GSW · G · 2026 season

Brandin Podziemski

Next game: at HOU, Thu 02:30 UTC

EARLY READ

Read captured 24 hours before tip, 02:32 UTC · lines as of 02:04 UTC

Projected 33.1 min (season average) · 9 games this season

Points 15.5 · Over -105 / Under -130 · 3 books

Case for the over

Over 15.5 in 6 of 9 games this season (newest first: 25, 15, 9, 20, 17, 21, 8, 18, 18); season average 16.8, last 3 average 16.3.
With no lineup projection yet, his season average of 33.1 minutes stands in; 0.508 points per minute projects 16.8, +8% against the 15.5 line.

Case for the under

HOU have allowed 106.0 points a game over 10 games, the 5th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU allow 107.6 points per 100 possessions, the 8th-lowest of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU average 98.5 possessions a game, the 2nd-slowest pace of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs HOU (guards; usage 14.8% to 24.8%, 25.0 to 41.0 min a game, at least 25.1 min in the game): Christian Braun (DEN) 4 vs 13.5 in his other games (Nov 9); Jalen Green (PHX) 16 vs 11.1 in his other games (Nov 7); Dillon Brooks (PHX) 11 vs 16.2 in his other games (Nov 7) and 7 more; mean -1.0 points against their own averages over 12 games from 10 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Rebounds 4.5 · Over -125 / Under -110 · 3 books

Case for the over

Over 4.5 in 6 of 9 games this season (newest first: 2, 7, 6, 2, 8, 5, 5, 7, 2); season average 4.9, last 3 average 5.0.
With no lineup projection yet, his season average of 33.1 minutes stands in; 0.148 rebounds per minute projects 4.9, +9% against the 4.5 line.

Case for the under

HOU have allowed 40.2 rebounds a game over 10 games, the fewest of 30; to guards, 14.8 a game, the 4th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU miss 45.9 shots a game, the 7th-fewest of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU average 98.5 possessions a game, the 2nd-slowest pace of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs HOU (guards; usage 14.8% to 24.8%, 25.0 to 41.0 min a game, at least 25.1 min in the game): Christian Braun (DEN) 5 vs 3.9 in his other games (Nov 9); Jalen Green (PHX) 3 vs 3.1 in his other games (Nov 7); Dillon Brooks (PHX) 4 vs 3.9 in his other games (Nov 7) and 7 more; mean -0.6 rebounds against their own averages over 12 games from 10 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Assists 3.5 · Over +130 / Under -175 · 2 books

Case for the over

Over 3.5 in 5 of 9 games this season (newest first: 4, 1, 3, 2, 8, 6, 6, 5, 3); season average 4.2.
With no lineup projection yet, his season average of 33.1 minutes stands in; 0.128 assists per minute projects 4.2, +21% against the 3.5 line.

Case for the under

His last 3 games average 2.7 assists, below the 3.5 line. a hint, not a finding
He has assisted on 10.3% of his teammates' made shots while on the floor over his last 3, down from 18.4% on the season. a hint, not a finding
HOU have allowed 24.1 assists a game over 10 games, the 5th-fewest of 30, tied with 1 other team; to guards, 13.9 a game, the 7th-fewest of 30, tied with 1 other team.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU average 98.5 possessions a game, the 2nd-slowest pace of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs HOU (guards; usage 14.8% to 24.8%, 25.0 to 41.0 min a game, at least 25.1 min in the game): Christian Braun (DEN) 3 vs 2.1 in his other games (Nov 9); Jalen Green (PHX) 6 vs 3.4 in his other games (Nov 7); Dillon Brooks (PHX) 1 vs 2.4 in his other games (Nov 7) and 6 more; mean -0.4 assists against their own averages over 11 games from 9 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the under at 59% (2 books at 3.5).

Threes 2.5 · Over +134 / Under -180 · 3 books

Case for the over

Over 2.5 in 5 of 9 games this season (newest first: 5, 4, 2, 3, 2, 4, 0, 3, 2); season average 2.8, last 3 average 3.7.
With no lineup projection yet, his season average of 33.1 minutes stands in; 0.084 threes per minute projects 2.8, +11% against the 2.5 line.

