NBA · Nov 4 gameAll props Full sheet

Sacramento Kings at Miami Heat

FinalSAC 111 – MIA 110Page updated 04:34 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes5 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Sacramento Kings

Domantas Sabonis · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 16 actual

Keegan Murray · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 14 actual

Malik Monk · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 0 actual

Miami Heat

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 16 actual

Nikola Jović · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

MIA expected to win by about 1 · both teams together expected to score about 224.5 points · odds to win: SAC 2.02, MIA 1.88

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Tue 01:10 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 04:34 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 249 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

5 other players with a posted line

Malik Monk · assists 3.5 → 0 · 3.5 below the line · played 24.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.63, Under 2.20

Nikola Jović · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 12.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.95

Keegan Murray · points 14.5 → 14 · 0.5 below the line · played 38.8 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.75, Under 1.36

Domantas Sabonis · points 16.5 → 16 · 0.5 below the line · played 37.9 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.14, Under 1.65

Bam Adebayo · points 16.5 → 16 · 0.5 below the line · played 36 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.85, Under 1.34

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIA vs SAC · last 13 games · MIA leads · MIA record 8–5 · average score 115.8–112.5 · MIA has won by 3.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

20 Jan · MIA 130 at SAC 117MIA won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had MIA expected to win by 1, expected total 224.5 (Tue 01:10 UTC) and had not changed it by Tue 01:10 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 34

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 46 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 48 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 114 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 199 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 207 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 210 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 211 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 212 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 213 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 215 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 217 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 218 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 227 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 249 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 203 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 43 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 53 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 150 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 156 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 157 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 162 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 167 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 169 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 177 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 181 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 187 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 203 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 574 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 584 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 855 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 600 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 602 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 603 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.