NBA · Apr 5 gameAll props Full sheet

Dallas Mavericks at LA Clippers

FinalDAL 104 – LAC 135Page updated 23:30 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 9 availability alerts

Out II · right foot surgery (foot) · DAL

Out Larrea · right knee sprain (knee) · DAL

Out Biberović · right heel bursitis · DAL

Out Beal · right knee injury management (knee) · LAC

Out Ingram · right heel surgery · LAC

Out C. Christie (LAC) · right ankle sprain (ankle)

Out Miller · left rotator cuff surgery · LAC

Out Martinelli · two-way · LAC

Out Niederhäuser · right lisfranc surgery · LAC

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out II · right foot surgery (foot) · DAL

Out Larrea · right knee sprain (knee) · DAL

Out Biberović · right heel bursitis · DAL

Out Beal · right knee injury management (knee) · LAC

Out Ingram · right heel surgery · LAC

Out C. Christie (LAC) · right ankle sprain (ankle)

Out Miller · left rotator cuff surgery · LAC

Out Martinelli · two-way · LAC

Out Niederhäuser · right lisfranc surgery · LAC

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Dallas Mavericks

Caleb Martin · minutes unknown

points 4.5 → 7 actual

Max Christie · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 7 actual

Naji Marshall · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 9 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 12 actual

Dereck Lively II · Out · right foot surgery (foot) · listed out, then played

rebounds 4.5 → 3 actual

LA Clippers

Derrick Jones Jr. · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 7 actual

Kris Dunn · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 3 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 23:30 UTC

Who is out

Out II · right foot surgery (foot) · DAL

M. Johnson Jr. (DAL) · likely to play · left shin/tibia contusion

Out Larrea · right knee sprain (knee) · DAL

Out Biberović · right heel bursitis · DAL

Out Beal · right knee injury management (knee) · LAC

Out Ingram · right heel surgery · LAC

Out C. Christie (LAC) · right ankle sprain (ankle)

Out Miller · left rotator cuff surgery · LAC

Out Martinelli · two-way · LAC

Out Niederhäuser · right lisfranc surgery · LAC

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 291 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 5 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Caleb Martin · points 4.5 → 7 · 2.5 above the line · played 25.6 min · no final price

Kris Dunn · points 6.5 → 3 · 3.5 below the line · played 19.8 min · no final price

Dereck Lively II · rebounds 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 15.5 min · no final price

Naji Marshall · points 12.5 → 9 · 3.5 below the line · played 33.4 min · no final price

Max Christie · points 9.5 → 7 · 2.5 below the line · played 21.7 min · no final price

P.J. Washington · points 14.5 → 12 · 2.5 below the line · played 30.1 min · no final price

Derrick Jones Jr. · points 7.5 → 7 · 0.5 below the line · played 17.4 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

LAC vs DAL · last 44 games · LAC leads · LAC record 26–18 · average score 111.6–108.5 · LAC has won by 3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

7 Apr · DAL 103 at LAC 116LAC won

21 Mar · LAC 138 at DAL 131LAC won

What each defense gives up per game

DAL gives up110.3 points · 42.0 rebounds · 26.4 assists · 31.7% from three-point range

LAC gives up118.1 points · 43.5 rebounds · 27.0 assists · 37.1% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

DAL gives up 110.3 points a game · 9th of 30 · league average 113.3−3.0 vs average

LAC gives up 118.1 points a game · 24th of 30 · league average 113.3+4.8 vs average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 40

sds history (h2h)ok · 16 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 20 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 20 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 20 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 21 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 21 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 24 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 105 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 107 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 111 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 113 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 114 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 114 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 26 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 26 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 159 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 109 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 576 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 44 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 54 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 89 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 110 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 111 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 112 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 116 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 117 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 125 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 726 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 153 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 161 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 163 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 163 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 171 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 172 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 188 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 190 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 201 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 204 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.