Case for the under

HOU have allowed 11.6 threes made a game over 10 games, the 4th-fewest of 30, tied with 1 other team.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU average 98.5 possessions a game, the 2nd-slowest pace of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs HOU (guards; usage 14.8% to 24.8%, 25.0 to 41.0 min a game, at least 25.1 min in the game): Christian Braun (DEN) 0 vs 1.8 in his other games (Nov 9); Dillon Brooks (PHX) 3 vs 2.0 in his other games (Nov 7); Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) 0 vs 2.1 in his other games (Nov 4) and 6 more; mean -0.4 threes made against their own averages over 11 games from 9 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the under at 60% (3 books at 2.5).

Pts+Reb+Ast 23.5 · Over -105 / Under -128 · 3 books

Case for the over

Over 23.5 in 5 of 9 games this season (newest first: 31, 23, 18, 24, 33, 32, 19, 30, 23); season average 25.9.
With no lineup projection yet, his season average of 33.1 minutes stands in; 0.783 PRA per minute projects 25.9, +10% against the 23.5 line.

Case for the under

HOU have allowed 170.3 points + rebounds + assists a game over 10 games, the fewest of 30; to guards, 90.2 a game, the 8th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU allow 107.6 points per 100 possessions, the 8th-lowest of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU average 98.5 possessions a game, the 2nd-slowest pace of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs HOU (guards; usage 14.8% to 24.8%, 25.0 to 41.0 min a game, at least 25.1 min in the game): Christian Braun (DEN) 12 vs 19.5 in his other games (Nov 9); Jalen Green (PHX) 25 vs 17.6 in his other games (Nov 7); Dillon Brooks (PHX) 16 vs 22.5 in his other games (Nov 7) and 7 more; mean -1.9 points + rebounds + assists against their own averages over 12 games from 10 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Pts+Reb 20.5 · Over -107 / Under -130 · 2 books

Case for the over

Over 20.5 in 6 of 9 games this season (newest first: 27, 22, 15, 22, 25, 26, 13, 25, 20); season average 21.7, last 3 average 21.3.
With no lineup projection yet, his season average of 33.1 minutes stands in; 0.655 PR per minute projects 21.7, +6% against the 20.5 line.

Case for the under

HOU have allowed 146.2 points + rebounds a game over 10 games, the 2nd-fewest of 30; to guards, 76.3 a game, the 10th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU allow 107.6 points per 100 possessions, the 8th-lowest of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU average 98.5 possessions a game, the 2nd-slowest pace of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs HOU (guards; usage 14.8% to 24.8%, 25.0 to 41.0 min a game, at least 25.1 min in the game): Christian Braun (DEN) 9 vs 17.4 in his other games (Nov 9); Jalen Green (PHX) 19 vs 14.2 in his other games (Nov 7); Dillon Brooks (PHX) 15 vs 20.1 in his other games (Nov 7) and 7 more; mean -1.6 points + rebounds against their own averages over 12 games from 10 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Pts+Ast 18.5 · Over -110 / Under -122 · 3 books

Case for the over

Over 18.5 in 6 of 9 games this season (newest first: 29, 16, 12, 22, 25, 27, 14, 23, 21); season average 21.0.
With no lineup projection yet, his season average of 33.1 minutes stands in; 0.635 PA per minute projects 21.0, +14% against the 18.5 line.

Case for the under

HOU have allowed 130.1 points + assists a game over 10 games, the 5th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU allow 107.6 points per 100 possessions, the 8th-lowest of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU average 98.5 possessions a game, the 2nd-slowest pace of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs HOU (guards; usage 14.8% to 24.8%, 25.0 to 41.0 min a game, at least 25.1 min in the game): Christian Braun (DEN) 7 vs 15.6 in his other games (Nov 9); Jalen Green (PHX) 22 vs 14.5 in his other games (Nov 7); Dillon Brooks (PHX) 12 vs 18.6 in his other games (Nov 7) and 7 more; mean -1.3 points + assists against their own averages over 12 games from 10 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Reb+Ast 7.5 · Over -130 / Under -102 · 1 book

Case for the over

Over 7.5 in 6 of 9 games this season (newest first: 6, 8, 9, 4, 16, 11, 11, 12, 5); season average 9.1.
With no lineup projection yet, his season average of 33.1 minutes stands in; 0.276 RA per minute projects 9.1, +21% against the 7.5 line.

