CLE · G · 2026 season
Sam Merrill
9 games played · averaging 7.7 points. In the game log below, each game is judged against that average, not against a betting line.
OVER 7.5 · POINTS · 2020–2026
HIT RATE44.0%122 of 277 games
INTERVAL38.3%–49.9%95% confidence
BREAK-EVEN+127at that rate
AT THE FLOOR+161if the rate is 38.3%
Sam has cleared 7.5 points in 44.0% of 277 games since 2020, and in 50.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs +127 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.
DATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS AVG
›2026-11-06
PHI
HOME
13.1MIN
0POINTS
3 · 0 · 0-3
BELOW
- FG
- 0-3
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 12.4
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +12
- PRA
- 3
›2026-11-04
OKC
AWAY
26.6MIN
10POINTS
7 · 1 · 3-7
ABOVE
- FG
- 3-7
- 3PT
- 2-4
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 2/5
- TS%
- 63.5
- USG%
- 12.6
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- -5
- PRA
- 18
›2026-11-02
OKC
HOME
26.1MIN
8POINTS
3 · 2 · 2-8
ABOVE
- FG
- 2-8
- 3PT
- 2-8
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 45.0
- USG%
- 15.2
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -12
- PRA
- 13
›2026-10-31
MIL
AWAY
19.3MIN
6POINTS
4 · 3 · 2-4
BELOW
- FG
- 2-4
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 61.5
- USG%
- 10.2
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +24
- PRA
- 13
›2026-10-29
ATL
AWAY
26.8MIN
16POINTS
2 · 3 · 6-11
ABOVE
- FG
- 6-11
- 3PT
- 4-8
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 72.7
- USG%
- 21.4
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +8
- PRA
- 21
›2026-10-28
WAS
HOME
20.4MIN
8POINTS
1 · 1 · 2-7
ABOVE
- FG
- 2-7
- 3PT
- 2-6
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 50.8
- USG%
- 16.3
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +8
- PRA
- 10
›2026-10-26
MIN
HOME
30.6MIN
9POINTS
4 · 2 · 3-8
ABOVE
- FG
- 3-8
- 3PT
- 1-6
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 50.7
- USG%
- 12.5
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +13
- PRA
- 15
›2026-10-24
BKN
HOME
21.1MIN
7POINTS
2 · 3 · 2-4
BELOW
- FG
- 2-4
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 71.7
- USG%
- 9.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +7
- PRA
- 12
›2026-10-22
PHI
AWAY
24.3MIN
5POINTS
5 · 2 · 2-5
BELOW
- FG
- 2-5
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/4
- TS%
- 50.0
- USG%
- 8.2
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +5
- PRA
- 12