NBA · Apr 29 gameAll props Full sheet

Oklahoma City Thunder at New Orleans Pelicans

FinalOKC 97 – NOP 89Page updated 16:28 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes6 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Cason Wallace · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 0 actual

Chet Holmgren · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Jalen Williams · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Jaylin Williams · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 1 actual

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 10 actual

New Orleans Pelicans

Trey Murphy III · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

OKC expected to win by about 4.5 · both teams together expected to score about 208.5 points · odds to win: OKC 1.54, NOP 2.65

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Tue 00:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 16:28 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 269 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

6 other players with a posted line

Cason Wallace · 3-pointers 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 13.7 min · no final price

Jaylin Williams · 3-pointers 0.5 → 1 · 0.5 above the line · played 10.9 min · no final price

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · rebounds 5.5 → 10 · 4.5 above the line · played 40.4 min · no final price

Trey Murphy III · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 42.8 min · no final price

Chet Holmgren · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 35.2 min · no final price

Jalen Williams · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 37.8 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

NOP vs OKC · last 27 games · OKC leads · NOP record 7–20 · average score 102.7–110.6 · NOP has lost by 7.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

27 Jan · NOP 95 at OKC 104NOP lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had OKC expected to win by 4.5, expected total 208.5 (Tue 00:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Tue 00:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 51

sds games/date (2024-04-27)ok 200 · 90 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-26)ok 200 · 91 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-25)ok 200 · 92 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-24)ok 200 · 93 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-23)ok 200 · 94 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-22)ok 200 · 94 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-21)ok 200 · 95 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-20)ok 200 · 97 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-16)ok 200 · 129 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-15)ok 200 · 130 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-18)ok 200 · 147 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-19)ok 200 · 148 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-17)ok 200 · 148 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 150 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 254 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 255 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 261 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-28)ok 200 · 267 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 278 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 322 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 325 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 326 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 327 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 327 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 328 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 359 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 43 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 50 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 400 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 407 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 98 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 746 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 27 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 775 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 118 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 120 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 122 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 124 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 131 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 138 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 141 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 144 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 151 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 171 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 774 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 917 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 923 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 933 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 932 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.