Case for the under

HOU have allowed 64.3 rebounds + assists a game over 10 games, the fewest of 30; to guards, 28.7 a game, the 3rd-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU miss 45.9 shots a game, the 7th-fewest of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU average 98.5 possessions a game, the 2nd-slowest pace of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs HOU (guards; usage 14.8% to 24.8%, 25.0 to 41.0 min a game, at least 25.1 min in the game): Christian Braun (DEN) 8 vs 6.0 in his other games (Nov 9); Jalen Green (PHX) 9 vs 6.5 in his other games (Nov 7); Dillon Brooks (PHX) 5 vs 6.2 in his other games (Nov 7) and 7 more; mean -1.0 rebounds + assists against their own averages over 12 games from 10 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Facts for each side of the line, not picks. WATCH marks a lean only on the last read, about 15 minutes before tip, with fresh lines and a confirmed lineup, and that lean has not beaten the market in our backtest.

9 games played · averaging 16.8 points. In the game log below, each game is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 16.5 · POINTS · 2023–2026

HIT RATE23.7%57 of 241 games

INTERVAL18.7%–29.4%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN+322at that rate

AT THE FLOOR+434if the rate is 18.7%

Brandin has cleared 16.5 points in 23.7% of 241 games since 2023, and in 60.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs +322 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-11-09

HOME

26.3MIN

25POINTS

2 · 4 · 10-19

ABOVE

FG: 10-19
3PT: 5-11
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 65.8
USG%: 31.4
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +36
PRA: 31

2026-11-07

ORL

HOME

38.6MIN

15POINTS

7 · 1 · 5-7

BELOW

FG: 5-7
3PT: 4-5
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 95.2
USG%: 9.7
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: +6
PRA: 23

2026-11-05

MIA

HOME

31.9MIN

9POINTS

6 · 3 · 3-8

BELOW

FG: 3-8
3PT: 2-6
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 50.7
USG%: 13.6
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +5
PRA: 18

2026-11-02

PHX

HOME

32.6MIN

20POINTS

2 · 2 · 7-15

ABOVE

FG: 7-15
3PT: 3-8
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 59.7
USG%: 25.7
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: -4
PRA: 24

2026-11-01

LAC

HOME

37.4MIN

17POINTS

8 · 8 · 7-14

ABOVE

FG: 7-14
3PT: 2-7
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 3/5
TS%: 58.9
USG%: 18.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +11
PRA: 33

2026-10-30

LAL

HOME

33.4MIN

21POINTS

5 · 6 · 7-15

ABOVE

FG: 7-15
3PT: 4-9
FT: 3-5
OREB/DREB: 2/3
TS%: 61.0
USG%: 23.5
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +7
PRA: 32

2026-10-28

MIN

AWAY

31.7MIN

8POINTS

5 · 6 · 2-5

BELOW

FG: 2-5
3PT: 0-1
FT: 4-7
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 49.5
USG%: 12.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 5
+/−: +3
PRA: 19

2026-10-26

DEN

AWAY

32.7MIN

18POINTS

7 · 5 · 7-14

ABOVE

FG: 7-14
3PT: 3-7
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 3/4
TS%: 62.3
USG%: 19.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +33
PRA: 30

2026-10-23

MEM

HOME

32.9MIN

18POINTS

2 · 3 · 7-17

ABOVE

FG: 7-17
3PT: 2-8
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 50.3
USG%: 27.8
STL: 3
BLK: 1
TOV: 4
PF: 3
+/−: 0
PRA: 23

every game on file — nothing hidden

Next game: at HOU, Thu 02:30 UTC

EARLY READ

Read captured 24 hours before tip, 02:32 UTC · lines as of 02:04 UTC

Projected 33.1 min (season average) · 9 games this season

Points 15.5 · Over -105 / Under -130 · 3 books

Case for the over

Over 15.5 in 6 of 9 games this season (newest first: 25, 15, 9, 20, 17, 21, 8, 18, 18); season average 16.8, last 3 average 16.3.
With no lineup projection yet, his season average of 33.1 minutes stands in; 0.508 points per minute projects 16.8, +8% against the 15.5 line.

