NBA · Dec 8 gameAll props Full sheet

Cleveland Cavaliers at Miami Heat

FinalCLE 113 – MIA 122Page updated 23:05 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes5 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Donovan Mitchell · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 5 actual

Evan Mobley · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 4 actual

Jarrett Allen · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 6 actual

Sam Merrill · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Miami Heat

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

rebounds 9.5 → 13 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 23:05 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 284 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

5 other players with a posted line

Evan Mobley · points 16.5 → 4 · 12.5 below the line · played 11.8 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.67

Jarrett Allen · points 11.5 → 6 · 5.5 below the line · played 28.6 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.35, Under 2.80

Bam Adebayo · rebounds 9.5 → 13 · 3.5 above the line · played 36 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.51, Under 2.43

Sam Merrill · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 20.7 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.71, Under 2.08

Donovan Mitchell · assists 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 30.8 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.75

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIA vs CLE · last 28 games · MIA leads · MIA record 14–14 · average score 110.1–112.4 · MIA has lost by 2.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

27 Mar · MIA 128 at CLE 149MIA lost

25 Mar · MIA 120 at CLE 103MIA won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 34

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 11 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 14 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 40 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 94 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 94 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 95 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 98 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 99 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 101 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 103 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 8 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 113 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 103 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 126 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 22 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 132 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 132 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 46 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 114 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 138 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 139 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 146 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 154 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 154 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 226 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 294 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 463 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1017 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 992 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 993 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1006 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1057 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1087 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.