MIA · 2026 season

Simone Fontecchio

70 games played · averaging 8.5 points. Each row is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 8.5 · POINTS · 2022–2026

HIT RATE39.5%104 of 263 games

INTERVAL33.8%–45.6%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN+152at that rate

AT THE FLOOR+196if the rate is 33.8%

Simone has cleared 8.5 points in 39.5% of 263 games since 2022, and in 40.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs +152 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-04-10

WAS

AWAY

26.7MIN

24POINTS

4 · 2 · 8-10

ABOVE

FG: 8-10
3PT: 6-8
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 110.3
USG%: 19.2
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +3
PRA: 30

2026-04-04

WAS

HOME

19.0MIN

8POINTS

1 · 4 · 3-4

BELOW

FG: 3-4
3PT: 2-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 100.0
USG%: 10.4
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +12
PRA: 13

2026-04-01

BOS

HOME

5.0MIN

5POINTS

2 · 0 · 1-4

BELOW

FG: 1-4
3PT: 1-2
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 51.2
USG%: 41.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -7
PRA: 7

2026-03-30

PHI

HOME

6.1MIN

3POINTS

3 · 0 · 1-3

BELOW

FG: 1-3
3PT: 1-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 20.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -8
PRA: 6

2026-03-29

IND

AWAY

7.2MIN

1POINTS

1 · 1 · 0-4

BELOW

FG: 0-4
3PT: 0-2
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 1/0
TS%: 10.2
USG%: 28.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -4
PRA: 3

2026-03-27

CLE

AWAY

9.9MIN

12POINTS

2 · 0 · 4-7

ABOVE

FG: 4-7
3PT: 2-4
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 76.1
USG%: 31.7
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -6
PRA: 14

2026-03-23

HOME

5.7MIN

0POINTS

2 · 1 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 7.3
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -1
PRA: 3

2026-03-21

HOU

AWAY

37.8MIN

21POINTS

3 · 3 · 8-12

ABOVE

FG: 8-12
3PT: 5-9
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 87.5
USG%: 14.1
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +17
PRA: 27

2026-03-19

LAL

HOME

19.4MIN

7POINTS

3 · 2 · 3-6

BELOW

FG: 3-6
3PT: 1-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/1
TS%: 58.3
USG%: 15.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -9
PRA: 12

2026-03-17

CHA

AWAY

23.5MIN

10POINTS

2 · 1 · 3-9

ABOVE

FG: 3-9
3PT: 1-6
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 46.5
USG%: 18.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 4
+/−: -5
PRA: 13

2026-03-12

MIL

HOME

15.0MIN

8POINTS

2 · 1 · 3-9

BELOW

FG: 3-9
3PT: 2-6
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 44.4
USG%: 27.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -15
PRA: 11

2026-03-10

WAS

HOME

22.3MIN

18POINTS

6 · 1 · 6-7

ABOVE

FG: 6-7
3PT: 3-4
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 3/3
TS%: 108.2
USG%: 15.2
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +6
PRA: 25

2026-03-03

BKN

HOME

20.3MIN

12POINTS

3 · 1 · 3-6

ABOVE

FG: 3-6
3PT: 3-6
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 82.0
USG%: 17.3
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +18
PRA: 16

2026-02-28

HOU

HOME

8.8MIN

0POINTS

0 · 1 · 0-5

BELOW

FG: 0-5
3PT: 0-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 24.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +9
PRA: 1

2026-02-26

PHI

AWAY

9.2MIN

3POINTS

1 · 0 · 1-2

BELOW

FG: 1-2
3PT: 0-1
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 61.5
USG%: 11.3
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -6
PRA: 4

2026-02-21

MEM

HOME

2.5MIN

0POINTS

0 · 0 · 0-1

BELOW

FG: 0-1
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 15.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -8
PRA: 0

2026-02-20

ATL

AWAY

2.7MIN

3POINTS

0 · 1 · 1-1

BELOW

FG: 1-1
3PT: 1-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 150.0
USG%: 15.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +4
PRA: 4