Case for the under

HOU have allowed 106.0 points a game over 10 games, the 5th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU allow 107.6 points per 100 possessions, the 8th-lowest of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU average 98.5 possessions a game, the 2nd-slowest pace of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs HOU (guards; usage 14.8% to 24.8%, 25.0 to 41.0 min a game, at least 25.1 min in the game): Christian Braun (DEN) 4 vs 13.5 in his other games (Nov 9); Jalen Green (PHX) 16 vs 11.1 in his other games (Nov 7); Dillon Brooks (PHX) 11 vs 16.2 in his other games (Nov 7) and 7 more; mean -1.0 points against their own averages over 12 games from 10 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Rebounds 4.5 · Over -125 / Under -110 · 3 books

Case for the over

Over 4.5 in 6 of 9 games this season (newest first: 2, 7, 6, 2, 8, 5, 5, 7, 2); season average 4.9, last 3 average 5.0.
With no lineup projection yet, his season average of 33.1 minutes stands in; 0.148 rebounds per minute projects 4.9, +9% against the 4.5 line.

Case for the under

HOU have allowed 40.2 rebounds a game over 10 games, the fewest of 30; to guards, 14.8 a game, the 4th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU miss 45.9 shots a game, the 7th-fewest of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU average 98.5 possessions a game, the 2nd-slowest pace of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs HOU (guards; usage 14.8% to 24.8%, 25.0 to 41.0 min a game, at least 25.1 min in the game): Christian Braun (DEN) 5 vs 3.9 in his other games (Nov 9); Jalen Green (PHX) 3 vs 3.1 in his other games (Nov 7); Dillon Brooks (PHX) 4 vs 3.9 in his other games (Nov 7) and 7 more; mean -0.6 rebounds against their own averages over 12 games from 10 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Assists 3.5 · Over +130 / Under -175 · 2 books

Case for the over

Over 3.5 in 5 of 9 games this season (newest first: 4, 1, 3, 2, 8, 6, 6, 5, 3); season average 4.2.
With no lineup projection yet, his season average of 33.1 minutes stands in; 0.128 assists per minute projects 4.2, +21% against the 3.5 line.

Case for the under

His last 3 games average 2.7 assists, below the 3.5 line. a hint, not a finding
He has assisted on 10.3% of his teammates' made shots while on the floor over his last 3, down from 18.4% on the season. a hint, not a finding
HOU have allowed 24.1 assists a game over 10 games, the 5th-fewest of 30, tied with 1 other team; to guards, 13.9 a game, the 7th-fewest of 30, tied with 1 other team.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU average 98.5 possessions a game, the 2nd-slowest pace of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs HOU (guards; usage 14.8% to 24.8%, 25.0 to 41.0 min a game, at least 25.1 min in the game): Christian Braun (DEN) 3 vs 2.1 in his other games (Nov 9); Jalen Green (PHX) 6 vs 3.4 in his other games (Nov 7); Dillon Brooks (PHX) 1 vs 2.4 in his other games (Nov 7) and 6 more; mean -0.4 assists against their own averages over 11 games from 9 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the under at 59% (2 books at 3.5).

Threes 2.5 · Over +134 / Under -180 · 3 books

Case for the over

Over 2.5 in 5 of 9 games this season (newest first: 5, 4, 2, 3, 2, 4, 0, 3, 2); season average 2.8, last 3 average 3.7.
With no lineup projection yet, his season average of 33.1 minutes stands in; 0.084 threes per minute projects 2.8, +11% against the 2.5 line.

Case for the under

HOU have allowed 11.6 threes made a game over 10 games, the 4th-fewest of 30, tied with 1 other team.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU average 98.5 possessions a game, the 2nd-slowest pace of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs HOU (guards; usage 14.8% to 24.8%, 25.0 to 41.0 min a game, at least 25.1 min in the game): Christian Braun (DEN) 0 vs 1.8 in his other games (Nov 9); Dillon Brooks (PHX) 3 vs 2.0 in his other games (Nov 7); Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) 0 vs 2.1 in his other games (Nov 4) and 6 more; mean -0.4 threes made against their own averages over 11 games from 9 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the under at 60% (3 books at 2.5).

Pts+Reb+Ast 23.5 · Over -105 / Under -128 · 3 books

Case for the over

Over 23.5 in 5 of 9 games this season (newest first: 31, 23, 18, 24, 33, 32, 19, 30, 23); season average 25.9.
With no lineup projection yet, his season average of 33.1 minutes stands in; 0.783 PRA per minute projects 25.9, +10% against the 23.5 line.

