NBA · Dec 18 gameAll props Full sheet

Miami Heat at Brooklyn Nets

FinalMIA 106 – BKN 95Page updated 20:41 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Miami Heat

Andrew Wiggins · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 2 actual

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

steals 0.5 → 1 actual

Dru Smith · minutes unknown

points + assists 9.5 → 9 actual

Simone Fontecchio · minutes unknown

blocks 0.5 → 0 actual

Brooklyn Nets

Danny Wolf · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Day'Ron Sharpe · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 4 actual

Egor Dëmin · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Michael Porter Jr. · minutes unknown

3-pointers 3.5 → 5 actual

Noah Clowney · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 0 actual

Terance Mann · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 2 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 20:41 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 135 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Bam Adebayo · steals 0.5 → 1 · 0.5 above the line · played 31.1 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.41, Under 2.78

Simone Fontecchio · blocks 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 22.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 4.10, Under 1.20

Egor Dëmin · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 27.9 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.94, Under 1.81

Noah Clowney · 3-pointers 2.5 → 0 · 2.5 below the line · played 26.2 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.97, Under 1.80

Michael Porter Jr. · 3-pointers 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 33.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.67

Terance Mann · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 30.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.77

Day'Ron Sharpe · points 6.5 → 4 · 2.5 below the line · played 13.2 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.89, Under 1.87

Danny Wolf · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 19.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.45, Under 1.53

Andrew Wiggins · assists 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 32.9 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.79, Under 1.96

Dru Smith · points + assists 9.5 → 9 · 0.5 below the line · played 24.4 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

BKN vs MIA · last 23 games · MIA leads · BKN record 10–13 · average score 107.2–107.3 · BKN has lost by 0.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

5 Mar · BKN 110 at MIA 126BKN lost

3 Mar · BKN 98 at MIA 124BKN lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 15 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 16 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 30 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 100 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 101 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 102 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 101 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 102 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 105 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 104 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 107 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 93 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 9 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 10 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 128 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 170 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 173 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pa)ok 200 · 130 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 132 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 133 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 137 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (steals)ok 200 · 149 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 154 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 156 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 158 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 159 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 166 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 172 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 180 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 182 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 184 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 185 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 190 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 193 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 199 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 203 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 235 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 478 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 517 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 469 ms

odds player timeline (pa)ok 200 · 469 ms

odds player timeline (steals)ok 200 · 471 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 471 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 471 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 474 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 494 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 885 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 885 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.