NBA · Apr 27 gameAll props Full sheet

Oklahoma City Thunder at New Orleans Pelicans

FinalOKC 106 – NOP 85Page updated 16:28 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes6 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Cason Wallace · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 1 actual

Chet Holmgren · minutes unknown

rebounds 9.5 → 8 actual

Jalen Williams · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 5 actual

Jaylin Williams · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 1 actual

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · minutes unknown

points 28.5 → 24 actual

New Orleans Pelicans

Trey Murphy III · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 10 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

OKC expected to win by about 1.5 · both teams together expected to score about 210 points · odds to win: OKC 1.86, NOP 2.05

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 19:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 16:28 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 263 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

6 other players with a posted line

Cason Wallace · 3-pointers 0.5 → 1 · 0.5 above the line · played 18.4 min · no final price

Jaylin Williams · 3-pointers 0.5 → 1 · 0.5 above the line · played 9.9 min · no final price

Trey Murphy III · points 16.5 → 10 · 6.5 below the line · played 43.6 min · no final price

Chet Holmgren · rebounds 9.5 → 8 · 1.5 below the line · played 33 min · no final price

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · points 28.5 → 24 · 4.5 below the line · played 37 min · no final price

Jalen Williams · assists 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 34.5 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

NOP vs OKC · last 27 games · OKC leads · NOP record 7–20 · average score 102.7–110.6 · NOP has lost by 7.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

27 Jan · NOP 95 at OKC 104NOP lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had OKC expected to win by 1.5, expected total 210 (Sat 19:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Sat 19:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 51

sds games/date (2024-04-24)ok 200 · 64 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-18)ok 200 · 61 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-26)ok 200 · 66 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-19)ok 200 · 70 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-21)ok 200 · 71 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-22)ok 200 · 73 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-23)ok 200 · 74 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-16)ok 200 · 73 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-25)ok 200 · 78 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-20)ok 200 · 78 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-17)ok 200 · 75 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-15)ok 200 · 80 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 82 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-13)ok 200 · 85 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-14)ok 200 · 87 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 90 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 111 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 193 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 194 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 198 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 198 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 209 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 232 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 234 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 235 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 235 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 237 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 156 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 251 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 129 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 132 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 416 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 112 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 115 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 159 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 265 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 266 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 269 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 270 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 271 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 280 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 276 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 282 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 281 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 611 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1069 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1212 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1268 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1263 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1264 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1271 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.