NBA · Apr 14 gameAll props Full sheet

Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies

FinalDEN 126 – MEM 111Page updated 19:09 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes6 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 15 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

points + assists 11.5 → 24 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 6 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

points 20.5 → 15 actual

Memphis Grizzlies

GG Jackson · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 12 actual

Scotty Pippen Jr. · minutes unknown

points 18.5 → 15 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 13.5 · both teams together expected to score about 217 points · odds to win: DEN 1.11, MEM 7.65

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 19:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 19:09 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 126 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

6 other players with a posted line

GG Jackson · rebounds 4.5 → 12 · 7.5 above the line · played 44.1 min · no final price

Jamal Murray · rebounds 2.5 → 6 · 3.5 above the line · played 24.3 min · no final price

Christian Braun · points + assists 11.5 → 24 · 12.5 above the line · played 25 min · no final price

Aaron Gordon · points 9.5 → 15 · 5.5 above the line · played 26.1 min · no final price

Nikola Jokić · points 20.5 → 15 · 5.5 below the line · played 30.8 min · no final price

Scotty Pippen Jr. · points 18.5 → 15 · 3.5 below the line · played 25.1 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MEM vs DEN · last 23 games · DEN leads · MEM record 6–17 · average score 109.8–117.4 · MEM has lost by 7.6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

8 Apr · MEM 119 at DEN 136MEM lost

18 Mar · DEN 118 at MEM 125MEM won

11 Feb · MEM 116 at DEN 122MEM lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DEN expected to win by 13.5, expected total 217 (Sun 19:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 19:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 37

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 15 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 54 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 57 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 214 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 218 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 255 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 309 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 309 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 311 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 313 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 314 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 315 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 316 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 321 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 32 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 33 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 299 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 187 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 196 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 202 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 208 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 212 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 215 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 217 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 244 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pa)ok 200 · 249 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 264 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 275 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 279 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 626 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 718 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 818 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 817 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 823 ms

odds player timeline (pa)ok 200 · 823 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 822 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 824 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.