NBA · Apr 21 gameAll props Full sheet

New Orleans Pelicans at Oklahoma City Thunder

FinalNOP 92 – OKC 94Page updated 19:08 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

New Orleans Pelicans

Trey Murphy III · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 4 actual

Oklahoma City Thunder

Cason Wallace · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 1 actual

Chet Holmgren · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Jalen Williams · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 7 actual

Jaylin Williams · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 2 actual

Kenrich Williams · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 0 actual

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

OKC expected to win by about 9 · both teams together expected to score about 216 points · odds to win: NOP 4.16, OKC 1.27

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Mon 01:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 19:08 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

NOP had 7 days off before this game · OKC had 7 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 265 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Jaylin Williams · 3-pointers 0.5 → 2 · 1.5 above the line · played 6.8 min · no final price

Cason Wallace · 3-pointers 0.5 → 1 · 0.5 above the line · played 18.9 min · no final price

Jalen Williams · rebounds 3.5 → 7 · 3.5 above the line · played 40 min · no final price

Kenrich Williams · 3-pointers 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 8.6 min · no final price

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 39.1 min · no final price

Chet Holmgren · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 32.1 min · no final price

Trey Murphy III · rebounds 5.5 → 4 · 1.5 below the line · played 44.1 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

OKC vs NOP · last 27 games · OKC leads · OKC record 20–7 · average score 110.6–102.7 · OKC has won by 7.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had OKC expected to win by 9, expected total 216 (Mon 01:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Mon 01:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 54

sds games/date (2024-04-11)ok 200 · 22 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-17)ok 200 · 24 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-16)ok 200 · 26 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-20)ok 200 · 29 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-18)ok 200 · 30 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-13)ok 200 · 32 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-19)ok 200 · 33 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-12)ok 200 · 34 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-10)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-08)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-15)ok 200 · 36 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-14)ok 200 · 37 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-07)ok 200 · 40 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-09)ok 200 · 42 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 44 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 65 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 105 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 109 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 114 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 115 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 10 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 13 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 130 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 132 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 136 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 151 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 152 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 155 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 158 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 53 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 198 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 72 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 168 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 172 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 191 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 196 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 200 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 209 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 210 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 214 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 227 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 251 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 261 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 261 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 351 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 515 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1037 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1175 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1125 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1130 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1201 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1208 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1227 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1289 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.