2026-02-11

AWAY

26.9MIN

15POINTS

4 · 1 · 5-14

ABOVE

FG: 5-14
3PT: 4-12
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 2/2
TS%: 51.9
USG%: 22.1
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +23
PRA: 20

2026-02-09

UTAH

HOME

18.6MIN

9POINTS

5 · 2 · 1-9

ABOVE

FG: 1-9
3PT: 1-6
FT: 6-6
OREB/DREB: 2/3
TS%: 38.7
USG%: 29.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +8
PRA: 16

2026-02-08

WAS

AWAY

19.1MIN

12POINTS

5 · 3 · 4-8

ABOVE

FG: 4-8
3PT: 1-3
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 2/3
TS%: 64.4
USG%: 20.5
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +33
PRA: 20

2026-02-06

BOS

AWAY

19.5MIN

2POINTS

2 · 0 · 0-5

BELOW

FG: 0-5
3PT: 0-3
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 17.0
USG%: 13.9
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -8
PRA: 4

2026-02-03

ATL

HOME

33.7MIN

18POINTS

6 · 2 · 7-15

ABOVE

FG: 7-15
3PT: 2-8
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 2/4
TS%: 56.7
USG%: 19.1
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +7
PRA: 26

2026-02-01

CHI

HOME

18.4MIN

2POINTS

7 · 4 · 1-5

BELOW

FG: 1-5
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 3/4
TS%: 20.0
USG%: 12.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +24
PRA: 13

2026-01-31

CHI

HOME

18.0MIN

8POINTS

2 · 0 · 3-10

BELOW

FG: 3-10
3PT: 2-8
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 40.0
USG%: 20.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -2
PRA: 10

2026-01-29

CHI

AWAY

17.6MIN

0POINTS

2 · 3 · 0-4

BELOW

FG: 0-4
3PT: 0-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 11.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: +13
PRA: 5

2026-01-28

ORL

HOME

19.5MIN

23POINTS

5 · 2 · 7-11

ABOVE

FG: 7-11
3PT: 6-9
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 90.1
USG%: 27.1
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +8
PRA: 30

2026-01-25

PHX

AWAY

15.3MIN

1POINTS

5 · 3 · 0-1

BELOW

FG: 0-1
3PT: 0-1
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 26.6
USG%: 7.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +4
PRA: 9

2026-01-24

UTAH

AWAY

23.8MIN

14POINTS

6 · 2 · 5-12

ABOVE

FG: 5-12
3PT: 4-9
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/4
TS%: 58.3
USG%: 17.3
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +19
PRA: 22

2026-01-22

POR

AWAY

24.7MIN

17POINTS

4 · 3 · 7-11

ABOVE

FG: 7-11
3PT: 3-6
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/2
TS%: 77.3
USG%: 19.9
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -3
PRA: 24

2026-01-20

SAC

AWAY

19.2MIN

15POINTS

7 · 0 · 5-11

ABOVE

FG: 5-11
3PT: 5-9
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/5
TS%: 68.2
USG%: 23.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +1
PRA: 22

2026-01-19

AWAY

26.5MIN

13POINTS

8 · 2 · 5-11

ABOVE

FG: 5-11
3PT: 2-7
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 3/5
TS%: 54.7
USG%: 19.6
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: -20
PRA: 23

2026-01-17

OKC

HOME

17.6MIN

13POINTS

5 · 3 · 4-7

ABOVE

FG: 4-7
3PT: 2-4
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 4/1
TS%: 78.1
USG%: 20.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 5
+/−: -5
PRA: 21

2026-01-15

BOS

HOME

16.8MIN

3POINTS

4 · 0 · 0-3

BELOW

FG: 0-3
3PT: 0-2
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 2/2
TS%: 34.7
USG%: 11.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: 0
PRA: 7

