NBA · Apr 8 gameAll props Full sheet

Minnesota Timberwolves at Milwaukee Bucks

FinalMIN 103 – MIL 110Page updated 23:18 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 4 availability alerts

Out Edwards · right knee arthroscopy (knee) · MIN

Out DiVincenzo · right achilles tendon repair/surgery (achilles) · MIN

Out Turner · rest · MIL

May not play Herro · right knee contusion (knee) · MIL

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Edwards · right knee arthroscopy (knee) · MIN

Out DiVincenzo · right achilles tendon repair/surgery (achilles) · MIN

Out Turner · rest · MIL

May not play Herro · right knee contusion (knee) · MIL

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Jaden McDaniels · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 13 actual

Rudy Gobert · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 6 actual

Anthony Edwards · Out · right knee arthroscopy (knee) · listed out, then played

points 27.5 → 25 actual

Donte DiVincenzo · Out · right achilles tendon repair/surgery (achilles) · listed out, then played

points 10.5 → 24 actual

Milwaukee Bucks

AJ Green · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 9 actual

Gary Trent Jr. · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 7 actual

Kyle Kuzma · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 10 actual

Ryan Rollins · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 5 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 23:18 UTC

Who is out

Out Edwards · right knee arthroscopy (knee) · MIN

Out DiVincenzo · right achilles tendon repair/surgery (achilles) · MIN

Out Turner · rest · MIL

May not play Herro · right knee contusion (knee) · MIL

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 201 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Donte DiVincenzo · points 10.5 → 24 · 13.5 above the line · played 27.6 min · no final price

AJ Green · points 5.5 → 9 · 3.5 above the line · played 23.2 min · no final price

Rudy Gobert · points 12.5 → 6 · 6.5 below the line · played 34.4 min · no final price

Ryan Rollins · points 9.5 → 5 · 4.5 below the line · played 22.8 min · no final price

Gary Trent Jr. · points 9.5 → 7 · 2.5 below the line · played 25.1 min · no final price

Kyle Kuzma · points 13.5 → 10 · 3.5 below the line · played 24.7 min · no final price

Jaden McDaniels · points 10.5 → 13 · 2.5 above the line · played 30.1 min · no final price

Anthony Edwards · points 27.5 → 25 · 2.5 below the line · played 39 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIL vs MIN · last 15 games · MIL leads · MIL record 9–6 · average score 114.0–112.5 · MIL has won by 1.5 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

2 Nov · MIL 100 at MIN 112MIL lost

5 Oct · MIN 116 at MIL 97MIL lost

What each defense gives up per game

MIN gives up107.0 points · 43.2 rebounds · 24.0 assists · 32.0% from three-point range

MIL gives up121.2 points · 48.9 rebounds · 27.8 assists · 35.7% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

MIN gives up 107.0 points a game · 7th of 30 · league average 113.3−6.3 vs average

MIL gives up 121.2 points a game · 28th of 30 · league average 113.3+7.9 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had MIN expected to win by 6, expected total 222.5 (Wed 00:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Wed 00:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 43

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 30 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 30 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 31 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 32 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 36 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 38 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 42 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 56 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 105 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 107 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 108 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 110 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 114 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 8 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 9 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 110 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 146 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 100 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 101 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 120 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 139 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 142 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 142 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 144 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 145 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 147 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 158 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 159 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 165 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 169 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 204 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 206 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 207 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 209 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 222 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 307 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 309 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 335 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 368 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 933 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 1044 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.