MIN · F · 2026 season
Jaden McDaniels
11 games played · averaging 17.0 points. In the game log below, each game is judged against that average, not against a betting line.
OVER 17.5 · POINTS · 2020–2026
HIT RATE18.0%90 of 499 games
INTERVAL14.9%–21.6%95% confidence
BREAK-EVEN+454at that rate
AT THE FLOOR+571if the rate is 14.9%
Jaden has cleared 17.5 points in 18.0% of 499 games since 2020, and in 40.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs +454 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.
DATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS AVG
›2026-11-08
UTAH
HOME
32.7MIN
16POINTS
6 · 3 · 5-9
BELOW
- FG
- 5-9
- 3PT
- 2-3
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 2/4
- TS%
- 74.3
- USG%
- 19.2
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +17
- PRA
- 25
›2026-11-06
NO
AWAY
39.8MIN
23POINTS
6 · 5 · 8-19
ABOVE
- FG
- 8-19
- 3PT
- 2-7
- FT
- 5-5
- OREB/DREB
- 3/3
- TS%
- 54.2
- USG%
- 24.3
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +5
- PRA
- 34
›2026-11-04
HOU
AWAY
37.0MIN
14POINTS
8 · 4 · 7-14
BELOW
- FG
- 7-14
- 3PT
- 0-6
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/7
- TS%
- 50.0
- USG%
- 18.5
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +9
- PRA
- 26
›2026-11-02
MIL
HOME
29.3MIN
13POINTS
6 · 3 · 5-14
BELOW
- FG
- 5-14
- 3PT
- 2-4
- FT
- 1-3
- OREB/DREB
- 4/2
- TS%
- 42.4
- USG%
- 24.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +17
- PRA
- 22
›2026-10-31
SA
AWAY
38.6MIN
19POINTS
3 · 3 · 7-17
ABOVE
- FG
- 7-17
- 3PT
- 2-5
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 50.6
- USG%
- 21.8
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -1
- PRA
- 25
›2026-10-30
LAC
HOME
32.9MIN
23POINTS
6 · 7 · 11-15
ABOVE
- FG
- 11-15
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/4
- TS%
- 76.7
- USG%
- 22.2
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +22
- PRA
- 36
›2026-10-28
GS
HOME
35.0MIN
19POINTS
7 · 4 · 8-18
ABOVE
- FG
- 8-18
- 3PT
- 1-8
- FT
- 2-3
- OREB/DREB
- 2/5
- TS%
- 49.2
- USG%
- 25.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- -11
- PRA
- 30
›2026-10-26
CLE
AWAY
38.7MIN
14POINTS
6 · 4 · 6-9
BELOW
- FG
- 6-9
- 3PT
- 2-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/6
- TS%
- 77.8
- USG%
- 9.7
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 6
- +/−
- +6
- PRA
- 24
›2026-10-25
TOR
HOME
31.4MIN
14POINTS
6 · 3 · 6-10
BELOW
- FG
- 6-10
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 0/6
- TS%
- 67.0
- USG%
- 19.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 3
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +31
- PRA
- 23
›2026-10-23
ORL
AWAY
29.8MIN
15POINTS
6 · 3 · 6-14
BELOW
- FG
- 6-14
- 3PT
- 2-5
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 3/3
- TS%
- 51.9
- USG%
- 18.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +12
- PRA
- 24
›2026-10-21
MIA
AWAY
27.9MIN
17POINTS
8 · 1 · 8-11
BELOW
- FG
- 8-11
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/6
- TS%
- 77.3
- USG%
- 17.9
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +23
- PRA
- 26