2026-01-11

OKC

AWAY

1.6MIN

3POINTS

2 · 0 · 1-2

BELOW

FG: 1-2
3PT: 1-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 75.0
USG%: 54.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +3
PRA: 5

2026-01-10

IND

AWAY

7.8MIN

5POINTS

1 · 0 · 2-3

BELOW

FG: 2-3
3PT: 1-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 83.3
USG%: 19.9
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: 0
PRA: 6

2026-01-06

MIN

AWAY

4.7MIN

0POINTS

1 · 0 · 0-1

BELOW

FG: 0-1
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 8.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: 0
PRA: 1

2026-01-04

HOME

1.0MIN

0POINTS

0 · 0 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 0.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -2
PRA: 0

2026-01-03

MIN

HOME

16.0MIN

9POINTS

3 · 1 · 3-7

ABOVE

FG: 3-7
3PT: 3-7
FT: 0-1
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 60.5
USG%: 22.1
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -20
PRA: 13

2026-01-01

DET

AWAY

6.4MIN

5POINTS

3 · 0 · 2-3

BELOW

FG: 2-3
3PT: 1-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 83.3
USG%: 23.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +4
PRA: 8

2025-12-29

DEN

HOME

3.5MIN

3POINTS

0 · 0 · 0-1

BELOW

FG: 0-1
3PT: 0-1
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 64.7
USG%: 27.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -3
PRA: 3

2025-12-27

IND

HOME

3.5MIN

2POINTS

2 · 1 · 1-3

BELOW

FG: 1-3
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 33.3
USG%: 32.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +5
PRA: 5

2025-12-23

TOR

HOME

8.7MIN

5POINTS

3 · 1 · 1-4

BELOW

FG: 1-4
3PT: 0-2
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 47.0
USG%: 37.5
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +5
PRA: 9

2025-12-21

AWAY

17.4MIN

7POINTS

4 · 3 · 1-6

BELOW

FG: 1-6
3PT: 1-4
FT: 4-7
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 38.5
USG%: 24.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -4
PRA: 14

2025-12-19

BOS

AWAY

30.5MIN

12POINTS

2 · 4 · 4-13

ABOVE

FG: 4-13
3PT: 4-9
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 46.2
USG%: 17.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -4
PRA: 18

2025-12-18

BKN

AWAY

22.2MIN

7POINTS

4 · 2 · 2-7

BELOW

FG: 2-7
3PT: 1-3
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 44.4
USG%: 15.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -1
PRA: 13

2025-12-15

TOR

HOME

26.0MIN

3POINTS

4 · 2 · 1-5

BELOW

FG: 1-5
3PT: 1-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 30.0
USG%: 11.6
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: -7
PRA: 9

2025-12-09

ORL

AWAY

7.9MIN

0POINTS

0 · 2 · 0-5

BELOW

FG: 0-5
3PT: 0-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 33.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -7
PRA: 2

2025-12-06

SAC

HOME

25.6MIN

20POINTS

7 · 0 · 8-14

ABOVE

FG: 8-14
3PT: 4-9
FT: 0-1
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 69.3
USG%: 24.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: +4
PRA: 27

2025-12-05

ORL

AWAY

15.7MIN

5POINTS

3 · 2 · 2-5

BELOW

FG: 2-5
3PT: 1-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 17.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +3
PRA: 10

2025-12-03

DAL

AWAY

21.1MIN

8POINTS

3 · 2 · 2-8

BELOW

FG: 2-8
3PT: 2-7
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 45.0
USG%: 18.9
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -2
PRA: 13

2025-12-01

LAC

HOME

20.5MIN

7POINTS

4 · 2 · 2-7

BELOW

FG: 2-7
3PT: 1-6
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 42.1
USG%: 16.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -10
PRA: 13

2025-11-26

MIL

HOME

6.8MIN

2POINTS

2 · 2 · 1-2

BELOW

FG: 1-2
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 13.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: 0
PRA: 6

2025-11-24

DAL

HOME

21.1MIN

8POINTS

5 · 5 · 2-10

BELOW

FG: 2-10
3PT: 0-7
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 34.0
USG%: 26.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -11
PRA: 18

