NBA · Apr 14 gameAll props Full sheet

Utah Jazz at Golden State Warriors

FinalUTA 116 – GSW 123Page updated 19:09 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes4 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Utah Jazz

Brice Sensabaugh · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 14 actual

Keyonte George · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 21 actual

Golden State Warriors

Brandin Podziemski · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 7 actual

Moses Moody · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 1 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

GSW expected to win by about 11 · both teams together expected to score about 223.5 points · odds to win: UTA 5.59, GSW 1.17

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 19:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 19:09 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 165 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 1 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

4 other players with a posted line

Moses Moody · rebounds 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 17 min · no final price

Brice Sensabaugh · points 9.5 → 14 · 4.5 above the line · played 28.9 min · no final price

Brandin Podziemski · points 10.5 → 7 · 3.5 below the line · played 21.5 min · no final price

Keyonte George · points 16.5 → 21 · 4.5 above the line · played 20.1 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

GSW vs UTA · last 25 games · GSW leads · GSW record 16–9 · average score 117.8–115.2 · GSW has won by 2.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

9 Mar · GSW 116 at UTA 119GSW lost

28 Jan · GSW 140 at UTA 124GSW won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had GSW expected to win by 11, expected total 223.5 (Sun 19:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 19:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 31

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 106 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 308 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 374 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 378 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 378 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 380 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 381 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 384 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 385 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 393 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 473 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 473 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 473 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 475 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 176 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 192 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 486 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 175 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 177 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 178 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 208 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 223 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 226 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 244 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 287 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 864 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 935 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 773 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 775 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 778 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.