313 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 316 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 317 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 318 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 318 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 319 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 327 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 330 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 334 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 394 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 397 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 66 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 67 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 358 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 37 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 40 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 133 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 147 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 171 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 173 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 175 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 176 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 255 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 276 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 281 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 285 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 318 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 435 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 841 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 876 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 639 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 925 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 925 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 926 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 927 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 937 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 939 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.