2025-11-23

PHI

AWAY

18.7MIN

6POINTS

3 · 2 · 2-8

BELOW

FG: 2-8
3PT: 2-7
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 37.5
USG%: 16.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -2
PRA: 11

2025-11-21

CHI

AWAY

25.2MIN

9POINTS

2 · 3 · 3-12

ABOVE

FG: 3-12
3PT: 1-10
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 33.8
USG%: 22.6
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +25
PRA: 14

2025-11-19

HOME

18.5MIN

10POINTS

4 · 2 · 2-10

ABOVE

FG: 2-10
3PT: 2-8
FT: 4-5
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 41.0
USG%: 34.6
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 0
+/−: -2
PRA: 16

2025-11-17

HOME

20.6MIN

14POINTS

4 · 3 · 5-11

ABOVE

FG: 5-11
3PT: 4-7
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 63.6
USG%: 21.6
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 4
+/−: +5
PRA: 21

2025-11-14

AWAY

14.7MIN

9POINTS

2 · 0 · 3-7

ABOVE

FG: 3-7
3PT: 3-7
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 64.3
USG%: 21.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -9
PRA: 11

2025-11-12

CLE

HOME

19.2MIN

13POINTS

4 · 0 · 4-7

ABOVE

FG: 4-7
3PT: 3-5
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 82.5
USG%: 20.5
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 4
+/−: -13
PRA: 17

2025-11-10

CLE

HOME

16.3MIN

13POINTS

4 · 0 · 4-9

ABOVE

FG: 4-9
3PT: 3-7
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 63.0
USG%: 25.8
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -15
PRA: 17

2025-11-08

POR

HOME

17.8MIN

7POINTS

1 · 0 · 2-4

BELOW

FG: 2-4
3PT: 2-4
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 1/0
TS%: 78.8
USG%: 9.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: -6
PRA: 8

2025-11-07

CHA

HOME

19.2MIN

11POINTS

2 · 2 · 3-6

ABOVE

FG: 3-6
3PT: 1-3
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 70.9
USG%: 17.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +7
PRA: 15

2025-11-05

DEN

AWAY

15.6MIN

5POINTS

2 · 2 · 2-7

BELOW

FG: 2-7
3PT: 1-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/0
TS%: 35.7
USG%: 22.2
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -2
PRA: 9

2025-11-03

LAC

AWAY

16.7MIN

11POINTS

1 · 0 · 4-6

ABOVE

FG: 4-6
3PT: 2-4
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 85.4
USG%: 24.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 1
+/−: -2
PRA: 12

2025-11-02

LAL

AWAY

18.8MIN

9POINTS

4 · 0 · 2-10

ABOVE

FG: 2-10
3PT: 2-8
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 38.3
USG%: 28.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: -1
PRA: 13

2025-10-30

AWAY

27.6MIN

18POINTS

3 · 2 · 5-9

ABOVE

FG: 5-9
3PT: 5-7
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 87.2
USG%: 18.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +3
PRA: 23

2025-10-28

CHA

HOME

18.9MIN

10POINTS

0 · 3 · 3-5

ABOVE

FG: 3-5
3PT: 3-4
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 91.9
USG%: 14.0
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +21
PRA: 13

2025-10-26

HOME

18.5MIN

14POINTS

4 · 1 · 5-8

ABOVE

FG: 5-8
3PT: 3-5
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 78.8
USG%: 20.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +11
PRA: 19

2025-10-24

MEM

AWAY

23.4MIN

14POINTS

4 · 2 · 5-9

ABOVE

FG: 5-9
3PT: 4-8
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 77.8
USG%: 15.7
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: +25
PRA: 20

2025-10-22

ORL

AWAY

19.0MIN

13POINTS

2 · 1 · 6-9

ABOVE

FG: 6-9
3PT: 1-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 72.2
USG%: 21.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -9
PRA: 16

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