NBA · Oct 27 gameAll props Full sheet

Denver Nuggets at Minnesota Timberwolves

FinalDEN 127 – MIN 114Page updated 18:45 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Cameron Johnson · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 5 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 7 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 5 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Minnesota Timberwolves

Bones Hyland · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Donte DiVincenzo · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 4 actual

Jaden McDaniels · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Jaylen Clark · minutes unknown

points 4.5 → no final stat available

Rudy Gobert · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 8 actual

Terrence Shannon Jr · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 9 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 18:45 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

MIN also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 280 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 6 of 8 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Aaron Gordon · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 32.8 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.63, Under 2.20

Jamal Murray · 3-pointers 2.5 → 5 · 2.5 above the line · played 37.2 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.08, Under 1.70

Nikola Jokić · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 36.1 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.06

Cameron Johnson · points 12.5 → 5 · 7.5 below the line · played 18.9 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.85

Christian Braun · points 11.5 → 7 · 4.5 below the line · played 27.5 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.02, Under 1.73

Bones Hyland · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 15.6 min · Caesars odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.69

Jaden McDaniels · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 35.4 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.63, Under 1.44

Rudy Gobert · points 10.5 → 8 · 2.5 below the line · played 26.5 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.76, Under 2.00

Terrence Shannon Jr · points 7.5 → 9 · 1.5 above the line · played 25.2 min · Fanatics odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Donte DiVincenzo · assists 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 29.9 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.70, Under 2.08

Jaylen Clark · points 4.5 → no final stat available · BetMGM odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.77

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIN vs DEN · last 45 games · DEN leads · MIN record 21–24 · average score 112.2–111.1 · MIN has won by 1.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

30 Apr · DEN 98 at MIN 110MIN won

27 Apr · MIN 113 at DEN 125MIN lost

25 Apr · DEN 96 at MIN 112MIN won

23 Apr · DEN 96 at MIN 113MIN won

20 Apr · MIN 119 at DEN 114MIN won

18 Apr · MIN 105 at DEN 116MIN lost

1 Mar · MIN 117 at DEN 108MIN won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 21 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 22 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 44 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 128 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 131 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 132 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 133 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 135 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 135 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 135 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 147 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 146 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 149 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 129 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 19 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 20 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 69 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 77 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 79 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 85 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 242 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 139 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 198 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 225 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 232 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 235 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 237 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 242 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 249 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 252 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 262 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 264 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 285 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 311 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 317 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 321 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 352 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 508 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 451 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 454 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 626 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 576 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 781 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 786 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 846 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 850 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 851 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 853 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 855 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 893 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 909 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 910 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.