Case for the under

HOU have allowed 170.3 points + rebounds + assists a game over 10 games, the fewest of 30; to guards, 90.2 a game, the 8th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU allow 107.6 points per 100 possessions, the 8th-lowest of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU average 98.5 possessions a game, the 2nd-slowest pace of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs HOU (guards; usage 14.8% to 24.8%, 25.0 to 41.0 min a game, at least 25.1 min in the game): Christian Braun (DEN) 12 vs 19.5 in his other games (Nov 9); Jalen Green (PHX) 25 vs 17.6 in his other games (Nov 7); Dillon Brooks (PHX) 16 vs 22.5 in his other games (Nov 7) and 7 more; mean -1.9 points + rebounds + assists against their own averages over 12 games from 10 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Pts+Reb 20.5 · Over -107 / Under -130 · 2 books

Case for the over

Over 20.5 in 6 of 9 games this season (newest first: 27, 22, 15, 22, 25, 26, 13, 25, 20); season average 21.7, last 3 average 21.3.
With no lineup projection yet, his season average of 33.1 minutes stands in; 0.655 PR per minute projects 21.7, +6% against the 20.5 line.

Case for the under

HOU have allowed 146.2 points + rebounds a game over 10 games, the 2nd-fewest of 30; to guards, 76.3 a game, the 10th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU allow 107.6 points per 100 possessions, the 8th-lowest of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU average 98.5 possessions a game, the 2nd-slowest pace of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs HOU (guards; usage 14.8% to 24.8%, 25.0 to 41.0 min a game, at least 25.1 min in the game): Christian Braun (DEN) 9 vs 17.4 in his other games (Nov 9); Jalen Green (PHX) 19 vs 14.2 in his other games (Nov 7); Dillon Brooks (PHX) 15 vs 20.1 in his other games (Nov 7) and 7 more; mean -1.6 points + rebounds against their own averages over 12 games from 10 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Pts+Ast 18.5 · Over -110 / Under -122 · 3 books

Case for the over

Over 18.5 in 6 of 9 games this season (newest first: 29, 16, 12, 22, 25, 27, 14, 23, 21); season average 21.0.
With no lineup projection yet, his season average of 33.1 minutes stands in; 0.635 PA per minute projects 21.0, +14% against the 18.5 line.

Case for the under

HOU have allowed 130.1 points + assists a game over 10 games, the 5th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU allow 107.6 points per 100 possessions, the 8th-lowest of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU average 98.5 possessions a game, the 2nd-slowest pace of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs HOU (guards; usage 14.8% to 24.8%, 25.0 to 41.0 min a game, at least 25.1 min in the game): Christian Braun (DEN) 7 vs 15.6 in his other games (Nov 9); Jalen Green (PHX) 22 vs 14.5 in his other games (Nov 7); Dillon Brooks (PHX) 12 vs 18.6 in his other games (Nov 7) and 7 more; mean -1.3 points + assists against their own averages over 12 games from 10 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Reb+Ast 7.5 · Over -130 / Under -102 · 1 book

Case for the over

Over 7.5 in 6 of 9 games this season (newest first: 6, 8, 9, 4, 16, 11, 11, 12, 5); season average 9.1.
With no lineup projection yet, his season average of 33.1 minutes stands in; 0.276 RA per minute projects 9.1, +21% against the 7.5 line.

Case for the under

HOU have allowed 64.3 rebounds + assists a game over 10 games, the fewest of 30; to guards, 28.7 a game, the 3rd-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU miss 45.9 shots a game, the 7th-fewest of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
HOU average 98.5 possessions a game, the 2nd-slowest pace of 30 (10 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs HOU (guards; usage 14.8% to 24.8%, 25.0 to 41.0 min a game, at least 25.1 min in the game): Christian Braun (DEN) 8 vs 6.0 in his other games (Nov 9); Jalen Green (PHX) 9 vs 6.5 in his other games (Nov 7); Dillon Brooks (PHX) 5 vs 6.2 in his other games (Nov 7) and 7 more; mean -1.0 rebounds + assists against their own averages over 12 games from 10 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.