NBA · Oct 25 gameAll props Full sheet

Oklahoma City Thunder at Atlanta Hawks

FinalOKC 117 – ATL 100Page updated 17:46 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes12 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Ajay Mitchell · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Cason Wallace · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Chet Holmgren · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 6 actual

Isaiah Hartenstein · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 2 actual

Jaylin Williams · minutes unknown

points 4.5 → 7 actual

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · minutes unknown

points 33.5 → 30 actual

Atlanta Hawks

Aaron Wiggins · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 5 actual

Dyson Daniels · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 1 actual

Luguentz Dort · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

Mouhamed Gueye · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 11 actual

Nickeil Alexander-Walker · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 2 actual

Onyeka Okongwu · minutes unknown

rebounds 9.5 → 12 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

OKC expected to win by about 8.5 · both teams together expected to score about 238.5 points · odds to win: OKC 1.32, ATL 3.77

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 23:25 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 17:46 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

ATL also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 351 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 5 of 8 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

12 other players with a posted line

Chet Holmgren · 3-pointers 1.5 → 6 · 4.5 above the line · played 27.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.95

Dyson Daniels · assists 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 27.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.65, Under 2.15

Luguentz Dort · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 27.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.65

Jaylin Williams · points 4.5 → 7 · 2.5 above the line · played 18.2 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.88

Isaiah Hartenstein · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 29 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.35, Under 1.57

Aaron Wiggins · rebounds 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 27.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.87

Ajay Mitchell · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 28.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.65, Under 1.45

Cason Wallace · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 25.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.85

Onyeka Okongwu · rebounds 9.5 → 12 · 2.5 above the line · played 34.9 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.00

Nickeil Alexander-Walker · assists 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 29.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.57, Under 2.30

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · points 33.5 → 30 · 3.5 below the line · played 28.7 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.85

Mouhamed Gueye · points 11.5 → 11 · 0.5 below the line · played 23.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.80

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

ATL vs OKC · last 12 games · OKC leads · ATL record 5–7 · average score 119.6–122.3 · ATL has lost by 2.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had OKC expected to win by 8.5, expected total 238.5 (Sat 23:25 UTC) and had not changed it by Sat 23:25 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 55

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 15 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 16 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 32 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 91 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 101 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 103 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 109 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 113 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 113 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 146 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 134 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 150 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 150 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 152 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 58 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 180 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 180 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 185 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 198 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 200 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 204 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 211 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 213 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 218 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 228 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 230 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 233 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 234 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 244 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 271 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 340 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 342 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 354 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 382 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 503 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 385 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 387 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 392 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 412 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 434 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1017 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1183 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1182 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1200 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1202 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1212 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1256 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1565 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1610 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1610 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1611 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1623 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1625 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.