NBA · Dec 7 gameAll props Full sheet

Oklahoma City Thunder at Utah Jazz

FinalOKC 131 – UTA 101Page updated 16:50 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes13 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Ajay Mitchell · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Cason Wallace · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Chet Holmgren · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Jalen Williams · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 3 actual

Jaylin Williams · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 4 actual

Kenrich Williams · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 11 actual

Utah Jazz

Ace Bailey · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 13 actual

Brice Sensabaugh · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 0 actual

Isaiah Collier · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 0 actual

Jusuf Nurkić · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 2 actual

Keyonte George · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 3 actual

Kyle Filipowski · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 2 actual

Svi Mykhailiuk · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

OKC expected to win by about 11 · both teams together expected to score about 234 points · odds to win: OKC 1.19, UTA 4.99

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Mon 00:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 16:50 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 251 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 9 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

13 other players with a posted line

Brice Sensabaugh · rebounds 2.5 → 0 · 2.5 below the line · played 6.1 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.00

Isaiah Collier · rebounds 2.5 → 0 · 2.5 below the line · played 6.1 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.35, Under 1.54

Kenrich Williams · points 6.5 → 11 · 4.5 above the line · played 24.4 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.65, Under 2.15

Jalen Williams · rebounds 5.5 → 3 · 2.5 below the line · played 25 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.63

Keyonte George · assists 5.5 → 3 · 2.5 below the line · played 27.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Jusuf Nurkić · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 19.8 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.65

Ajay Mitchell · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 28.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.40, Under 1.54

Cason Wallace · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 25.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Chet Holmgren · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 22.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Svi Mykhailiuk · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 33.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.59, Under 2.30

Kyle Filipowski · assists 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 36.2 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Jaylin Williams · assists 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 23.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.70, Under 1.43

Ace Bailey · points 13.5 → 13 · 0.5 below the line · played 32.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.65, Under 1.45

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

UTA vs OKC · last 26 games · OKC leads · UTA record 10–16 · average score 111.0–118.4 · UTA has lost by 7.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

5 Apr · UTA 111 at OKC 146UTA lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had OKC expected to win by 11, expected total 234 (Mon 00:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Mon 00:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 58

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 27 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 33 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 162 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 165 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 167 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 174 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 8 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 11 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 192 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 198 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 201 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 203 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 204 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 209 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 214 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 196 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 518 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 629 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 3677 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 48 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 55 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 69 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 180 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 203 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 226 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 232 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 252 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 257 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 265 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 270 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 272 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 278 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 299 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 366 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 371 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 382 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 388 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 392 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 395 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 405 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 409 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 449 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 464 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 470 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 473 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 516 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 712 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 729 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 730 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 731 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 744 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 766 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 767 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 773 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 777 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 999 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1005 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1022 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.